Week 4 – Waiver Wire Pickups

Are you ready?!?

Are you ready?!?

First, let’s get the self-congratulatory stuff out of the way.  Again, The Machine nailed last week’s waiver wire picks.  Rishard Matthews (whom everyone is telling you to get now) was only owned in 28% of the leagues last week.  He get a shout out from The Machine and boom, he’s now owned in 67% of leagues.  That’s the type power we have here.  Ok, maybe it’s the fact that Rishard had a monster week, going 6/113/2.  He has more yards and tds than Jarvis Landry.  Continue to ride that waive.  Also, Blake Bortles turned in a serviceable start last week, throwing for 242 yards, 2 tds and 1 int.  Don’t let those ESPN fools fool you…we tell you who to pick up before it’s obvious.  So let’s get to this week’s picks.

Robert Woods, WR Buffalo (2% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Beautiful feet.

Beautiful feet.

Listen up, because you haven’t heard this sentence used much, if ever:  The Buffalo Bills have fantasy worth players.  It’s true.  Two weeks ago, we recommended Tyrod Taylor, when he was only owned in 13% of leagues.  Tyrod is now owned in 70% of leagues, and is a legitimate Top 10 fantasy qb.  And this brings us to Robert.

Woods has seen his targets increase each week, which is a good sign.  Sammy Watkins is dinged up again (can we call him oft-injured now?) which means more opportunities for Woods.

Plus, don’t forget:  Rex Ryan is crazy.  Like the Patriots, he wants to beat the Giants so bad, in his never-ending quest to prove he’s no one’s whipping boy (ironic he’s making that stand in Buffalo).  Anyway, we expect the Bills to air it out this week.  Woods is a touchdown dependent WR4/FLEX.

Coby Fleener, TE Colts (23%)

Coby should see his targets increase.

Coby should see his targets increase.

Fleener gets a bump this week thanks to Dwayne Allen and his bum ankle.  With Allen out last week, Coby had six targets, and ended up with 4 catches for 51 yards.  Not bad for a fill in TE.  The goal of waiver wire pickups is either (a) weekly band-aid for your team, or (b) picking up a player for the long haul before everyone else does.  Coby fits the former.  If you’re looking for a stop-gap TE this week, Fleener’s your guy.

Brian Quick, WR St. Louis (24%)

Welcome back.

Welcome back.

Quick will make his season debut for the Rams this week.  He instantly becomes the Rams top option at receiver.  Although the match up isn’t great against the Cardinals, it’s not often you see a #1 WR sitting on waivers.  He’s definitely worth a spot on your bench, and if you’re desperate at receiver, plug him in but please temper expectations.

Bonus Pick

Antonio Gates, TE San Diego (52%)

Antonio will soon see the endzone again.

Antonio will soon see the endzone again.

We normally only focus on people who are owned in fewer than 50% of leagues (it’s stupid for us to tell you to pick up Karlos Williams when he’s owned in 80% of leagues).  Anyone that mentions him as a waiver wire pickup should be quickly met with a “no shit” comment.

But we will break from tradition slightly to tell you to look at your waiver wire, and if Antonio Gates is still there, pick him up immediately.  Gates tied for the league lead in tds by a TE with 12 last year, and was a Top 4 TE overall.  He’s finishing up his four game suspension, and next week will resume his place as a TE1.  By next week, he will be owned in 80% of leagues.  Get him now.

Week 4 TNF Staff Picks

Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
30-17-1 30-17-1 20-27-1 24-23-1 23-24-1
BAL  PIT PIT BAL BAL

bell01

Week 3 – Waiver Wire Pickups

 

Giddy up!

Giddy up!

Happy football Sunday!  Not to toot our own horn, but last week The Machine crushed it with our Fantasy advice.  Tyrod Taylor threw for 3 tds (and rushed for 1), and both David Johnson and Larry Donnell scored.  You’re welcome, America.  Let’s look at who’s still out there that can help your team this week.

Dexter McCluster, RB Tennessee (5% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Tennessee, like most of the league, has a running back by committee approach, with Dexter sharing time with Bishop Sankey and Terrance West.  But Dexter has carved out a nice little niche as the pass catching running back.  In a PPR league, he makes a lot of sense this week.  He’s got a great match up against the Colts.  Sankey and West aren’t exactly lighting it up, which equals more opportunities for the shifty McCluster.  If you’re one of those teams already plagued with RB injuries (Andre Ellington) or on a team whose coach doesn’t like black people (Demarco Murray) Dexter could fill in.

Blake Bortles, QB Jacksonville (11%)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Jacksonville JaguarsFor the reasons we like Tyrod last week, we like Blake.  It’s all about matchups, and there is much to like about Bortles this week.  First, he’s going to be throwing a lot.  The Pat are 13.5 point favorites and will probably cover.  This means the Jags will abandon the run early and throw the ball.  Second, New England’s secondary is weak, which will allow Blake to rack up yards.  Third, Bortles is coming into his own.  He played great last week against Miami – a team with a much better defense than New England – throwing for 273 yards, 2 tds and 0 ints.  A repeat of those numbers this week isn’t out of the question.  We like him better than guys like Alex Smith, Joe Flacco, and Carson Palmer this week.  Fourth, see below.

Rishard Matthews, WR Miami (28%)

Tannehill's secret weapon.

Tannehill’s secret weapon.

Matthews has put together two solid weeks, and he’ll look to make it three today against Buffalo.  His problem is that he’s (at best) the #3 WR, behind Jarvis Landry and Devante Parker.  However, if he keeps balling like this, they’ll have to find room for him.  Devante Parker is still not 100%, which slides Matthews up to #2.  We like him as a 3WR/FLEX today against a Bills D that gave up 466 passing yards last week.

Crockett Gillmore, TE Baltimore (45%)

New kid on the block.

New kid on the block.

If you asked yourself, “who the fuck is Crockett Gillmore”, you’re not alone.  But he has established himself as a TE1 through two weeks.  Averaging 5 targets a week, Crockett has become a reliable passing option for Joe Flacco.  He grabbed 2 tds last week.  Jason Witten’s status is iffy this week, so you’re looking for another option at TE, Crockett’s a good play.

BONUS PICK:

Rueben Randle, WR Giants (28%)

Rueben RandleHere’s a sneaky play.  Yes, the Giants already played this week, but if you got a spot on your bench, make room for Randle.  With Victor Cruz’s status still uncertain, and with Preston Parker cut (thank you), Reuben will see plenty of action as the #2 receiver behind Odell Beckham, Jr.  Rueben is streaky, but he pulled it together this week, catching all 7 of his targets for 116 yards and a touchdown.  He will quickly be added in leagues next week, but because you read The Machine, he’ll already be on your team.

Even when Blake loses, he wins.

Even when Blake loses, he wins.

WEEK 3 PICKS / LOCKS / SURVIVOR

What's that saying about Jersey girls being trashy?

What’s that saying about Jersey girls being trashy?

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
20-11-1 18-13-1 10-21-1 14-17-1 15-16-1
WAS NYG NYG NYG NYG
STL  PIT PIT PIT PIT
MIN  SD SD MIN SD
HOU  HOU HOU TB HOU
NYJ  NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ
CAR  CAR NO CAR NO
JAX  NE NE NE NE
CIN  CIN BAL BAL BAL
CLE  CLE CLE OAK CLE
TEN  TEN INDY INDY INDY
ATL  ATL ATL ATL DAL
ARZ  ARZ ARZ ARZ ARZ
SEA  SEA CHI SEA CHI
BUF  BUF BUF BUF MIA
DEN  DEN DEN DET DEN
GB  GB GB GB GB
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
1-1-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0
ATL  PIT PIT ATL NYJ
Survivor Pool Pick
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
SEA **DEAD** **DEAD** **DEAD** **DEAD**

 

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Week 2 Scorecard

Week 3 TNF Staff Picks

Safe. Boring. Money.

Safe. Boring. Money.

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
11-4-1 11-4-1 6-9-1 8-7-1 9-6-1
WAS  NYG NYG NYG NYG

Week 2 Scorecard

Week 2 – Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy FootballWeek 1’s in the books, and already, things are getting crazy.  Key injuries (Dez) and busts (CJ Anderson) may already be affecting your team.   Time to throw in the towel?  Ginger, please!  Fantasy championships are won by savvy waiver wire pickups.  And, depending on how hung over we are, we’ll hook you up with weekly waiver wire grabs.  Now, on to the show.

Tyrod Taylor, QB, Buffalo (% owned in Yahoo! league, 13%)

If he beats the Pats today, they will build a statute for him and he'll become Mayor of Buffalo

If he beats the Pats today, they will build a statute for him and he’ll become Mayor of Buffalo

This weird thing happens every year in Buffalo.  Stop me if you’ve heard this before. Bills start out hot (“this is our Year!” mutters a drunk Buffalonian from beneath a pile of wings).  Last year’s failures are forgotten.  Bills have a big statement win (in September).  Chris Berman trots out his “Nobody circles the wagons” shtick.  The whole City gets filled with excitement…and then [note: Bills fans stop reading] the Bills go 2-6 down the stretch and New England wins the AFC East.  Seriously, this happens every year.

BUT, according to Roid Rage, this year it’s different.  This year really is THE YEAR.  He has the excitement and innocence of a puppy…I just don’t have the heart to break his spirit (and I’m certainly not going to stand in the way of his Rex Ryan back tat).

Having said that, we like what we’ve seen from Tyrod.  He was solid last week against the Colts, throwing for nearly 200 yards with a touchdown and 0 ints.  He also added 41 rushing yards.  You know Rex will be fired up to play the Pats at home.  That means plenty of gimmick plays for Tyrod (yes, the read option is a gimmick).  There are points to be had against the Pats secondary…who gave up over 350 yards to Big Ben last week.  We like Tyrod to lead the team in rushing, and lead the Bills to the Super Bowl (edited by Roid Rage).  If anything, he’s worth a spot on your bench ahead of guys like Joe Flacco and Andy Dalton.

Lance Dunbar, RB, Dallas (17%)

Forget Terrance, Lance will be the main benefactor with Dez out.

Forget Terrance, Lance will be the main benefactor with Dez out.

Yes, yes, yes, we know, Terrance Williams was the biggest pick up of the week, with Dez out for 4-6 weeks.  But don’t overlook Lance.  In fact, you should pick him up right now, because that 17% is going to change quickly.  Care to guess who led the Cowboys in receptions and yards last week, even with Dez in the game?  Lance, who was targeted 8 times, caught all 8 balls for 70.  A no brainer pickup, especially in a PPR league.

David Johnson, RB, Arizona (32%)

You're up, rookie!

You’re up, rookie!

The pride of Northern Iowa, rookie running back David Johnson is in a prime position to see plenty of action.  With oft-injured Andre Ellington injured again, Johnson will slide right in to split carries with Chris Johnson, who is days away from being on the wrong side of 30.  David only caught one ball last week, but he made the most of it, taking it to the house for a 55 yard touchdown.  He’ll get more chances to shine in the upcoming weeks.  Low risk, high reward pickup, especially in PPR leagues.

Larry Donnell, TE, NYG (39%)

Safe. Boring. Money.

Safe. Boring. Money.

Larry’s problem (for now) is that he’s splitting time with Daniel Fells.  He will win that battle, and become Eli’s main safety valve.  Larry burst onto the scene last year with 63 receptions, good for a tie for 9th place among TE.  We like him to finish in the Top 10 again in this year, not bad for only being owned in 39% of leagues.

Go Bills!

Go Bills!

WEEK 2 PICKS / LOCKS / SURVIVOR

ALWAYS. BE. CLOSING.

ALWAYS. BE. CLOSING.

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
11-4-1 11-4-1 6-9-1 8-7-1 9-6-1
KC DEN KC KC KC
CAR CAR HOU CAR CAR
TB NO NO NO NO
SF PIT SF SF SF
MIN DET DET MIN DET
NE NE BUF NE BUF
ARZ ARZ ARZ ARZ ARZ
CLE TEN TEN TEN TEN
CIN SD SD SD CIN
STL STL STL STL STL
ATL ATL NYG NYG ATL
BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL
MIA MIA MIA MIA MIA
PHI DAL DAL DAL DAL
SEA SEA GB GB GB
NYJ INDY NYJ INDY INDY
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
1-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
KC PIT ARZ MIA STL
Survivor Pool Pick
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
ARZ NO **DEAD** NO NO

THE ODDS

2015 WK 2 odds

footballlocks.com

Week 2 TNF Staff Picks

The LINE:  DENVER @ KANSAS CITY (-3)

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
*11-4-1 *11-4-1 *6-9-1 *8-7-1 *9-6-1
KC DEN KC KC KC

Roid Rage is doubling-down on the Chiefs and picking them as his ‘Lock-it-up-of-the-Week’

Week 1 Scorecard

WEEK 1 PICKS / LOCKS / SURVIVOR

NFL Kickoff

Odds courtesy of footballlocks.com

Odds courtesy of footballlocks.com

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
*0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0
*0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0
NE PITT NE NE NE
GB  GB CHIC GB GB
KC  KC KC KC HOU
NYJ  NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ
BUF  BUF INDY INDY INDY
MIA  MIA MIA MIA MIA
JAX  JAX JAX JAX CAR
STL  SEA SEA SEA SEA
ARZ  ARZ NO ARZ ARZ
SD  SD DET SD DET
TENN  TENN TB TB TENN
CIN  CIN CIN OAK CIN
BAL  DEN BAL BAL DEN
DAL  NYG NYG NYG DAL
PHI  PHI ATL ATL ATL
SF  MIN MIN MIN MIN
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
*0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0
*0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0 *0-0-0
KC  DEN MIA OAK HOU
Survivor Pool Pick
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
GB  GB SEA GB ARZ

Week 1 TNF Staff Picks

Football is back!  The road to the Big Red Sports Machine Against the Spread Pick’em Challenge….uh, and Super Bowl 50….starts now!

sb50

WEEK 1 TNF
Favorite Spread Underdog
 at New England 7 Pittsburgh

NE: Roidrage, Vegas Vinny, Big Daddy, Dr. Mike

Pitt: Ginger King