WEEK 17 Staff Picks ATS (2013)

WEEK 17
THE GAMES
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/29 1:00 ET Carolina    -6 At Atlanta
12/29 1:00 ET At Tennessee    -7.5 Houston
12/29 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh    -7 Cleveland
12/29 1:00 ET At NY Giants    -3.5 Washington
12/29 1:00 ET At Cincinnati    -6.5 Baltimore
12/29 1:00 ET At Indianapolis    -10.5 Jacksonville
12/29 1:00 ET At Miami    -5.5 NY Jets
12/29 1:00 ET At Minnesota    -2.5 Detroit
12/29 4:25 ET Green Bay    -3 At Chicago
12/29 4:25 ET At New England    -7.5 Buffalo
12/29 4:25 ET At Seattle    -11.5 St. Louis
12/29 4:25 ET At New Orleans    -12 Tampa Bay
12/29 4:25 ET Denver    -11 At Oakland
12/29 4:25 ET San Francisco    -1 At Arizona
12/29 4:25 ET At San Diego    -10 Kansas City
12/29 8:30 ET Philadelphia    -6.5 At Dallas
       
THE PICKS
  Roid Rage     Ginger King     Dr. Mike     Vegas Vinny  
  W L T     W L T     W L T     W L T  
Last Week 9 7 0     12 4 0     7 9 0     7 9 0  
Season to-date 119 113 8     124 108 8     123 109 8     110 122 8  
   CAR      CAR      CAR      CAR  
   HOU      TENN      TENN      TENN  
   PITT      PITT      CLE      PITT  
   WASH      NYG      NYG      NYG  
   CIN      BALT      CIN      CIN  
   JAC      JAC      INDY      JAG  
   NYJ      MIA      MIA      MIA  
   DET     DET       DET      DET  
   GB      GB      GB      GB  
   NE      NE      NE      BUF  
   SEA      SEA      STL      SEA  
   NO      NO      TB      NO  
   DEN      DEN      DEN      DEN  
   SF      SF      SF      SF  
   KC      KC      KC      KC  
   PHI      DAL      PHI      DAL  
LOTW  SF      CAR      DET      NO  
LOTW Record 9 8 0     8 9 0     6 11 0     10 6 1  

WEEK 16 Staff Picks ATS (2013)

WEEK 16
  THE GAMES
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/22 1:00 ET Miami -2.5 At Buffalo
12/22 1:00 ET At Carolina -3 New Orleans
12/22 1:00 ET Dallas -3 At Washington
12/22 1:00 ET At St. Louis -5.5 Tampa Bay
12/22 1:00 ET At NY Jets -2 Cleveland
12/22 1:00 ET At Kansas City -7 Indianapolis
12/22 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -7.5 Minnesota
12/22 1:00 ET Denver -10.5 At Houston
12/22 1:00 ET Tennessee -5.5 At Jacksonville
12/22 4:05 ET At Seattle -10.5 Arizona
12/22 4:05 ET At Detroit -9 NY Giants
12/22 4:25 ET At San Diego -10 Oakland
12/22 4:25 ET At Green Bay Pk Pittsburgh
12/22 4:25 ET At Baltimore -2.5 New England
12/22 8:30 ET At Philadelphia -3 Chicago
12/23 8:40 ET At San Francisco -12 Atlanta
THE PICKS
Roid Rage     Ginger King     Dr. Mike     Vegas Vinny
W L T W L T W L T W L T
Last Week 12 4 0 11 5 0 11 5 0 7 9 0
Season to-date 110 106 8 112 104 8 116 100 8 103 113 8
MIA  MIA MIA MIA
CAR  CAR CAR NO
DAL  DAL DAL DAL
STL  STL TB TB
NYJ  NYJ CLE NY
INDY  INDY INDY KC
CIN  CIN CIN CIN
HOU  DEN DEN DEN
JAC  JAC JAC TENN
ARI  ARI SEA SEA
NYG  DET DET NY
SD  SD OAK SD
GB  PITT GB PITT
BAL  NE NE NE
CHI  PHI CHI CHIC
SF  SF ATL SF
LOTW BAL  NE DAL DEN
LOTW Record 9 7 0 7 9 0 6 10 0 9 6 1
Epic. Fail. Again.

Epic. Fail…..(Again)

WEEK 15 Staff Picks ATS (2013)

WEEK 15
THE GAMES
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/12 8:25 ET At Denver -10.5 San Diego
12/15 1:00 ET At Atlanta -6.5 Washington
12/15 1:00 ET San Francisco -5.5 At Tampa Bay
12/15 1:00 ET Seattle -7 At NY Giants
12/15 1:00 ET At Cleveland Pk Chicago
12/15 1:00 ET At Indianapolis -5.5 Houston
12/15 1:00 ET Buffalo -2 At Jacksonville
12/15 1:00 ET New England -2.5 At Miami
12/15 1:00 ET Philadelphia -4.5 At Minnesota
12/15 4:05 ET At Carolina -11 NY Jets
12/15 4:05 ET Kansas City -4.5 At Oakland
12/15 4:25 ET Arizona -2.5 At Tennessee
12/15 4:25 ET New Orleans -5.5 At St. Louis
12/15 4:25 ET At Dallas -7 Green Bay
12/15 8:30 ET Cincinnati -2.5 At Pittsburgh
12/16 8:40 ET At Detroit -6 Baltimore
THE PICKS
Roid Rage     Ginger King     Dr. Mike     Vegas Vinny
W L T W L T W L T W L T
Last Week 6 9 1 9 6 1 5 10 1 8 7 1
Season to-date 98 102 8 101 99 8 105 95 8 96 104 8
SD  DEN DEN DEN
WASH  WASH ATL ATL
SF  SF SF SF
SEA  SEA SEA SEA
CLE  CHI CHI CHIC
INDY  INDY INDY INDY
JAC  BUFF JAC BUFF
MIA  NE NE NE
PHIL  MINN MINN PHIL
NYJ  NYJ NYJ CAR
KC  KC KC KC
ARI  ARI ARI ARIZ
NO  NO NO NO
GB  DAL GB DAL
PIT  PITT PIT CIN
BALT DET BALT DET
LOTW PIT      CHI     INDY     PHIL
LOTW Record 8 7 0 6 9 0 5 10 0 9 5 1
It's all fun and games until someone gets deactivated for the final 3 games!

It’s all fun and games until someone gets deactivated for the final 3 games!

Week 14 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pickups

Alright, so you’ve made it to the playoffs.  Congrats.  Now, it gets real.  Win you stay in.  Lose, and you get to watch your friends play on and listen to your spouse complain about what a waste of money you’ve spent on “fantasy games.”  But you don’t want to be that guy, that’s why you’re here, and that’s why we’re here for you.  So here are our top waiver wire pickups.

Montee Ball, RB Denver (percent available in Yahoo! leagues, 61%)

Just hold on to the ball.

Just hold on to the ball.

Ball is finally showing the promise that led many people (including The Machine) to draft him as the first rookie RB (over the likes of Eddie Lacy and Gio Bernard).  However, an early case of fumbleitis put Ball on the bench.  It looks like he’s worked his way back to splitting time with Knowshon, and, with Moreno a little banged up, Montee’s been getting more touches.  Last week, he had his first 100 yard game, rushing for 117 on 13 carries against KC.  This week, Denver’s home against Tennessee, and Montee should see between 15-20 touches.

Michael Crabtree, WR San Francisco (54%)

Guess who's back?

Guess who’s back?

We told you to get Crabtree last week, when he was available in more than half of leagues.  He only saw 4 targets last week, but had a 60 yard reception, giving the Niners the deep threat offensive weapon it so desperately needs.  With another week under his belt, Crabtree’s targets should increase.

Donald Brown, RB Indy (50%)

Indy has finally realized that Trent Richardson is a bust, and has turned to Brown as the featured back.  He more than doubled the amount of carries compared to Trent last week (14 to 5), and is being used almost exclusively in the redzone.  That’s where Brown’s value really is.

Trent who?

Trent who?

He’s got a tough matchup this week against Cincy, and while he may not post huge yards, his use in the redzone carries always make him likely to score.  Brown’s a low end RB2 or Flex.

Josh McCown, QB Chicago (40%)

Just throw it to Alshon.

Just throw it to Alshon.

McCown just might be the savior for your fantasy team.  Over his last two games, McCown’s averages more than 350 yards/game, with 4 tds and 1 ints.  He’s filled in quite admirably for the oft-injured Jay Cutler.  In his 6 starts this year, McCown has 9 tds and only 1 int.  He’s got a Monday Night matchup against Dallas, and should continue his hot streak.

Ladarius Green, TE San Diego (25%)

Chances are good for another TD this week.

Chances are good for another TD this week.

Who is Ladarius Green?  He’s a matchup nightmare.  A 6’6” athletic freak that runs a sub 4.5 40.  Although the TE position in San Diego has historically been filled by Antonio Gates, Ladarius’ athleticism has forced him into the lineup.  He’s scored a touchdown two weeks in a row, and is facing a Giants D that gives up plenty of yards in the air.

WEEK 14 Staff Picks ATS (2013)

WEEK 14
  THE GAMES
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/5 8:25 ET Houston    -3 At Jacksonville
12/8 1:00 ET Kansas City    -3.5 At Washington
12/8 1:00 ET At Baltimore    -7 Minnesota
12/8 1:00 ET At New England    -12 Cleveland
12/8 1:00 ET At NY Jets    -3 Oakland
12/8 1:00 ET At Cincinnati    -6 Indianapolis
12/8 8:30 ET At New Orleans    -3.5 Carolina
12/8 1:00 ET At Philadelphia    -3 Detroit
12/8 1:00 ET At Pittsburgh    -3 Miami
12/8 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay    -2.5 Buffalo
12/8 4:05 ET At Denver    -12 Tennessee
12/8 4:25 ET At Arizona    -6.5 St. Louis
12/8 4:25 ET At San Diego    -3 NY Giants
12/8 4:25 ET At San Francisco    -3 Seattle
12/8 1:00 ET At Green Bay    Off Atlanta
12/9 8:40 ET At Chicago    -1 Dallas
THE PICKS
Roid Rage     Ginger King     Dr. Mike     Vegas Vinny
W L T W L T W L T W L T
Last Week 5 10 1 6 9 1 11 4 1 6 9 1
Season to-date 92 93 7 92 93 7 100 85 7 88 98 7
JAC  JAC JAC JAC
KC  KC KC KC
BAL  MINN BAL BAL
NE  NE NE NE
NYJ  OAK OAK OAK
INDY  CINN INDY CINN
NO  NO CAR CAR
DET  DET DET DET
MIA  PITT PIT MIAMI
BUF  TB BUF TB
TEN  DEN DEN DEN
STL  ARI ARI ARIZ
SD  SD NYG NYG
SF  SF SEA SEA
DAL  DAL DAL DAL
LOTW NO  NO KC SEA
LOTW Record 7 7 0 5 9 0 4 10 0 8 5 1

 

Tuesday Teabag, December 3, 2013 – Nick Saban

You know the old saying:  teabags come in three.  Well, that certainly holds true this week, as there are a triumvirate of teabagable head coaches. 

First up, Jason Kidd (how much longer can we call him coach?) for his drink spill timeout (see below).  I’ve seen better acting on the CW (don’t hate on The Vampire Diaries and Supernatural).  Kidd was fined $50,000 for his antics but his real penalty is continuing to be coach of the Nets

Jason Kidd

Next up, Pittsburgh Steelers Coach Mike Tomlin, on Thanksgiving Night, for his inexplicable entrance onto the field, which coincidentally (wink) just happened to be the exact moment Jacoby Jones was running down the sideline returning a kickoff for a touchdown.  Tomlin explained he was trying to get a better view of the jumbotron.  Really?  Were they doing the Kissing Cam?  Is there a better seat in the house than on the sidelines?  The NFL has yet to hand down a penalty, but we all know RGI doesn’t like when people mess with the integrity of the game.  Machine’s guess:  $100k fine (no loss of draft pick) and that’s taking into account Tomlin’s solid reputation.

 

But the real teabag winner this week is Nick Saban, head coach of the Alabama Crimson Tide.  We’ve all seen the highlights; those of us who watched it live are still in awe.  Here it is again:

https://

This entire college football season (until Saturday) was summed up as: what team will lose to Alabama in the National Championship Game?  There was this feeling of inevitability.  Saban is the Bill Belechik of College Football (circa 2003), and Bama was just going through the motions on its way to a third straight national championship.  But who knew Saban was actually Bill Belechik circa 2007 (18-1, bitches!).  Make no mistake:  Nick Saban lost that game for Alabama, with a series of questionable coaching decisions.  Late in the fourth quarter, with the Tide up 7, Saban decides to go for it on 4th and 1 from the 13 yard line, instead of kicking a (short) 30 yard FG.  Sure, his kicker had already missed two, but being up 2 scores is worth it.  FYI, prior to Saturday, your kicker had never missed a FG shorter than 40 yards, so chances are good he hits from 30…or, how about you decide to switch kickers then, instead of bringing the new guy in to try a 57 yard FG when he’s only made one FG in his entire career, which was 20 yards, btw. 

Knowing that there was a good chance that the FG would be short, Saban should have put some players on the field that would be able to defend against a potential return.  He didn’t, and The Machine ventures to guess it’s because of his extreme arrogance and feeling of superiority.  That arrogance and superiority has helped Saban to build his program into what it is (they’re still the best team in the country).  But when that ego grows too large, you begin to think that no one can beat you, no matter what.  Therefore, any decision you make will be the right one.  Sorry Nick, enjoy your big fat piece of humble pie.

It's not my fault the players choked!

It’s not my fault the players choked!

What’s even worse was his comments after the game, where he basically threw his players (read: college kids) under the bus.  On Auburn’s touchdown tying drive with 32 seconds left:  “The corner is suppose to stay with the guy. The corner did not stay with the guy. You have to have tremendous discipline to play against this offense. We made a mental error in coverage that cost us a touchdown.”  Way to stand behind your players.  On Adam Griffith, the redshirt freshman who missed the 57 yard FG:  “Griff makes them from 60 yards in practice so there was a shot.”  Great, so now Griff’s a choker who can’t kick when it counts.  On Cade Foster, his kicker that missed 3 FG during the game:  “The fact of the matter is that we did not make plays when we needed to.  Whether it was a made field goal with a penalty or a missed field goal after that.”  Thanks, Coach, you know that kicker is receiving death threats, right?

The fact that Saban, instead of standing behind his players (how about highlighting the fact that Cade Foster had made 11 consecutive FG and had only missed one all season) and instead of putting the blame on his shoulders, blamed his 18-22 year old players for poor execution is pathetic, and shows that there is no end to his arrogance (he couldn’t possibly have contributed to the loss, right?).  Saban may be revered as God-like in Tuscaloosa, but he showed his true colors in the aftermath of Saturday’s game.  And make no mistake, crazy obsessed Alabama fans:  Saban will bolt as soon as he feels his status as God has been diminished, and will go somewhere that will put him back to God status.  Hello, Texas.

But for now, just live with the fact that he, and he alone, is responsible for ruining your season/life (and McCarron’s chance at the Heisman).  But at lease now you and Nick Saban have something in common:  you’ll both be watching the National Championship on TV this year.

Enjoy your teabag.

Week 13 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pick Ups

Alright, you’ve finally had enough turkey, stuffing, and awkward conversations with your family.  Now it’s time to focus on what really matters:  getting into the playoffs.  For most of us, this is the last week of the (fantasy) regular season, and if you’re still in the hunt, read on to find out what players can get you into the playoffs.

Fear the Ginger Beard!

Fear the Ginger Beard!

Carson Palmer, QB Arizona (% owned in Yahoo leagues, 46%)

Someone tell Carson it’s not 2005.  In his last three starts, Carson’s turned back the clock, averaging 325 yards a game, and he’s thrown 6 tds with only 1 int.  Suddenly, the Cardinals are on fire, winning 4 in a row, and it’s due in large part to the play at quarterback.  This week, Arizona plays Philly, whose defense has given up 4 consecutive 300 yard passing games.  That bodes well for Carson, who should be able to reach 300 yards and a touchdown.

If you’re an Aaron Rodgers owner, Carson makes a great play this week.

Guess who's back?

Guess who’s back?

Michael Crabtree, WR San Francisco (45%)

Crabtree will see his first action of the season this week.  While most coaches would ease in a player making their debut in Week 13, not Jim Harbaugh, because Harbaugh’s a crazy person.  Crabtree will be a much needed addition to the Niners offense.  We like him as a WR3.

Bilal Powell, RB NY Jets (42%)

Ready to run wild this week.

Ready to run wild this week.

Matchup and opportunity.  The Jets face Miami this week, and the Dolphins have a porous run defense.  Plus, the Jets are 4-1 at home this year, and average 146 yards per game at Giants Stadium.  And with Chris Ivory injured, Powell should see the bulk of the action.

Great matchup, and plenty of opportunity.  We like Powell’s chances this week.

 

Benny Cunningham, RB St. Louis (23%)

The pride of Middle Tennessee State University!

The pride of Middle Tennessee State University!

It’s only taken 12 weeks, but St. Louis has finally settled on a RB, at least for now.  Undrafted rookie RB Benny Cunningham has taken over (from fellow rookie RB Zac Stacy) as the main back.  Benny has put up back to back double digit performances, and rushed for an impressive 109 yards and a touchdown against the Bears last week.  With Stacy suffering a concussion in that game, and Darryl Richardson and Isaiah Pead complete afterthoughts, Benny’s in line to get plenty of touches this week.  He’s a low RB2/Flex.

Tim Wright, TE Tampa Bay (19%)

Catching on like a staff infection.

Catching on like a staff infection.

Wright is the only healthy tight end on the roster (damn MRSA), and he stepped up big last week, going 8/75/0.  He’s established a pretty good rapport with Glennon, and is now a factor in the Bucs passing game.  He’s also a Rutgers guy, so the chances of Mighty Mouse Schiano stabbing him in the back and releasing him are slim (although it can’t be ruled out).

WEEK 13 Staff Picks (ATS) 2013

WEEK 13
THE GAMES
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
11/28 12:30 ET At Detroit    -6 Green Bay
11/28 4:30 ET At Dallas    -9.5 Oakland
11/28 8:30 ET At Baltimore    -3 Pittsburgh
12/1 1:00 ET At Indianapolis    -4.5 Tennessee
12/1 4:25 ET Denver    -5 At Kansas City
12/1 1:00 ET At Cleveland    -7 Jacksonville
12/1 1:00 ET At Carolina    -8 Tampa Bay
12/1 1:00 ET At Minnesota    -1 Chicago
12/1 1:00 ET At Philadelphia    -3 Arizona
12/1 1:00 ET At NY Jets    -2 Miami
12/1 4:05 ET At Buffalo    -3 Atlanta
12/1 4:05 ET At San Francisco    -8.5 St. Louis
12/1 1:00 ET New England    -7.5 At Houston
12/1 4:25 ET At San Diego    -1 Cincinnati
12/1 8:30 ET NY Giants    -1 At Washington
12/2 8:40 ET At Seattle    -5 New Orleans
       
THE PICKS
  Roid Rage     Ginger King     Dr. Mike     Vegas Vinny  
  W L T     W L T     W L T     W L T  
Last Week 9 5 0     7 7 0     7 7 0     6 8 0  
Season to-date 87 83 6     86 84 6     89 81 6     82 88 6  
  GB      GB     DET      DET  
  DAL      OAK     OAK      DAL  
  BALT      PIT     PIT      BALT  
  THANKSGIVING DAY LOCK   
  BALT      PITT     DET      DAL  
     
  INDY      TENN     INDY      TENN  
  KC      DEN     DEN      DEN  
  CLEV      JAC     JAC      JAC  
  CAR     TB     CAR      CAR  
  CHI      CHI     CHI      CHI  
  ARI      PHI     ARI      ARI  
  MIA      NYJ     MIA      NYJ  
  BUF      BUF     ATL      BUF  
  STL      SF     SF      SF  
  NE      NE     NE      NE  
  SD      SD     SD      SD  
  NYG      NYG     NYG      NYG  
  SEA      NO     NO      NO  
LOTW SEA      NE      SD      SF  
LOTW Record 6 6 0     4 8 0     3 9 0     7 4 1  
Happy Turkey Day!

Happy Turkey Day!

WEEK 12 Staff Picks ATS (2013)

 

WEEK 12
THE GAMES
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
11/21 8:25 ET New Orleans -9.5 At Atlanta
11/24 1:00 ET At Detroit    -9 Tampa Bay
11/24 1:00 ET At Houston    -10 Jacksonville
11/24 1:00 ET At Green Bay    -4.5 Minnesota
11/24 1:00 ET At Kansas City    -4.5 San Diego
11/24 1:00 ET Carolina    -4.5 At Miami
11/24 1:00 ET At Cleveland    -2 Pittsburgh
11/24 1:00 ET At St. Louis    -1.5 Chicago
11/24 1:00 ET At Baltimore    -3.5 NY Jets
11/24 4:05 ET Tennessee    -1 At Oakland
11/24 4:05 ET At Arizona    -3 Indianapolis
11/24 4:25 ET At NY Giants    -2.5 Dallas
11/24 8:30 ET Denver    -2.5 At New England
11/25 8:40 ET San Francisco -5 At Washington
       
THE PICKS
  Roid Rage     Ginger King     Dr. Mike     Vegas Vinny  
  W L T     W L T     W L T     W L T  
Last Week 5 8 2     7 6 2     4 9 2     6 7 2  
Season to-date 78 78 6     79 77 6     82 74 6     76 80 6  
  ATL     NO     ATL      NO  
  TB      TB     TB      DET  
  HOU      JAC     JAC      JAC  
  GB      GB     GB      MINN  
  SD      KC     KC      KC  
  CAR      CAR     CAR      CAR  
  PITT      PITT     PITT      CLE  
  STL      STL     CHI      CHI  
  NYJ      BALT     BALT      BALT  
  TEN      OAK     OAK      TEN  
  ARI      ARI     INDY      INDY  
  DAL      NYG     DAL      DAL  
  DEN      DEN     DEN      DEN  
  SF      SF     SF      SF  
LOTW SF      KC      KC      JAC  
LOTW Record 5 6 0     4 7 0     3 8 0     6 4 1  
                                       
The party's over in Tampa.

The party’s over in Tampa.

Tuesday Teabag, November 19, 2013 – Roc Nation Sports and Robinson Cano

 

Got 99 problems but Cano ain't one.

Got 99 problems but Cano ain’t one (yet).

We interrupt this NFL season to bring you some news from the diamond.  We’re just two weeks away from Baseball’s Winter Meetings, and things are starting to heat up.  Not familiar with the phenomenon that is the Winter Meetings?  It’s the one time a year where GMs and Execs from all 30 teams get together to discuss current issues in baseball (why no one under 50 watches), potential rule changes (expanded instant replay), and free agents.  There’s more excitement in the Winter Meetings than the first half of the baseball season.  There’s also more bullshit than a Congressional hearing on Obamacare, especially when it comes to free agents.

In the weeks leading up to the Winter Meetings, teams and shameless agents will try to pimp create buzz for their players, in the hopes of striking it rich at the Winter Meetings, or planting the seeds to strike it rich.  And there’s no better example than this than with Robinson Cano.

Cano is the prize jewel of this years’ free agency class.  He’s played his entire 9 year career with the Yankees, and is now looking to ca$h in on free agency.  Sure, he’s a great player that will add value to any lineup.  But is he a player you build your team around?  Is he a franchise player?  Well, if you believe his agents, he’s that and much, much more.

Yes, Cano’s sports agent, led by Jay Z and Roc Nation Sports, are playing crazy hardball trying to drive up the price.  First, they are pushing for a 10 year, $310 million dollar contract.  The Yankees have offered 7 years, $160 million.  $310 million would easily make Cano the highest paid player in baseball, but that’s not even the craziest thing.  No, the crazy part is Team Cano is comparing him to Michael Jordan.  Wait, what?  You don’t throw out an MJ comparison unless you can be damn sure to back it up.  As a general rule, we loathe when people make MJ comparisons…only Kobe comes close.  And in Cano’s case, it’s not even close.

Before we get to the MJ thing, let’s look at some other factors, like stats.  Here’s Cano’s numbers compared to A-Rod’s first 9 full years in the league. 

  Cano A-Rod
Home Runs 204 376
RBI 822 1075
Hits 1649 1663
Average .309 .307
Slugging % .504 .581

Cano’s numbers are good, really good, but they’re not A-Rod numbers, and Cano’s looking to crush A-Rod’s 10 year, $275 million contract.  Despite all the hype from Hova, there’s no way he should even come close to getting A-Rod money, and, unless something crazy happens, he won’t.  Here’s why.

Cano as MJ?  Not.  Even.  Close.

Cano as MJ? Not. Even. Close.

Star Power

This is what’s most infuriating with the MJ comparison.  Quick:  when you think of current Yankees, who comes to mind?  How long did it take you to get to Cano?  Be honest.  Jeter, A-Rod, Mo, then maybe Cano (arguably CC, Tex, and Grandy could go before Cano).  It’s not even close when you consider past Yankees.  Ok, now when you think of the Chicago Bulls, past, present or future, how long does it take you to get to Jordan?  Shit, when you think of the word Chicago or basketball, how long does it take you to get to Jordan?  Exactly.

Cano is not an iconic, face of the franchise/league player like MJ.  As the Daily News points out, Cano has the 5th highest selling jersey for NY players (Christ he’s behind two Mets) and doesn’t even have the highest selling jersey for second basemen, trailing Dustin Pedroia.  Jordan trails nobody, and since the NBA started tracking jersey sales in 1998, Jordan still reigns supreme

Age

Numbers don’t lie, and Cano’s on the wrong side of 30.  He’s 31, and seeking a 10 year contract.  Do you think the recent horrible long-term contracts given to star players in their 30’s…like A-Rod and Pujols, are fresh in the minds of baseball execs?  Indeed.  Cano’s got about 5 more consistently productive years left, and then it drops off.  The Machine thinks the best he’ll do is a 7 year deal with a player option for 8, and club option for 9.

No other suitors

Despite being the biggest talent, there’s no market for Cano, because everyone knows his demands are ridiculous.  It’s just the Yankees.  Perhaps the Mets step up as a bidder…they certainly have a strong track record of making horrible baseball decisions.  Quick trivia question:  who’s the highest paid outfielder on the Mets?  Answer:  Bobby Bonilla.  Yes, even though Bobby hasn’t played a game in over 12 years, the Mets pay him over $1 million a year until 2035.  Holy shit.  So, I guess you can’t count the Mets out, but so far it’s only the Yankees, who are wise to sit back and not move from their 7 year $160 million offer.

Jay Z as agent

Jay Z has stepped into the sports agency business, forming Roc Nation Sports.  He’s been acquiring a decent amount of talent, including Victor Cruz, Geno Smith, Kevin Durant, and now Robinson Cano.  Roc Nation Sports seems to not only want to maximize their clients’ sports earning potential, but also their marketing potential as well.  It’s not a novel concept—to maximize the total earning potential of a player—but it’s novel in the sense that marketing and sponsorship opportunities are at the forefront on contract negotiations.  The bad part of that is it narrows your market to only major market cities (it’s no surprise that 3 out of the 4 clients are in NYC).  Side note:  If Jay Z brings Durant to the Knicks, all will be forgiven.  Do you think Jay Z’s going to listen to offer from the Brewers or the Astros?  H to the Hell no.  Being a Jay Z client means you’re limited to NYC, LA, and maybe Chicago. 

Also, Jay Z is currently being investigated by MLB for giving an improper gift to Cano.  You got to think that the NFL, NBA, and MLB are weary about this new cross-over venture, which has the potential to take an athlete’s focus (gasp!) off of playing sports.  If the MLB comes down hard on Jay Z, that could

So, we get that there’s an element of puffery that always occurs with contract negotiations.  But come on, there still has to be an element of good faith and reasonableness, and comparing Cano to MJ defies logic.  It’s completely transparent, and a piss poor attempt to elevate a person to a level where they have no business being.  But Hova’s backed himself into a corner where he has to get close to what they’re asking.  If reality sets in and Cano ultimately accepts a reasonable deal (somewhere around 7-8 years, $160-200 million) Jay Z and Roc Nation Sports are going to look like fools, and this will set the tone with all clubs for future negotiations.  But that’s what you get when you pull the MJ card.  That, and a teabag.

Enjoy your teabag.