2015 NFL Mock Draft (Roid Rage’s 2.0)

Round 1 Team Pick Position
1 Buccaneers J. Winston (FSU) QB
2 Titans L. Williams (USC) DL
3 Jaguars V. Beasley (Clemson) EDGE
4 Raiders K. White (WVU) WR
5 Redskins M. Mariota (Oregon) QB
6 Jets D. Fowler Jr. (Florida)  EDGE
7 Bears A. Cooper (Alabama) WR
8 Falcons A. Dupree (Kentucky) EDGE

Ginger King has Mariota moving up four spots to No. 2 overall, exactly where I had him in my first mock draft.  While I still think a team (probably Cleveland) makes a move up to grab the Oregon signal-caller, the price to leap to the second spot in the draft is too risky **cough**RG3**cough.  By waiting to make a move until No.5, you leap-frog the NYJ (who probably jump all over MM), don’t have to give up as much draft capital and still get your guy.  The Redskins, for the first time since Daniel Snyder has owned the team, actually have a competent football guy (Scot McCloughan) calling the shots, so I could totally see them jumping at the chance to move down and stockpile extra draft picks.

6'5", 305 lbs., 4.97s/40

6’5″, 305 lbs., 4.97s/40

The Titans get the best player in this draft.  Leonard Williams will anchor an intriguing Titans defense, whom added Brian Orakpo, Derrick Morgan, D’Norris Searcy and DC Dick LeBeau this off-season.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
9 Giants B. Scherff (Iowa) OL
10 Rams D. Parker (Louisville) WR
11 Vikings S. Ray (Missouri) EDGE
12 Browns L. Collins (LSU) OL
13 Saints A. Armstead (Oregon) DE
14 Dolphins M. Peters (Washington) CB
15 49ers B. Jones (UConn) CB
16 Texans T. Waynes (MSU) CB

I’m sticking with Scherff to the Giants.  He is the best offensive linemen in the draft and just feels like a Tom Coughlin type of player.

This section of the draft includes some of my favorite prospects, including Parker, Armstead and Jones.  Armstead isn’t a guy that will generate a ton of sacks, but he is going to cause havoc in the run and pass and absolutely give offensive linemen all they can handle.

6'7", 292 lbs., 5.10s/40

6’7″, 292 lbs., 5.10s/40

The run on DB’s starts with the Dolphins apparently….

Round 1 Team Pick Position
17 Chargers M. Brown (Texas) DT
18 Chiefs J. Strong (ASU) WR
19 Browns R. Gregory (Nebraska) EDGE
20 Eagles A. Peat (Stanford) OL
21 Bengals D. Shelton (Washington) NT
22 Steelers L. Collins (Alabama) S
23 Lions K. Johnson (WF) CB
24 Cardinals T. Gurley (Georgia) RB

I originally had Dorial Green-Beckham to the Chiefs at 18.  I could still see that given his unique size/speed blend, but there are too many off the field concerns to risk it this early.  I have him falling out of the first round, which means he’ll be a Day 2 steal.

I don’t like Danny Shelton as many as most, but he is a mountain of a man that will considerably improve the Bengals run-defense (still a key to winning the AFC North).

6'2", 339 lbs., 5.64s/40

6’2″, 339 lbs., 5.64s/40

Round 1 Team Pick Position
25 Panthers E. Flowers (Miami) OT
26 Ravens M. Gordon (Wisconsin) RB
27 Cowboys J. Collins (LSU) CB
28 Broncos E. Harold (Virginia) LB
29 Colts C. Erving (FSU) C
30 Packers J. Fisher (Oregon) OT
31 Saints TJ. Clemmings (Pittsburgh) OT
32 Patriots E. Goldman (FSU) DT

TJ Clemmings drops down the board due to his recent negative medical checks.  The Ravens always seem to get value, and the selection of Melvin Gordon continues that trend.  Justin Forsett and Gordon would make a dynamic rushing attack for the Ravens.

Gordon makes it two RBs in the 1st.

Gordon makes it two RBs in the 1st.

2015 NFL Mock Draft (Ginger King 2.0)

 

It's almost time!

It’s almost time!

Round 1 Team Pick Position
1 Buccaneers Jameis Winston (FSU) QB
2 Titans Marcus Mariota (Oregon) QB
3 Jaguars Leonard Williams (USC) DL
4 Raiders Kevin White (WVU) WR
5 Redskins Dante Fowler (Florida) EDGE
6 Jets Vic Beasley (Clemson) EDGE
7 Bears Amari Cooper (Alabama) WR
8 Falcons Alvin Dupree (Kentucky) EDGE

 

We're convinced Marcus is going #2.  Question is: to whom?

We’re convinced Marcus is going #2. Question is: to whom?

Ok, some big changes from our Mock 1.0.  Chief among them:  Marcus jumps up to number 2.  Yeah, yeah, he doesn’t fit Ken Whisenhunt’s system.  But the Draft is all about maximizing value.  And while you can’t really trust trade rumors prior to the Draft, we do believe that the Titans will trade out of this spot.  There are several rumored teams (Philly, Cleveland, San Diego) that want to move up.  Tennessee could stockpile picks and still have a mid-first round pick.  Ginger King’s prediction:  San Diego trades up and sends Philip Rivers to Tennessee.  It makes sense for many reasons.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
9 Giants Danny Shelton (Washington) DT
10 Rams Brandon Scherff (Iowa) OL
11 Vikings Trae Waynes (MSU) CB
12 Browns La’el Collins (LSU) OL
13 Saints Shane Ray (Missouri) EDGE
14 Dolphins Devante Parker (Louisville) WR
15 49ers Arik Armstead (Oregon) DE
16 Texans Todd Gurley (Georgia) RB

 

An undersized DE or oversized LB?

An undersized DE or oversized LB?

The Giants switch lines this round, giving Spagnoulo some much needed muscle on the defensive line.  The Saints would love it if Shane Ray falls to them.  It’s looking more and more likely that the Texans will draft Todd Gurley.  Gurley needs to go to a team where he will not be expected to contribute a full load right away, given his knee injury.  Whatever teams takes him will likely have an aging running back on their roster and looking to start the transition.  This aptly describes the Texans, who could still rely on Arian Foster in the short term and let Gurley ease into the offense.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
17 Chargers Andrus Peat (Stanford) OL
18 Chiefs Ereck Flowers (Miami) OL
19 Browns Malcolm Brown (Texas) DT
20 Eagles Jaelen Strong (ASU) WR
21 Bengals Dorial Green-Beckham (OU) WR
22 Steelers Landon Collins (Alabama) S
23 Lions D.J. Humphries (Florida) OL
24 Cardinals Randy Gregory (Nebraska) DE

 

Puff, puff, give!!!

Puff, puff, give!!!

OL and WR will dominate the first round, and that will be more evident as we get into the second half of the first round.  San Diego, if it decides to hold on to this pick (and Philip Rivers) would do well to try and bolster the offensive line.   Character problems = No problems for the Cincinnati Bengals, as they take a chance on the supremely talented (yet supremely troubled) Dorial Green-Beckham.   Finally, Randy Gregory’s rapid descent should stop with the Cardinals.

 

Round 1 Team Pick Position
25 Panthers M. Gordon (Wisconsin) RB
26 Ravens B. Perriman (UCF) WR
27 Cowboys M. Peters (Washington) CB
28 Broncos T.J. Clemmons (Pitt) OL
29 Colts B. Jones (UCONN) CB
30 Packers E. Kendricks (UCLA) LB
31 Saints P. Dorsett (Miami) WR
32 Patriots D. Smith (OSU) WR

 

After two years in a row with no RB taken in the first round, Melvin Gordon becomes the second back off the board.  An argument can be made that any of these teams at the end of the first round (except maybe Green Bay) could use him, and don’t be surprised if a team like the Colts trades with Baltimore (to get ahead of the Cowboys where he’s sure to get picked).  For this round, he doesn’t make it past the Panthers.  Not one to shy away from character issues, the Cowboys go with a huge boom or bust pick in Marcus Peters.  Peters is the best corner in the draft, but he’s a walking red flag, having been kicked off the Huskies team in November.  As if that’s concern for Jerrah.   Byron Jones and his ridiculous broad jump go to the Colts.  The U makes it back to the first round, with Philip Dorsett the newest weapon for Drew Brees.  And finally, the rich get richer as the Patriots end the first round with the multi-talented Devin Smith.

12'3" broad jump = first round.

12’3″ broad jump = first round.

2015 Mock Draft (Ginger King’s 1.0)

Round 1 Pick Analysis
1. Tampa Bay BucsTampa Bay 2 Jamies Winston, QB Unless Lovie and the boys are throwing a major smokescreen, this is going to be the pick.  You may as well send the signing bonus straight to Mons Venus.
2 Tennessee TitansTennessee Titans Leonard Williams, DE Williams is being touted as the best player in the draft, and we believe it.  Tennessee seems content with Zach Mettenberg as their starting quarterback.  Apparently they weren’t paying attention when he played last year.  Anyway,
3. Jacksonville JaguarsJacksonville Jaguars

Dante Fowler, DE

The Jags continue their streak of Top 10 picks (6 years in row, btw).  Gus Bradley values speed and defense, and he’ll get both with Fowler.

4. Oakland RaidersOakland Raiders Kevin White, WR

This pick will be a receiver, the question is, which one?  Both White and Amari Cooper are neck and neck as the draft’s top wideout.  How do the Raiders settle ties?  40 times.  In that case, the edge goes to White.

5. Washington RedskinsWashington Redskins

Danny Shelton, DT

Washington has to get better up front defensively.  Despite every coach they bring in hating RGIII, the offense is not their problem…at least not their biggest problem.  Shelton’s the best tackle in the draft, drawing comparisons to Haloti Ngata.

6. New York JetsNY Jets

Marcus Mariota, QB

The Jets would love it if Mariota were still here.  It puts them in a great position to trade out of this pick, as a number of teams (Eagles, Cleveland, San Diego) are rumored to want to trade up.  They could stockpile picks or move on from the Geno Smith era and draft Mariota.

7. Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons Vic Beasley, DE

Atlanta needs to get younger and faster upfront.  They should take the best edge rusher available.  Beasley, Alvin Dupree, and Randy Gregory may all be available.  Gregory smoked himself out of the Top 10, and we give Beasley a slight edge over Dupree.

8. Chicago BearsChicago Bears

Amari Cooper, WR

Chicago would run to the podium with this pick if Cooper falls to them here.  With Brandon Marshall gone, Chicago doesn’t miss a beat by drafting this Julio Jones clone.

9. New York GiantsNY Giants

La’el Collins, OT

The smart pick is offensive line, because even with that makeshift line the Giants had last year, Eli Manning has one of his best years.  The Giants will pick the best lineman that projects as a tackle.  That’s why Collins gets the edge over Brandon Scherff.  Plus, the G-Men love LSU players.

10. St. Louis RamsSt. Louis Rams Brandon Scherff, OT

A no brainer pick.  With Jake Long gone, and Joseph Baksdale set to leave via free agency, the Rams need to reload on the offensive line.

11. Minnesota Vikings Shane Ray, DE
12. Cleveland Browns Alvin Dupree, DE
13. New Orleans Saints Randy Gregory, DE
14. Miami Dolphins Trae Waynes, CB
15. San Francisco 49ers Andrus Peat, OT
16. Houston Texans Devante Parker, WR
17. San Diego Chargers Melvin Gordon, RB
18. Kansas City Chiefs Malcom Brown, DE
19. Cleveland Browns Ereck Flowers, OT
20. Philadelphia Eagles Jaelen Strong, WR
21. Cincinnati Bengals Eddie Goldman, DE
22. Pittsburgh Steelers Landon Collins, S
23. Detroit Lions DJ Humprhries
24. Arizona Cardinals Erik Kendricks, LB
25. Carolina Panthers Todd Gurley, RB
26. Baltimore Ravens Arik Armstead, DT
27. Dallas Cowboys Jalen Collins, CB
28. Denver Broncos TJ Clemmons, OT
29. Indianapolis Colts Cameron Erving, OL
30. Green Bay Packers Byron Jones, CB
31. New Orleans Saints Dorial Green-Beckham, WR
32. New England Patriots Breshad Perriman, WR

 

2015 NFL Mock Draft (Roid Rage’s 1.0)

Round 1 Team Pick Position
1 Buccaneers J. Winston (FSU) QB
2 Titans M. Mariota (Oregon) QB
3 Jaguars V. Beasley (Clemson) EDGE
4 Raiders L. Williams (USC) DL
5 Redskins D. Fowler (Florida) EDGE
6 Jets K. White (UWV) WR
7 Bears A. Cooper (Alabama) WR
8 Falcons S. Ray (Missouri) EDGE

I’m not buying the Titans hitching their Franchise Wagon to Zack Mettenberger.  I also don’t care that Mariota isn’t a Ken-Whisenhunt-type QB; who says this pick is even Whiz’s to make?  The Titans either try to extort some team (I’m looking at you NY/Philly) for a ton of picks, or they simply roll with the best signal caller available.

The NFL is all about QB play on offense and getting after the QB on defense.  Three “Edge” defenders get called in the first eight picks.  Beasley’s athleticism is the tie-breaker with Fowler.

Vic Beast-ley

Vic Beast-ley

Round 1 Team Pick Position
9 Giants B. Scherff (Iowa) OL
10 Rams T. Waynes (MSU) CB
11 Vikings M. Peters (Washington) CB
12 Browns D. Shelton (Washington) DT
13 Saints L. Collins (LSU) OL
14 Dolphins R. Gregory (Nebraska) EDGE
15 49ers D. Parker (Louisville) WR
16 Texans T. Gurley (Georgia) RB

Eli Manning has gotten rag-dolled the last two years playing behind make-shift lines.  Surely going into his last contract, the Giants best chances of winning is keeping Eli upright in the pocket (and peppering ODB with 150+ targets)!

As the Saints overhaul their offensive philosophy, a potential franchise tackle falls into their laps at pick 13.  Speaking of value, DeVante Parker absolutely has the skill set to be the best wide receiver in this draft class; the 49ers have a glaring hole at WR to boot.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
17 Chargers M. Brown (Texas) DT
18 Chiefs D. Green-Beckham (OU) WR
19 Browns A. Armstead (Oregon) DE
20 Eagles A. Peat (Stanford) OL
21 Bengals A. Dupree (Kentucky) EDGE
22 Steelers L. Collins (Alabama) S
23 Lions B. Jones (UConn) CB
24 Cardinals E. Flowers (Miami) OT

Dorial Green-Beckham is the wildcard of this draft.  We all know about this ability’s both on and off the field.  I’m sure there are a number of teams that will completely take him off their draft boards.  The Chiefs take a shot on his upside and completely remake their (league worst) WR depth chart from last year.

Please don't end up in Cleveland, please don't end up in Cleveland, please...

Please don’t end up in Cleveland, please don’t end up in Cleveland, please…

Round 1 Team Pick Position
25 Panthers TJ. Clemmings (Pitt) OT
26 Ravens E. Kendricks (UCLA) LB
27 Cowboys K. Johnson (WF) CB
28 Broncos M. Gordon (Wisconsin) RB
29 Colts C. Erving (FSU) C
30 Packers J. Fisher (Oregon) OT
31 Saints S. Thompson (Washington) LB
32 Patriots E. Harold (Virginia) LB

Waiting on RBs has been en vogue in recent years.  I’m bucking that trend and Melvin Gordon makes it two running backs selected in the first round (Gurley to Houston at 16).  The Broncos are shifting to a more balanced offensive attack for two reasons: their high-flying aerial assault doesn’t work against elite defenses (see Super Bowl beatdown) and because Peyton is rapidly losing velocity on his fastball.

Virginia v Virginia Tech

Tuesday Teabag, March 17, 2015 – Syracuse University

“S” is for Sanctions.

First, happy St. Patrick’s Day!  If there are any typos, it’s not because The Machine’s been drinking since noon.  Second, happy March Madness!  Still studying your bracket to find your upset special (you better pick at least two 12/5 upsets).  While you’re focusing on the teams that are in the tourney, our Tuesday Teabag focuses on one that’s not.

By now you’re well aware of the sanctions the NCAA imposed on Syracuse athletics.  It’s surprising/sad that the football team was involved too.  FYI, if you’re going to cheat, you better at least be good.  And no, winning the Pinstripe Bowl does not count.

Anyway, just recently the NCAA laid the hammer on the Orange.  Jim Boeheim was suspended for 9 games next season (pretty sure he wish that would’ve started sooner so he didn’t have to witness the beatdown against NC State), took away 12 scholarships, and vacated 108 wins, going back to 2004.  Shit, even Otto got banned from the mascot game.  Boom.  Just like that, Boeheim drops from the 2nd winningest Division I Men’s Basketball Coach to the 6th (and Bobby Knight beats him again, this time without Keith Smart).

Otto got hosed!

Otto got hosed!

Boeheim’s no stranger to The Machine.  Last year, we gave him a Teabag when his temper tantrum cost SU the game against Duke.  This time, his actions (or non-actions) have cost him even more.  Suspension, an unprecedented amount of wins vacated, and loss of scholarships affecting kids who weren’t even at the school.  Sounds pretty harsh, right?  Well, The Machine says bullshit.  Syracuse fans should be lucky the NCAA allowed them to keep its 2003 National Title.

Sorry, but we’re not buying your lame excuses.  When your best defense is “everyone else is doing it” you’re shit out of luck.  That didn’t work when your parents busted you for smoking, that didn’t work with your high school girlfriend, and it sure as hell doesn’t work here.  [cue Mom or prude high school girlfriend voice]:  “I don’t care if everyone does it, that doesn’t mean it’s right.”  Now shudder that those two voices are similar.

Look, if you told me that 95% of Division I schools violate the rules, I’d say you’re missing a few.  There’s a reason why no current coaches are slamming Boeheim…because they know if the light’s shined on their school they’re screwed.  But that doesn’t mean there are no consequences for getting caught.  In all facets of life where competition is a driving force, people are going to bend break the rules to gain a competitive edge.  Am I right, New England Patriots?

An equally dumb argument is that Boeheim didn’t know what was going on.  Are you kidding me?  Does Boeheim look like the kind of guy that has a loose, laissez faire approach to life?  Sorry, not buying it.  Coaches, by nature, are control freaks.  College coaches even more so, as they’re trying to mold teenagers into professional student athletes.  These guys know every detail of these kids’ lives before they arrive on campus.  They send scouts out all over the country to watch high school games, and spend countless hours recruiting players and convincing their families they should play at their school.  You think that switch turns off once they get to college?

Perhaps the dumbest argument is the one put forth by Dick Vitale.  Dickie V gave an impassioned ridiculous defense of Boeheim, saying he was guilty of one thing:  trust.  Yeah, Boeheim unknowingly hired a bunch of evil doers.  [cue Dickie V voice:]  Come on!  Are you serious?

You have the Director of Basketball Operations (and others) accessing player’s email accounts, pretending to be the players and corresponding directly with professors and turning in assignments on behalf of players.  Then you have Fab Melo.  You know, your star player who can barely speak English.  Don’t you think Boeheim ever thought, “gee, I wonder if Fab’s inability to speak English is hampering his academic success.”  You need to read this Deadspin article to truly appreciate the clusterfuck that went on with Fab.

There’s no way he doesn’t know something’s up.  Giving him the biggest benefit of the doubt, Boeheim is at best willfully ignorant.  But again, that’s no excuse.  You’re the head coach.  The buck stops with you.  Plausible deniability is no defense.

Wait, my players don't go to class, receive improper benefits, and have their papers written for them?  Noooo...

Wait, my players don’t go to class, receive improper benefits, and have their papers written for them? Noooo…

Also, did anyone else find it a little disingenuous that Syracuse issued its self-imposed ban on postseason play during a year when their team sucked?  They didn’t need any ban on postseason play this year because they were never getting into the NCAA tourney.  Can you be more transparent and self-serving?  Syracuse waited for the most opportune time to self-impose its penalty, so it would do the least amount of damage.  And, for the most part, it worked.

Were the penalties a little harsh?  Maybe, but guess what?  They should be.  It’s called deterrence, and sending a message.  Taking away wins from coaches, tarnishing their legacy, hits them right where they feel it most, their ego.  And you need to have penalties that extend into the future (e.g. loss of scholarships).  The penalties must be severe enough so that’s it’s not worth the risk of cheating.  Even then, teams will still do it.  But if all teams were faced with are backward looking fines and penalties, that’s not enough.  And that’s why The Machine thinks maybe the penalties for Syracuse weren’t so bad after all.

The only things affecting next year are Boeheim missing the first 9 fluff games of the season (pretty sure the Cuse can handle Colgate without Jim at the helm) and the loss of scholarships.  [Edit:  the suspension is for the first 9 conference games, so Jim will be on the bench against the Raiders]. That stings, for sure, but the 12 scholarship losses are phased out over 4 years.  It’s certainly not the “death penalty” that Syracuse fans are now calling on other schools to receive.  Importantly, SU is not banned from next year’s postseason, which is key.  Syracuse has one of the best recruiting classes in the country next year, so keeping their postseason eligibility was an absolute must in order to avoid any defections.

And that’s why no one should cry foul about the NCAA sanctions.  Be thankful they stopped where they did.  Did they take away too many games from Boeheim?  Probably.  But that won’t matter when SU’s in the Final Four next year.

Enjoy your teabag.

Grading the Draft: The three year look back of the 2012 Draft

Yes.  Finally.  You may say offseason, but The Machine says Draft Season.  You may also be wondering:  Why hasn’t The Machine put up a mock draft yet?  Are we lazy (no way [grabs another beer]).  Did we lose our love for the Draft (not a chance).  Then what is it?  Well, we respect the Draft so much that putting up a mock draft before free agency starts is moronic.  Like, really dumb.  Like, is the dress blue or white dumb (who gives a shit)?

Sorry, mock drafts before free agency are pointless.  And we openly judge any mock draft before the combine.  Teams fill their needs through free agency first, then the draft.  Query:  is anyone going to be mocking a WR to the Jets anymore?  Exactly.

But what, then, can we do with our time?  Great question.  Maybe we can watch some spring training [laughs hysterically].  Well, while you wait for The Machine to put up its first mock and details for The Machine’s Draft Party, sit back and , it’s not too early to analyze a prior draft.

Given all the preparation, analysis, and studying that teams do, you’d think that drafting (at least in the first round) would be a slam dunk.  But, as The Machine will show you, that’s not exactly the case.

Drafts, like that fine box of white zin you have in your fridge, take time to mature.  A good rule of thumb is it takes three years to give a true analysis of a draft.  Instant analysis of a draft is dumb.  Like, really dumb.  Case in point:  3 years out, it’s unquestionable that the Seahawks had the best draft, drafting Bruce Irvin, Bobby Wagoner, and Russell Wilson with their first 3 picks.  However, the instant analysis of the 2012 Draft was harsh.  Kiper gave them a C-, Pete Prisco graded the Wilson pick a D (I mean, they had Matt Flynn, what were they thinking?), and SB Nation gave them an F.

With that said, let’s take a look at the 2012 and see how the experts did.

The Colts got it right, but very few others did.

The Colts got it right, but very few others did.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
1 Indianapolis Colts Andrew Luck QB
2 Washington Redskins Robert Griffin III QB
3 Cleveland Browns Trent Richardson RB
4 Minnesota Vikings Matt Kalil OL
5 Jacksonville Jaguars Justin Blackmon WR
6 Dallas Cowboys Morris Claiborne CB
7 Tampa Bay Mark Barron CB
8 Miami Dolphins Ryan Tannehille QB
9 Carolina Panthers Luke Kuechly LB
10 Buffalo Bills Stephon Gilmore CB

First, wow.  Ok, Luck’s legit and Kuechly’s a stud, but what about the rest?  Blackmon’s not even in the NFL anymore (so much for those background checks) and Trent Richardson just joined him on the unemployed line.  RGIII?  The Cowboys traded up to grab Claiborne, and he’s been a huge disappointment.

What about the rest of the first round?  Glad you asked.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
11 Kansas City Dontarie Poe DL
12 Philadelphia Eagles Fletcher Cox DL
13 Arizona Cardinals Michael Floyd WR
14 St. Louis Rams Michael Brockers DL
15 Seattle Seahawks Bruce Irvin DE
16 New York Jets Quinton Coples DE
17 Cincinnati Bengal Dre Kirkpatrick CB
18 San Diego Chargers Melvin Ingram LB
19 Chicago Bears Shea McClellin DE
20 Tennessee Titans Kendall Wright WR
21 New England Patriots Chandler Jones DE
22 Cleveland Browns Brandon Weeden QB
23 Detroit Lions Riley Reiff OL
24 Pittsburgh Steelers David DeCastro OL
25 New England Patriots Dont’a Hightower LB
26 Houston Texans Whitney Mercilus LB
27 Cincinnati Bengals Kevin Zeitler OL
28 Green Bay Packers Nick Perry LB
29 Minnesota Vikings Harrison Smith CB
30 San Francisco 49ers A.J. Jenkins WR
31 Tampa Bay Bucs Doug Martin RB
32 New York Giants David Wilson RB

The rest of the first round isn’t that pretty.  Brandon Weeden just turned 60, and he’s a career backup qb, David Wilson’s already retired, and several other players haven’t made much of an impact.  Number of pro bowlers from the first round?  6.  That’s it.

Well, at least they had that moment.

Ever wonder why the Browns always suck?  It starts with inept management.

Upon review, the 2012 Draft sucked.  For all the scouting and sleepless nights in the war room, a lot of teams (cough, Cleveland Browns, cough) got it wrong.  The Machine grades the first round a D.  The best player (Russell Wilson) wasn’t drafted until the third round.  And despite 4 receivers drafted in the first round, the best one (Alshon Jeffrey) was drafted in the second round.

Ok, back to this draft.  Now that free agency has started, our mock drafts will be coming fast and often, all leading up to the greatest non-sporting night of the year.  Check back soon to find out your team will draft.

Super Bowl Picks!

Super Bowl XLIX
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Sunday 6:30 PM New England 1 Seattle
Prop Bets
Total Points O/U 48
Total Passing Yards – Tom Brady O/U 260.5
Longest Rush – LaGarrette Blount O/U 14.5
Total Receiving Yards – Rob Gronkowski O/U 74.5
Total TD Passes – Russell Wilson O/U 1.5
Total 1st Half New England Points O/U 12.5
Total 1st Half Seattle Points O/U 12
Longest Game TD O/U 44.5
Shortest Game TD O/U 1.5
Number of ‘DeflateGate’ mentions during game O/U 2.5
Who will throw first TD pass Brady (-165) Wilson (+120)
Who will have more Recptions? Edelmen (-130) Gronk (even)
Feb. 1st: Who will score more points? Carmelo Anthony New England
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
YTD 110-126-5 127-110-5 118-118-5 115-121-5 125-111-5
Lock Wins 9 8 8 4 4
Seattle New England New England Seattle New England
Under Over Over Under Over
Over Over Over Under Over
Under Under Under Under Over
Over Over Over Under Over
Under Over Under Under Over
Under Over Over Under Over
Over Over Under Under Over
Over Under Under Under Over
Under Under Over Under Under
Over Over Over Over Over
Brady Brady Brady Brady Brady
Edelmen Gronk Edelmen Edelmen Gronk
Melo NE NE NE NE
DeflatedGate Who?

DeflateGate Who?

Super Bowl XLIX – Why the Seahawks Will Win

Bang it here to read Ginger King’s rant on why the Patriots will win lose the Super Bowl.  Cliff notes version: basically, GK talks about how awesome Brady and Gronk are, but then it quickly unravels into a NY Giants propaganda piece; you can’t spell Elite without Eli blah blah blah…

So sure, I got “stuck” with Katy Perry and the Seahawks.  GK is not only disappointed that the G-Men are watching from home, but also that his boy Bruno bonerjam Mars declined an encore halftime performance.  There is always next year buddy (spoken like a true Bills fan)!

Let’s get the ol’ clichés out of the way shall we?  This time of the year you always hear “defense wins championships” and “you have to be able to run the ball and stop the run”.  If that lazy analysis is all it takes then, BAM! Exhibit A:

1st is pretty good, right?!

1st is pretty good, right?!

I know what you’re thinking, Seattle shouldn’t even be here; this would be Rodgers v. Brady if Green Bay didn’t give away the NFC Championship game.  But I’m not buying that weak ass explanation of how we got here.  Green Bay didn’t give that game away as much as the Seahawks took it from them.  Russell Wilson, who was playing pitch and catch with the Packer secondary all day long, made plays he when he had too.  It also doesn’t hurt that Marshawn Lynch went all BeastMode in the 4th quarter either.  Speaking of Marshawn…

He enjoys long walks on the beach, Skittles, and making full grown men cry.

He enjoys long walks on the beach, Skittles, and making full grown men cry.

Marshawn Lynch is the football equivalent of Dennis Rodman (except Lynch actually scores).  Each takes on the persona of an over-the-top, in-your-face, stick-it-to-the-man badass (a shtick both use for their own capital gains… hey kids, buy your officially licensed BeastMode gear here!).  Crotch grabs notwithstanding, it’s what Lynch does on the field that matters.  Between rushing and receiving, Marshawn tallied 1700 all purpose yards during the regular season and scored more non-passing touchdowns (17) than anyone else in the league.  That is beastly production.  He has great balance and agility, which, combined with his power running style makes him nearly impossible for one guy to tackle.  New England’s defensive is stout against the run, but they will have their toughest matchup of the season come Sunday.

Seattle has an effective read-option element to their run game that keeps edge defenders honest just long enough to buy Lynch an extra split second to find daylight.  Should the defender get eager and commit too early, Russell Wilson is savvy enough to tuck it way and run with it.  Speaking of Russell…

Been there.  Done that.

Been there. Done that.

You know he isn’t going to throw four interceptions in the Super Bowl, right?  But if he does, you know he has the mental make-up to shake it off and go make a play.  A lesser quarterback would fold under similar circumstances.  I imagine that said lesser QB will be watching the big game from his couch… or maybe filming another Papa Johns commercial.

Wilson is 10-0 against other Super Bowl winning QB’s.  That’s a funny stat, because Russell doesn’t actually play against the others quarterbacks, Seattle’s nasty defense does.  Speaking of the Legion of Boom…

Will there be cameras and microphones at the Super Bowl?  Oh, than I guarantee Sherman is there.

Will there be cameras and microphones at the Super Bowl? Oh, than I guarantee Sherman is there.

Sherman.  Thomas. Chancellor.  These are household names by now.  This secondary is full of ball hawks that fly (puns intended) around all over the field.  But their front-seven, while less unheralded, is just as formidable.  I’ve heard numerous talking heads say that New England is going to establish the run with LeGarrett Blount.  I don’t see it.  First, we’re talking about LeGarrette freaking Blount.  Second, New England doesn’t exactly impose their will on the ground, evident by their 18th ranked rushing attack.  Their offensive line has gotten pushed around and has looked pedestrian at times.  While Seattle won’t have the benefit of the 12th Man (easily like the 17th or 18th best fan base in the league by-the-way…..that’s right, I said it) their front four will consistently make plays in the backfield.  Haven’t we already seen what this defense can do on the biggest stage against an immobile, future HOF QB with marginal run support?

Lucky for us, this game won’t be a blowout.  Points are going to be a premium in what will be a closely contested game.  In the end, Seattle’s defense, running attack and Russell Wilson calm-under-fire demeanor are the difference. Give me the Hawks, 23-20.

(barf)

(barf)

Super Bowl XLIX – Why the Patriots Will Win

Super Bowl XLIX

It’s almost time for the big game.  This one’s tough to call.  It’s #1 v. #1 (so much for parity).  Both teams seem pretty evenly matched up.  The Patriots and their high octane offense led by dreamboat Tom Brady and the honorary social chair for every fraternity, Rob Gronkowski, against Richard Sherman and the Legion of Boom.

Yes, the Super Bowl is finally here, with all its grandiose display of shameless corporate promotion and endless interviews and press coverage.  But that’s why we love it.  It’s the biggest display of American excess pride we got.  I mean, we call them “World Champions” but the sport’s only played here.  How much more ‘Merica can you get?

Looking forward to Maria's pre-game reporting.

Looking forward to Maria’s pre-game reporting.

At our Editorial Board meeting, it was decided that Roid Rage and I would each pick a team and explain why they would win the Super Bowl.  Roid Rage will also be live tweeting the Katy Perry halftime special.  Lucky for me, I got the Patriots, because they are going to win the Super Bowl.  Like it or not, but Tom Brady is about to win his 4th Super Bowl title.

You can analyze all the stats you want, but this years’ Super Bowl comes down to three questions:

What is Tom Brady’s record in the Super Bowl against the New York Giants?

What is Tom Brady’s record in the Super Bowl against the rest of the NFL?

Are the Giants in the Super Bowl?

Sorry America, Eli's not here to bail you out this time.

Sorry America, Eli’s not here to bail you out this time.

There you go.  It is that simple.  Arguably, Tom Brady should have 5 Super Bowls, the Pats should have a 19-0 record and Don Shula and the rest of the ’72 Dolphins would remain on lock down in The Villages (Florida’s friendliest hometown).  But who knew that Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning would be their kryptonite?  No such problem this time around.

The Patriots are built different than many other teams, and this goes right to how well coached they are.  List the top wide receivers in the game.  How many does it take before you get to a Patriot?  What about running back?  Their scheme involves a plug and play approach at the skill positions.  Protect Tom Brady with a solid offensive line, and then it doesn’t matter who runs or catches the ball.  Remember Jonas Gray, who ran for 201 yards and 4 tds against the Colts back in November?  How many yards has he had since (including the playoffs)?  84.  Christ, LeGarrette Blount wasn’t even on the team two months ago.  Last week, he ran for 148 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

Sure, the Patriots will stretch (read: willfully violate) any rule in the NFL rulebook, be it videotaping, illegal formations, or, most recently, deflating footballs.  But you know what?  It works, and Belichick couldn’t give to shits about what you think.  His smug, pugnacious, arrogant demeanor embodies this team.  Granted, they may be hated by the rest of the country and by everyone that can properly pronounce the letter “r” (it’s PARK YOUR CAR, dammit!) but he doesn’t care.

Good job executing that play that will be deemed illegal next week (read: after we already won).

Good job executing that play that will be deemed illegal next week (read: after we already won).

Bill should be looking at videotape (whether legally or illegally recorded) of the Seahawks/Packers game two weeks ago.  In that first half, Russell Wilson had 2 completions and 3 ints.  Green Bay did that by pressuring with the front 4 and containing the edge, preventing Wilson from executing the weak side read-option run that he is so brilliant at.  The Patriots have the speed and discipline up front to do that.

On the flip side, Seattle’s D is predicated on their back 4 (the Legion of Boom), not the front 4.  If Tom has time, I don’t care who is in Seattle’s secondary.  And Gronk is a matchup nightmare for anyone.

It takes at least two people to guard Gronk.

It takes at least two people to guard Gronk.

And let’s talk about coaching for a second.  Sure, Pete Carroll will have some tricks up his sleeve…his coaching is what turned things around in the NFC Championship game, with ballsy calls like the fake field goal (props to John Ryan (a ginger) for being the first special teams player to throw a touchdown in the playoffs), but does anyone think he can outfox Belichick?  Really?  I think Pete will try too hard to out-Bellichick, Bellichick, and it will cost him.

Just not my moobs.

Just not my moobs.

Regardless, this should be an entertaining game.  There will be lots of fireworks and exciting plays.  This should be a high scoring, close game, and when the clock hits 0:00, the blue and red confetti will rain down, and the Patriots will once again be crowned World Champions.  Sometimes, being evil pays off.

At some point, this will get old for him.

At some point, this will get old for him.

AFC Championship Game

afcchamplogo

Indianapolis @ New England (-7.0)

Championship Sunday wraps up with the Colts taking on Tom Brady and the Patriots in Foxboro.  Brady + Belichick + Foxboro + January = I know where I’m laying my money.

Foxboro Forecast: Rain & easy money

Foxboro Forecast: Rain & easy money

The Colts are a fun team to root for.  Andrew Luck is living up to his enormous hype…you know, the best quarterback prospect since John Elway.  The Indianapolis brain-trust is vindicated in their decision to cut bait on an aging Peyton Manning for 15 years of Andrew Luck.  Just ask Jim Irsay, he’ll be glad to tell you all about it. The Colts feature explosive wideouts in TY Hilton and Donte Moncrief. They can’t run the ball for shit, get pushed around in the trenches, are considerably reckless in the ball security department and don’t put up much of a fight on defensive.  As a result, they tend to get into shootouts and let Luck carry the team on his shoulders.  But didn’t they just hold the Broncos and Bengals to 13 and 10 points respectively you ask?  Sure, but honestly could you pick two bigger playoff choke artists than Andy Dalton and Peyton Manning?  Plus, as it turns out, Peyton McChokeyChoke had two bum legs to go along with that robo neck of his.

Butterface Fanbase

Butterface Fanbase

Tom Brady doesn’t choke in the playoffs….unless it’s the Super Bowl….against the G-Men.  But don’t take my word for it, just look at their squeaky clean 16-4 home playoff record.  By the way, half of those loses came at the hands of Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens in recent years, so those demons got exorcised last weekend.

The Patriots are simply a bad match-up for the Colts.  Look no further than the boxscore of the week 11 beat down the Pats laid on the Colts (in Indianapolis).  They made Jonas Gray look like a young-and-not-so-bitter Jim Brown as he dropped 200 yards and 4 touchdowns on them. So Gray is going to go bananas again, right? Wrong!  Remember, Belichick is a genius…or a lunatic, pick your adjective…for all we know Gray won’t even be active for the game (which will still make him as useful as Trent Richardson).  For these reasons I’ve learned to stop hating and love the hoodie!

This guy is a handful

This guy is a handful

Vegas is predicting a shootout with an over/under of 54 and has the Patriots as a one touchdown favorites.  I think Luck is game enough to keep this close for a few quarters but Brady-to-Gronk proves to be too much.  The Patriots win by double digits and use this as a tune-up for the Seahawks.  Silver-lining for the Colts: Andrew Luck will have a reason to shave that woodchuck hanging from his neck.

You'll never land a Papa Johns deal with this look.

You’ll never land a Papa Johns deal with this look.