| CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP | |||||||||||||||||||
| THE GAMES | |||||||||||||||||||
| Date & Time | Favorite | Spread | Underdog | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/19 3:00 ET | At Denver | -5.5 | New England | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/19 6:30 ET | At Seattle | -3.5 | San Francisco | ||||||||||||||||
| THE PICKS | |||||||||||||||||||
| Roid Rage | Ginger King | Dr. Mike | Vegas Vinny | ||||||||||||||||
| W | L | T | W | L | T | W | L | T | W | L | T | ||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
| NE | NE | DEN | DEN | ||||||||||||||||
| SF | SF | SF | SEA | ||||||||||||||||
Conference Championship Sunday! [Spoiler Alert: Take the points]
This is the best Sunday of football. Hell, it’s probably the best Sunday of the year! Four teams vying for a shot to play in the Super Bowl. You couldn’t have scripted it better this year as there are a thousand fascinating storylines. But it basically boils down to this:
Brady v. Manning. Kaepernick v. Wilson
New England at Denver (-5.5)
The line on this game hasn’t sit well with me…..or the public, as 81% of the money has come in on NE….all week. Belichick and Brady in an outdoor AFC conference championship against an opponet they are all to familiar with and already beat once this year and you’re spotting them a TD?!
The Week 12 matchup between these two teams….which saw NE win on an overtime field goal…seems like an eon ago. Since then, Von Miller blew out his knee, pot became legal in Colorado and Peyton Manning and Papa John built a DeLorean! That game was one of the wackiest all year. The Broncos stormed out to 24-0 halftime lead. Game-flow combined with a Patriots defensive scheme that dared Denver to run the ball resulted in Knowshon Moreno toting the ball 37 times for 224 yards and 1 rushing TD. We won’t see that kind of workload again. I also doubt we’ll see Manning throw for less than 150 yards, Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker held to 4 catches each or Eric Decker held to 1 catch.
New England has changed their identity a bit since then too. They’ve featured a balanced offense, with a power-running attack lead by LeGarrette Blount….with a name like that, nevermind. Julian Edlemen and Danny Amendola are nightmare matchups for most slot corners. New England won’t have a problem moving the ball on Denver’s defense. I’d expect the Patriots to follow San Diego’s Week 14 blueprint (the same blueprint San Diego couldn’t follow last week) of ball control, time-of-possession offense while trying to rattle Manning with pressure on defense. Easier said than done.
This game will truly be chess match and could really loom large in defining the Brady-Manning Rivalry.
When the dust settles, I really think Denver has much more firepower than New England. I think Denver wins, but there is no way I’m beating against Brady and Belichick, I’ll gladly take the points.
Prediction: Denver 31, NE 26
San Francisco @ Seattle (-3.5)
The first game is going to look like a hugfest compared to this game. The coaches hate each other, the fans hate each other and the players really hate each other. I can’t wait for the glorious Anquan Bolden- Richard Sherman matchup. Bolden absolutely bullied and abused the Carolina secondary last week which really set the tone for that entire game. He actually lost mind a few times and should have been flagged for head-butting on at least one occasion. He’d better keep his cool because it wouldn’t surprise me if the ref’s paid extra attention to him this week.
These teams split their games against each other this year, with the home team winning each game. If I have to listen to somebody tell me that the fans caused a mini-earthquake on the Beastmode run against the Saint a few years back I’m going to vomit. Sure, it’s loud. And it’s a tough place to play but the Niners aren’t going to be rattled. They are far more dynamic on offense than the Seahawks. The Niners should be adopting a Greg Williamesque mantra when it comes to beating Seattle: “Kill the Beastmode and the body will follow”.
I’ll gladly take Kaepernick + Harbaugh + 3.5.
Prediction: 49ers 19, Seattle 17
Tuesday Teabag, January 14, 2014 – Home Field Advantage
Wow, what a weekend of games. Beastmode and the Seahawks backed up their #1 seed, Peyton proves he’s still the best player in the game, C Kap and the Niners relish the role of evil villain (and look damn impressive doing so), and the Patriots unleash six rushing tds in a beat down of Indy.
[Selfless self-promotion alert] If you’ve been keeping score (and hopefully betting) with The Machine’s expert picks, you’ll see that this Ginger and Roid Rage nailed it last week, each going a perfect 3-0-1. Obviously, Vegas Vinny finished last.
Anyway, this sets up one hell of a Championship weekend. Niners at Seattle: the biggest rivalry in the NFL today, and New England at Denver: Brady v. Manning. Need we say more? These games are going to be epic, and we can’t imagine how great it would be to experience them live…and that’s where the teabag comes in.
Immediately after the Niners/Seahawks game was set, the Seahawks announced that they would only be selling tickets to people that live in geographically friendly areas, which, as you can guess, does not include California. Similarly, the Broncos front office is restricting sales as well.
Think about that for a second…and then let the rage take over. Are you kidding me? This is a classless move by both teams. It forces Niners and Patriots fans to buy tickets on the secondary market at ridiculously marked up prices. It’s stupid and low brow, qualities The Machine normally appreciates, but not in this instance.
And where’s the outrage from my Commerce Clause fans?
It’s especially douchey for Seattle, who boasts the 12th Man…the loudest stadium in the NFL, where fans cause earthquakes. If you truly have the best home field advantage, why do you have to pull this gimmick?
Sorry, but you’re the #1 seed in the NFC. You don’t need to pull some second-rate promotional bullshit that’s befitting a Triple-A baseball team. It’s almost as bad as Zubaz and a Monkey Night. Same goes for you, Denver. You have Peyton Manning and government grade weed. You don’t need this.

This is actually genius.
Need more proof this is crazy? Niners Coach Jim Harbaugh respects it. Um, last we checked, Jim Harbaugh is a raving lunatic…and if he endorses it, you know it’s crazy.
The Machine hopes this doesn’t become a trend, but it’s a copycat league, so the chances that this is the only time it happens is remote. If this does become the new wildcat, we hope RGI and the league will step in and prohibit this. Nothing says fan friendly like some good old geographic discrimination.
This just reeks of desperation and insecurity, which is strange coming from the NFL’s two best teams. You guys are the #1 seeds. You don’t need any more affirmation.
What little respect we did have for the 12th Man [cue east coast bias] has now completely vanished. It just means they’ll be more Seahawks fans there to watch them lose.
Enjoy your teabag.
Divisional Round Staff Picks ATS
| DIVISIONAL | |||||||||||||||||||
| THE GAMES | |||||||||||||||||||
| Date & Time | Favorite | Spread | Underdog | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/11 4:35 ET | At Seattle | -8 | New Orleans | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/11 8:15 ET | At New England | -7 | Indianapolis | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/12 1:05 ET | San Francisco | -1 | Carolina | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/12 4:40 ET | At Denver | -9.5 | San Diego | ||||||||||||||||
| THE PICKS | |||||||||||||||||||
| Roid Rage | Ginger King | Dr. Mike | Vegas Vinny | ||||||||||||||||
| W | L | T | W | L | T | W | L | T | W | L | T | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||
| NO | NO | NO | SEA | ||||||||||||||||
| NE | NE | NE | NE | ||||||||||||||||
| SF | SF | SF | CAR | ||||||||||||||||
| SD | SD | DEN | DEN | ||||||||||||||||
NFL Divisional Playoffs – Super Saturday!
Alright, we’ve suffered five days with no football (sorry, the NBA just doesn’t fill the void) but now we got a weekend full of football. Let’s get right to Saturday’s action.
New Orleans at Seattle (-8)
As a general rule, you pick the Saints when they’re underdogs. As an absolute, you pick the Saints when they’re getting more than a touchdown. Look, I get the 12th man thing, loudest stadium in the league thing, blah, blah, blah. But I can’t really see the Saints losing by more than a touchdown. In fact, this Ginger likes the Saints chances to win outright. New Orleans got over the road playoff hump last week in Philly, and Sean Payton will have his team ready to roll. But it’s certainly not going to be an easy task…and the cards certainly favor the Seahawks.
These teams played each other last month (in Seattle), and the Seahawks smoked the Saints 34-7. Now, Seattle’s had a week to get healthy, and Percy Harvin’s back. Plus, the Legion of Boom, led by Richard Sherman, the best corner in the game (sorry Revis) will make things tough for Drew Brees to air it out. But the Saints have shown that they can run a balanced offense, and, if Seattle’s D has any weakness, it’s defending the run.
This game is going to be close, even more reason to love the Saints getting 8. And if you need another reason, Vegas Vinny picked Seattle to cover. And while we wait for what we think is going to be the game of the weekend, let’s marvel at Beastmode’s epic run the last time these teams met in the playoff:
Indy at New England (-7)
In the night cap, Andrew Luck and the Colts take on dreamboat Tom Brady and the Patriots. Indy’s a tough team to gauge. At times, they play like a team that has no business being in the playoffs, like when then spotted Kansas City 28 points (at home) last week. At other times, they play with the resilience of champions, like when they came back against Kansas City down 28 (in the third quarter)! This Jekyll and Hyde approach will come to an end in New England.
It’s tough picking against New England at home, despite our deep hatred of all things Boston. Plus (conspiracy theory alert!) there’s no way the NFL lets the Pats lose. The AFC Championship Game will be New England and Denver. Brady v. Manning for the right to go to the Super Bowl. The NFL (yes, the entire NFL) has a hard on to make that happen.
Conspiracy theory aside, the matchups favor New England. The Pats have the advantage in experience, veteran leadership, and coaching. No Gronk? No problem. Brady will use Julian Edelman in the slot more. And don’t underestimate New England’s running game. It’s actually quite good…good enough for 9th in the league at nearly 130 yards a game.
The Colts have made great strides this year, but they’re a year or so off from making a deep run in the post season. New England, on the other hand, needs to win now before the light on their dynasty turns off. It’s that sense of urgency that will propel the Pats to victory.
Tuesday Teabag, January 7, 2014 – Moms Gone Wild!
Happy New Year Machine fans. This year, we promise to bring you more of what you love. More NFL Draft coverage, more gratuitous pictures of Kate Upton (you’re welcome), and yes, more teabags. So let’s get right to our first teabag of 2014. Crazy Mom #1 Queary: Is there a better group of sports fans than drunk moms? Answer: No. They’re fun, totally irrational, DTF, and fiercely protective of their family. And that was on full display last week at the Sugar Bowl, where Alabama played Oklahoma. Let’s let the gif do the talking and then we’ll fill in the details:
As the story goes, as reported by our friends at Deadspin, Michelle Pritchett, sweet mother of three and an Alabama fan, was at the game with her family and was engaged in some harmless back and forth with some Oklahoma fans. Then, things quickly got out of control. As shown on the gif above (and youtube clip below) Michelle – mom jeans and all – launches herself several rows down and lands on top of the Oklahoma crew. If you haven’t seen it (or even if you have seen it several dozen times, like us, it’s worth a view again): According to Michelle, she was just protecting her family (who was nowhere near danger, btw). Said Michelle, “It escalated. When they said something to my son, I told them to shut their mouths. They were telling my son to come down there and ‘do something about it.’ I said, ‘no, that’s not going to happen. This crap needs to stop.” Michelle then goes full suburban mom, and both apologizes and takes no responsibility at the same time. “I apologize to the whole Alabama team, to Nick Saban,” she said. “I apologize to the whole Alabama base. That’s not the way I would normally handle things. But when he told my son to come down there, that wasn’t going to happen.” She then added, “Would I take that back? No. He was out of control.” And, just so we’re all clear, Michelle was not, repeat, not, drunk. “And I wasn’t intoxicated either. I want people to know that. I’d had a couple of drinks, but I was not intoxicated.” Bweep, bweep, bweep…there’s The Machine’s Bullshitdar going off the charts. Of course she was hammered. That video has white girl wasted written all over it. Perhaps it’s a cultural thing (The Machine is admittedly ignorant/scared of the South) but if by “a couple of drinks” she means a peanut butter jar of moonshine, then we’d agree she only had a couple of drinks. And we love her justification for jumping into a crowd of people at a sporting event in front of her family. They [the big, mean Oklahoma fans] told her son to come on down, presumably to fight. So mom, selfless, good hearted mom who just wants to protect her so (who, btw is nowhere in the video). Ah, irrationality, a clear sign of drunk mom. Thankfully, more creative people love this story and have put together music montages for our viewing pleasure. There are several, but we like this one (set to Sweet Home Alabama, heavy metal, and sound effects from Street Fighter) Sorry, one more, for you Miley Cyrus fans (looking at you, Roid Rage)
Crazy Mom #2 Because one crazy mom isn’t enough…The Machine has another one for you. We’re staying in the South and with Alabama, apparently a hot bed of milfs crazy middle-aged white women. Dee Dee McCarron, mother to AJ McCarron, Alabama’s quarterback, is apparently still scorned that her little angel (pronounced “aiinjel”) lost the Heisman to FSU Quarterback Jameis Winston. And when mom’s mad, she does what all rational people do…Tweet! Yes, after the historic National Championship Game Monday night between FSU and Auburn, truly a game for the ages, Heisman winning QB (and freshman) Jameis Winston was interviewed on the field. Here’s what he had to say. What a moment for Jameis and FSU. His remarks were genuine, heartfelt, and humble…three things that very few college freshman are. However, Dee Dee (with a name like Dee Dee, do you get the sense a troubling day for her involves running out of fresh mint for her mint julep?) not happy seeing some other college quarterback share take the spotlight from her baby, instantly tweeted:
Her tweet was quickly deleted, but not before the damage was done. Now granted, diction may not be Jameis’ strongest suit, but it’s clear what he’s saying, just as it’s clear Dee Dee’s tweet has a not so subtle racial overture. To clear up any confusion, Dee Dee then tweeted:
Any1 that knows our family knows we r far from racist. My tweet was not in anyway meant that way. I sincerely apologize if it offended any1 — Dee Dee McCarron (@DeeDeeBonner) January 7, 2014
As a general rule, if you have to send out a clarifying message that says “we are far from racist” it probably means you’re not as far as you think. Is anyone surprised that Dee Dee’s twitter profile reads: “Proud Ma of 4 boys. Feisty and will defend them to the end.” Even if the end involves quasi-racist comments to the world.
Enjoy your teabag.
Wildcard Staff Picks ATS
| REGULAR SEASON RESULTS | |||||||||||||||||||
| Roid Rage | Ginger King | Dr. Mike | Vegas Vinny | ||||||||||||||||
| W | L | T | W | L | T | W | L | T | W | L | T | ||||||||
| 131 | 117 | 8 | 135 | 113 | 8 | 132 | 116 | 8 | 121 | 127 | 8 | ||||||||
| LOTW Record | 10 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | |||||||
| WILD CARD | |||||||||||||||||||
| THE GAMES | |||||||||||||||||||
| Date & Time | Favorite | Spread | Underdog | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/04 4:35 ET | At Indianapolis | -1 | Kansas City | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/04 8:10 ET | At Philadelphia | -2.5 | New Orleans | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/05 1:05 ET | At Cincinnati | -7 | San Diego | ||||||||||||||||
| 1/05 4:40 ET | San Francisco | -3 | At Green Bay | ||||||||||||||||
| THE PICKS | |||||||||||||||||||
| Roid Rage | Ginger King | Dr. Mike | Vegas Vinny | ||||||||||||||||
| KC | INDY | INDY | KC | ||||||||||||||||
| NO | NO | NO | NO | ||||||||||||||||
| CIN | CIN | SD | CIN | ||||||||||||||||
| SF | GB | GB | GB | ||||||||||||||||
Wildcard Matchup Podcast
Wildcard Weekend is Here!!!
Finally, the playoffs are here! College Bowl games have provided us a nice appetizer for the main event. If history tells us anything, your Super Bowl Champion is playing this weekend. The last three Super Bowl Champs (Baltimore, NYG, Green Bay) were Wildcard Weekend Warriors. So who will win the Super Bowl? Whoa, slow your roll, son…The Machine likes a little foreplay every now and then. Let’s start with Saturday’s wildcard matchups.
Kansas City at Indy (-1)
Is anyone excited about this game? It seems not, as Indy is having a tough time selling tickets. How is it possible that this game (or any playoff game) would not be sold out??? As it stands, the Colts have until 4:35 pm today to sell the remaining 3,000 tickets to avoid a blackout. How can you not sell out a playoff game? Is watching Alex “Game Manager” Smith that bad? Perhaps folks are still pissed at Trent Richardson for ruining their fantasy season. The Machine’s guess: those tickets get sold, and no blackout. There are also unsold tickets in Cincy and Green Bay. Interesting…
Anyway, back to the game. This is a repeat of a Week 16 matchup, where Indy played at KC and completely dominated the Chiefs, winning 23-7. The Colts are an interesting team. They’ve had some inexplicable losses (blowouts to St. Louis and Arizona) and seem to struggle to find an offensive identity. However, winners of 4 of their last 5, they are getting hot at the right time.
While Andy Reid is a lock for coach of the year, he faces a tough task on Saturday. Injuries are starting to mount up for the Chiefs…Tamba Hali and Eric Fisher are likely out, and the statuses of Dwayne Bowe, Justin Houston, and Brandon Albert are murky. Even if all (or some) play, they won’t be at 100%. Notwithstanding, Jamaal Charles and Alex Smith will keep this game competitive, but Indy will be too tough.
Prediction: The Machine likes Indy to cover, and we’ll take the over on crazy Irsay tweets.
New Orleans at Philly (-2.5)
For sure the marquee game of the day, Drew Brees and the Saints march into Philly to face the NFC East Champion Philadelphia Eagles. This is a really tough game to predict. All of a sudden, Chip Kelly is back to having a gimmicky revolutionary offense. But is his defense enough to compete with the gun and gun offense of the Saints? Also, Philly was a dismal 4-4 at home this year. Fortunately for them, the Saints were even more atrocious on the road, going 3-5 (compared to a perfect 8-0 at home). The Saints are also 0-5 all-time in road playoff games.
The real equalizer here will be the weather. With gametime temperatures in the 20’s, the weather will be the best player on Chip Kelly’s revolutionary gimmicky defense. Philly has shown that it can play in the cold, playing in that memorable snow game against Detroit earlier this year.
Also, they have Shady McCoy, the NFL’s leading rusher, and the game’s best offensive line. And Nick Foles has been on fire, throwing for 21 tds and only 2 ints in his last 8 games (not surprisingly, the Eagles were 7-1 over that stretch).
The Saints are an offensive juggernaut, and Rob Ryan has greatly improved their defense (do you hear that, Jerrah?). On paper, the edge goes to the Saints. It’s hard to think that, even with the weather, Drew Brees and co. will not find a way to exploit Philly 32nd (yes, dead last) ranked passing defense (told you it’s gimmicky).
Prediction: As much as it pains us to write this, The Machine likes the Eagles to prevail. Running will come at a premium, and Philly is the number 1 rushing team in the league (Saints are 25th).
At 53.5 points, we’re still fans of the over. Actually, for those betting enthusiasts, tease the Saints with the over.
Enjoy the games, and check back with us for our analysis of Sunday’s games.
2014 – Year of The Machine
While most of you are nursing (or soon to be nursing) your New Year’s Day hangover, The Machine has been busy breaking down playoff matchups, putting together our first mock of the year, and working on all kinds of new things for 2014.
Stay tuned for more of the stuff you love, from the guys you love more.













