Super Bowl Prop Bet Extravaganza!

Tomorrow either the Patriots (barf) or Rams will hoist the Lombardi Trophy and become World Champions. But let’s get onto what really matters (no, not the commercials!), the GAMBLING!

Sportbook William-Hill is offering more than 440 prop bets on the big game. We’ve scoured the prop sheet to cherry-pick our favorite action (you won’t find the over/under on the length of the National Anthem, or the color of Adam Levine’s shirt), without further ado…..

PropGKRR
Opening Coin Toss WinnerRamsNE
First Pass by Tom Brady: Complete or IncompleteCompleteComplete
First Reception by Julian Edelman, (O/U) 9.5 yardsOU
First Rush by James White, (O/U) 3.5 yardsUU
Total Rushing Yards by Tom Brady, (O/U) 1.5UU
Total Rushing Yards by James White, (O/U) 17.5OO
Longest Reception by Rob Gronkowski (O/U) 20.5OU
Total Completions by Jared Goff (O/U) 24.5UO
Total Touchdown Passes by Jared Goff (O/U) 2OO
Longest Rush by Todd Gurley (O/U) 20.5UU
First Reception by Todd Gurley, (O/U) 7.5 yardsUO
First Rushing Attempt by CJ Anderson (O/U) 3.5 yardsOU
Total Receptions by Josh Reynolds (O/U) 3.5OO
Longest Reception by Robert Woods (O/U) 22.5 yardsOU
What will happen first, Rams score or puntScorePunt
More Completions: Brady or GoffBradyBrady
More Gross Passing Yards: Brady or GoffGoffGoff
More Touchdown Passes: Brady or GoffBradyGoff
Jersey Number of First Player to Score a Touchdown (O/U) 26.5OU
More Points: Gostkowski or ZuerleinZuerleinZuerlein
First Team to use Coach’s ChallengeNENE
Total QB Sacks by both teams, (O/U) 3.5UU
Shortest Touchdown of the game, (O/U) 1.5 yardsUU
First Team to ScoreRamsNE
Longest Field Goal of the Game (O/U) 47.5OO
Longest Touchdown of the Game (O/U) 49.5OU
Team to score last in the first halfNENE
Game will be decided by exactly 3 points (Y/N)NN
Total Number of Players to have a passing attempt, (O/U) 2.5OO
Will there be a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown (Y/N)NN
Total punts by both teams (O/U) 6.5UU

Why the Panthers will win the Super Bowl

Super Bowl 50The Carolina Panthers will win the Super Bowl for the same reason the Auburn Tigers won the 2011 BCS National Championship: Cameron Newton.

The Denver Broncos have a good defense, make no mistake about it. But they aren’t exactly the ’85 Bears or ’00 Ravens….(hell, are they even as good as the ’13 Seahawks that smoked Manning in the Super Bowl??)… They finished the season as the No. 1 defense in terms of Total Defense. Guess who ranked No. 2 and No. 5 in Total Defense. Yup, the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals. The Panthers obliterated those defenses, tallying a combined 55-7 halftime lead. So the Panthers could give two fucks that they have to play a “fast, aggressive” defense. Actually, that plays right into the Carolina Panthers offensive strengths.

Denver’s interior defenders collapsed the pocket while Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware raced by the offensive tackles against the Patriots. They knocked down Tom Brady 20 times! That was the most knockdowns in any game this season….and they were still a two-point conversion away from overtime.   They had a meet you at the quarterback party on pretty much every passing down because they knew where to find the quarterback. Sure, Tom Brady is flirting with GOAT status, but he doesn’t exactly scare you with his legs. Pass rush that aggressive against the Panthers and Cam will gouge you up the middle. He wants to beat you from the pocket with his howitzer arm, but he doesn’t shy away from tucking the ball and transforming into a running back. And why not, he’s as big (if not bigger) than all of Denver’s starting linebackers:

  • Von Miller                           6’3” 250 lbs.
  • Danny Trevathan             6’1” 240 lbs.
  • Brandon Marshall            6’1” 250 lbs.
  • DeMarcus Ware               6’4” 258 lbs.
  • Cam Newton                     6’5” 245 lbs.

Is it a QB?  Is it a RB?  No! It's SuperCam!

Is it a QB? Is it a RB? No! It’s SuperCam!

Carolina will also do something that New England failed to do: run the football! Ginger King thinks he’s old school. And I guess he is in a drinking-wine-coolers-in-his-parents-basement-while-making-prank-phone-calls-on-a-Friday-night kind of way. That’s cool. He was quick to point out the importance of defense winning championships. But isn’t the old adage “run the ball and stop the run”. And Carolina more than checks those two boxes. A healthy Jonathan Stewart, human-bowling ball Mike Tolbert, and Cam Newton form a formidable 1-2-3 punch that can attack you from various formations and schemes.

Kicking it old school isn't all it's cracked up to be.

Kicking it old school isn’t all it’s cracked up to be.

Carolina can play some defense too, they checked in at 6th in Total Defense for the year. They’ve got All-Pro defenders at each level: Kanwann Short, Luke Kuechly and Josh Norman. Norman has the ability to cancel out either Demaryius Thomas or Emmanuel Sanders, while Kuechly is a sideline-to-sideline tackling machine. Peyton has yet to turn the ball over in the playoffs, but isn’t that what a game manager is supposed to do against two average (at best) defenses in Pittsburgh and New England? How will he handle this loaded front-7 and aggressive secondary? Will he continue to be methodical and beat them underneath, or will he cave like the last time he played a defense this good, this late? I’m guessing his turnoverless streak ends on Sunday.

Peyton Manning duck hunting open season starts Sunday!

Open Season of Peyton Manning duck hunting starts Sunday.

Cam Newton represents a new breed of NFL quarterback. A height/weight/speed specimen that can make all the reads, throws and drop dimes all over the field from the pocket; but whom can do equally as much damage with his legs. This type of quarterbacking isn’t a fad; this will be the fourth consecutive Super Bowl featuring such a quarterback under center (Kaepernick, Wilson x2). What separates Cam from those other two is that his size makes him impossible to defend on short yard and goalline situations. But it’s not his size, arm, or speed that makes Newton so great. It’s his ability to elevate the play of his teammates. He makes a great tight-end in Greg Olson into an All-Pro tight-end. He turns career special-teamer Ted Ginn into a 10-touchdown receiver. Super Bowl Champion sure seems like the next box to get checked:

  • Heisman Trophy
  • BCS National Championship
  • Rookie of the Year
  • All-Pro
  • NFL MVP

newton gifThis game will cement Cam Newton as the face of the NFL. In one fell swoop the NFL can usher out a legend and start a new chapter with someone as equally charismatic, charming and talented in Cam Newton. In a league so anally conscientious about its image, about protecting “The Shield”, they have a minority quarterback that can relate to and inspire a new generation of kids (ie. the future talent pool and more importantly: season-ticket holders and merchandise-hawks). Cam Newton winning, succeeding – his way – is the best possible scenario for the future of the National Football League.

Based on the matchup, I don’t think Denver’s offense can produce more than 13 points. If they catch a break on defense or special teams and return a touchdown that puts them at 20. Even if their defense balls-out for a second consecutive game, I don’t see them holding the Panthers under 20 points.

I think we are in for an entertaining Super Bowl.  Give me Riverboat Ron and the Carolina Panthers. Give me Cam. Let me dab.

Panthers 24, Denver 20

(The Carolina -5.5 point line is a bit out of whack.  It originally started at -3, but as late as Friday almost 90% of the money coming in was on the Panthers.  This forced the line to steadily increase throughout the week to -5.5.  Saturday saw a huge swing, with money pouring in on the Broncos, including a few six-figure bets.  The money has damn near evened out as of late Saturday night, with a slight 52% edge on the Panthers.  The above score would be a dream scenario for the bettor who got in early on the Panthers -3.5 and late on the Broncos +5.5…..conversely, and this goes without saying, this is the sportsbooks nightmare scenario….it’s happened before!).

 

WEEK 17 PICKS / LOCKS

steel01

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
129-104-7 127-106-7 111-122-7 118-115-7 116-117-7
NYJ  NYJ BUF NYJ NYJ
TB  TB TB CAR CAR
NE  NE NE NE MIA
CIN  BAL CIN BAL BAL
ATL  NO ATL ATL ATL
JAC  HOU JAC HOU HOU
PIT  PIT CLE CLE CLE
OAK  KC KC OAK OAK
IND  IND IND IND IND
WAS  WAS WAS DAL DAL
DET  DET DET DET CHI
NYG  NYG PHI NYG NYG
MIN  GB GB GB MIN
SD  SD SD SD DEN
STL  STL STL SF STL
SEA  SEA SEA SEA SEA
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
10-5-1 12-4-0 8-8-0 8-8-0 4-12-0
MIN  KC IND NYG HOU

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Week 16 Scorecard

 

WEEK 16 PICKS / LOCKS

Merry Merry

Merry Merry

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
121-96-7 121-96-7 104-113-7 112-105-7 108-109-7
OAK SD SD OAK OAK
WAS PHI WAS PHI WAS
MIN NYG NYG NYG MIN
TB TB TB TB TB
CAR CAR CAR CAR CAR
BUF BUF BUF BUF DAL
JAC NO JAC JAC NO
DET DET DET SF DET
KC KC KC CLE CLE
MIA MIA MIA IND IND
NE NE NE NE NE
HOU HOU TEN HOU HOU
ARZ GB ARZ ARZ GB
STL STL STL SEA SEA
PIT PIT PIT BAL BAL
CIN DEN CIN DEN DEN
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
10-4-1 12-3-0 8-7-0 7-8-0 4-11-0
TB CAR TEN CLE NE

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Oh, want to win your Fantasy Football Championship?!? Check out Ginger King’s Waiver Wire Pickups!

WEEK 16 TNF (& SATURDAY) PICKS

I like San Diego

I like San Diego

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
121-96-7 121-96-7 104-113-7 112-105-7 108-109-7
OAK SD SD OAK OAK
WAS PHI WAS PHI WAS

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

 

WEEK 15 PICKS / LOCKS

Even when Blake loses, he wins.

Even when Blake loses, he wins.

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
112-90-6 110-92-6 95-107-6 107-95-6 102-100-6
TB TB TB TB TB
NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ DAL
MIN  CHI MIN CHI MIN
JAC  ATL ATL JAC JAC
HOU  HOU HOU HOU INDY
KC  KC KC BAL KC
BUF  BUF BUF WAS BUF
TEN  NE NE NE TEN
ARZ  ARZ ARZ PHI ARZ
NYG  NYG CAR NYG CAR
SEA  SEA SEA CLE CLE
GB  GB OAK OAK GB
MIA  SD MIA SD MIA
DEN  PIT PIT DEN PIT
CIN  CIN CIN SF CIN
DET  DET NO NO NO
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
*9-4-0 10-3-0 8-5-0 5-8-0 3-10-0
NYJ  GB CAR NE GB

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Week 14 Scorecard

 

WEEK 15 TNF (& SATURDAY) PICKS

bucbutt

Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
112-90-6 110-92-6 95-107-6 107-95-6 102-100-6
TB TB TB TB TB
NYJ* NYJ NYJ NYJ DAL

*Lock of the week

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

WEEK 14 PICKS / LOCKS

Sea chickens!

Sea chickens!

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
104-82-6 99-87-6 85-101-6 98-88-6 94-92-6
ARZ ARZ ARZ MIN ARZ
PIT  PIT PIT PIT CIN
BUF  PHI BUF BUF PHI
CAR  CAR ATL ATL CAR
SF  CLE CLE CLE CLE
WAS  WAS CHI CHI CHI
DET  DET DET DET DET
KC  SD SD KC SD
TB  NO NO TB NO
INDY  JAC JAC JAC INDY
NYJ  NYJ NYJ TEN TEN
NE  NE NE NE NE
OAK  DEN DEN OAK DEN
GB  GB GB GB DAL
SEA  SEA SEA SEA SEA
MIA  NYG NYG NYG NYG
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
*9-4-0 *10-3-0 *8-5-0 *5-8-0 *3-10-0
GB  NE BUF DET NE

FOOTBALLLOCKS.COM

FOOTBALLLOCKS.COM

 

WEEK 14 TNF PICKS

Is that a Brett Favre jersey?

Is that a Brett Favre jersey?

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
104-82-6 99-87-6 85-101-6 98-88-6 94-92-6
MIN  ARZ ARZ MIN ARZ

Week 13 Scorecard

FOOTBALLLOCKS.COM

FOOTBALLLOCKS.COM

 

WEEK 13 PICKS / LOCKS

money-throwing

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
95-75-6 91-79-6 79-91-6 88-82-6 86-84-6
GB GB GB GB GB
CHI  CHI CHI SF CHI
CIN  CIN CIN CIN CIN
JAC  JAC TEN TEN TEN
BUF  HOU HOU HOU HOU
MIA  BAL MIA BAL MIA
CAR  CAR CAR CAR CAR
SEA  SEA MIN SEA MIN
ARZ  ARI ARZ ARZ ARZ
TB  TB ATL TB ATL
NYJ  NYG NYG NYJ NYG
DEN  DEN DEN DEN DEN
OAK  OAK KC OAK KC
NE  NE NE NE NE
PIT  PIT INDY INDY PIT
WAS  WAS WAS WAS DAL
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
8-4-0 9-3-0 8-4-0 4-8-0 3-9-0
ARZ  CIN CHI ARZ ATL

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com