Fantasy Must (Not) Haves

Happy Draft Week!  If you’re like us, you spent the weekend neglecting familial duties and receiving disapproving glances from your spouse as you pour over preseason game tape and review player stats from the past 3 years (chances of getting action from Mrs. Machine:  Zero).  But all that hard work is about to payoff, as you approach your fantasy draft. 

Ok, so you’ve done your research.  You may have even bought yourself a fancy fantasy football magazine (you know that shit was written in May, right?).  The truly devoted (and smartest and prettiest) have been checking in with The Machine for their fantasy hook ups.  And let us be your wingmen for success. 

First up, our Top Fantasy Must (Not) Haves.  These are guys that either (a) we think are going to flame out this season, (b) are being drafted too high, or (c) we don’t like.  Let the other suckers in your league take these guys, unless they’re readers of The Machine too…then they’re cool.

The look of dejection:  The trademark of a Miami Dolphin.

The look of dejection: The trademark of a Miami Dolphin.

Mike Wallace, WR Miami.  Two words:  Ryan Tannehill.  Did you see that clip Roid Rage threw up of Dustin Keller blowing out his knee?  100% Tannehill’s fault.  A well placed ball (hell, even a reasonably placed ball) and Keller still has his ACL attached to his knee.  And that, friends, is what Mike Wallace will be dealing with all year.  Wallace will have a Larry Fitzgerald-like drop in production, for exactly the same reason Fitz did:  inconsistency at the QB position.  It certainly won’t be for lack of talent.  Wallace is a legit 1WR with speed to burn, but will produce like a 2WR because of the offensive limitations.

Hi, this is Sparkles, my Unicorn.  WTF...

Hi, this is Sparkles, my Unicorn. WTF…

Arian Foster, RB Houston.  We’re believing Dr. Mike and his injury concerns with Foster (even if he’s been widely discredited by other Physical Therapists at major sports outlets).  More so than the injury concern, is his production.  Foster has decreased YPC in each of the past 3 years, 4.9, 4.4, and 4.1.  Compare that with Adrian Peterson – 4.6, 4.7, 6.0.  That puts Foster at or below 4.0 YPC this year, not what you want for someone that is trending at an average pick of 2.7.  Believe us, Foster shouldn’t slip out of the Top 6, but he just may not be the lock at 2 that he once was.  Handcuffing with Ben Tate is a must.

 

Pulled a hamstring posing for this photo

Pulled a hamstring posing for this photo

Darren McFadden, RB Oakland.  Perhaps it’s because The Machine’s been burned by Run DMC each of the past two years, but dammit we’re not falling for this again.  McFadden is too fragile to be consistently counted on and, if you believe Shaun King, could care less about playing.  Either way, stay far, far away from McFadden (and really anyone in a Raiders uniform).

 

 

 

As long as no one hits him and he never falls down, you'll be fine.

As long as no one hits him and he never falls down, you’ll be fine.

Hakeem Nicks, WR New York Giants.  When healthy, Nicks is a Top 5 WR.  Problem is, he’s never healthy.  Nicks has played a full season…um…never, and he’s already had multiple injuries (groin, knee, foot) this offseason.  Further complicating matters is that Eli has multiple weapons to throw to, including Victor Cruz, who has replaced Nicks as the G-Men’s 1WR.  If you draft Nicks, you must handcuff him with Reuben Randle.

Joe sporting his To Catch a Predator mustache.

Joe sporting his To Catch a Predator mustache.

Joe Flacco, QB Baltimore.  What?  The defending Super Bowl winning QB’s on your list?  Indeed.  The Ravens have been decimated this offseason by injuries and departures, especially at the receiver position.  This leaves Flacco with the one-two punch of Torrey Smith and Jacoby Jones.  What this means is the offense will flow through Ray Rice even more than before, which will lead to mediocre (at best) fantasy numbers for Flacco.  Flacco should never see the light of day in any lineup this year. 

Dis-honorable Mentions:  Ron Gronkowski, Tavon Austin, Chris Ivory, Russell Wilson.

BRSM

Injury Report – Arian Foster

Buyer Beware

Buyer Beware:   Dr. Mike says Foster’s bound to breakdown.

A new addition to The Machine, please welcome our Chief Physical Therapist, Dr. Mike (think Stephania Bell but hotter), who signed an exclusive deal with The Machine this offseason (we pay in beer).  Dr. Mike will periodically chime in with important, need to know injury updates and status reports.  He’ll use fancy doctor words (I love it when you say corticosteroid injection) but he’ll also give you the knowledge you need to dominate your league.  First up on Dr. Mike’s exam table, Arian Foster.

Everyone knows Adrian Peterson is the number one fantasy pick this year, but who is number 2?  The general consensus thus far has been Arian Foster.  Picking Foster #2 overall is kind of like picking up the hot (read: easy) chick in the bar a 9:00 PM.  Yeah, there is still plenty of time to find a hotter (read: easier) girl, but taking this one is a sure thing.  Not a bad philosophy for fantasy drafting, or for a Friday night.  Over the past week, however, this has changed. 

Foster is still a hot chick, but now may have an STD.  Even though he’s still attractive, you could feel the burn for the rest of the season (pun intended).  Foster is suffering from a bout of low back pain that may or may not be related to a calf muscle issue.  Now he is also complaining of pain down his legs.  Up until the past 48 hours everyone has insisted that he will be ready for Week 1.  The latest news reports that he is undergoing corticosteroid injections in his lumbar spine.  Normally this includes 3 injections at least 1 week apart.  Even if the injections are 100% effective (which they rarely are) he will probably not play a single live snap until Week 1.

Foster owners will be praying that his back/calf/legs/body hold up.

Foster owners will be praying that his back/calf/legs/body hold up.

If the reports of leg pain and calf spasms are true, then he is dealing with a nerve impingement.  These are the same symptoms that Gronk and JPP dealt with prior to their offseason surgeries (and all of us G-Men fans saw the effects of back pain on JPP’s performance last season).  The question is what is causing this impingement?  It could be any number of things:  extruded disk, stenosis, or significant degeneration that is causing pressure on a spinal nerve.  None of these are good options for a guy that is about to be tackled 350+ times this season.  In my opinion, Foster is headed for back surgery.  The question is when?  Can it wait until the off season?  Unclear at this point, which is why taking Foster #2 is no longer a sure thing.

The machine that is a RB’s body can only take so much punishment before it has to be repaired or retired.  This is evident by the usual drop-off in production by RB’s the season after they have 370 touches.  Over the past 30 years, only freaks of nature like LaDainian Tomlinson, Eric Dickerson, and Walter Payton are immune.  Every other back that has carried the ball more than 370 times has seen an average of 30% drop off in yards (including 4 that tore their ACL’s and 6 that ended their careers.)  This does not bode well for Arian Foster coming into this season.  He is quickly falling down draft boards. 

Dr. Mike’s advice:  Proceed with caution.  I would not touch him in the top half of the first round, but just like your 9:00 PM hookup, sometimes it turns out that STD is just an itch.  If that’s the case, congrats on dodging a bullet.  It’s certainly possible that Foster can shake off the injury bug and live up to expectations, it’s just that he comes with a lot of risk.  If you do draft him, listen to your high school health teacher and stop for condoms on the way home (read: draft Ben Tate for protection).

2013 Fantasy Football Pecking Order: RBs & WRs

At last, now that the salad (TEs) and appetizers (QBs) are consumed it’s time for the real meat & potatoes portion of fantasy football: RBs and WRs.  Let’s strap on the old feed bag and have at it shall we: (Note: Rankings are based on PPR-scoring, because lets face it, if you’re not doing PPR than you’re not doing it right)…

 Running Backs

Player Composite Rank Ginger King Roid Rage
Adrian Peterson (MIN) 1 1 1
Arian Foster (HOU) 2 2 5
Doug Martin (TBB) 3 4 3
LeSean McCoy (PHI) 4 5 6
Jamaal Charles (KCC) 5 7 4
C.J. Spiller (BUF) 6 9 2
Ray Rice (BAL) 7 3 9
Marshawn Lynch (SEA) 8 6 7
Alfred Morris (WAS) 9 8 11
Matt Forte (CHI) 10 11 8
Trent Richardson (CLE) 11 12 10
Chris Johnson (TEN) 12 10 15
Stevan Ridley (NEP) 13 17 12
David Wilson (NYG) 14 15 17
Steven Jackson (ATL) 15 16 16
Reggie Bush (DET) 16 18 14
Darren Sproles (NOS) 17 19 13
Frank Gore (SFO) 18 13 21
Maurice Jones-Drew (JAC) 19 14 20
DeMarco Murray (DAL) 20 20 24
Lamar Miller (MIA) 21 25 22
Ryan Mathews (SDC) 22 21 27
DeAngelo Williams (CAR) 23 31 19
Chris Ivory (NYJ) 24 26 25
Vick Ballard (IND) 25 22 30
Le’Veon Bell (PIT) 26 29 23
Mark Ingram (NOS) 27 23 34
Rashard Mendenhall (ARI) 28 30 28
Fred Jackson (BUF) 29 28 33
Andre Brown (NYG) 30 24 41
Bryce Brown (PHI) 31 34 32
BenJarvus Green-Ellis (CIN) 32 27 45
Jacquizz Rodgers (ATL) 33 35 37

 

Eddie Lacy (GBP) 34 33 42
Danny Woodhead (SDC) 35 32 47
Giovani Bernard (CIN) 36 43 36
Marcel Reece (OAK) 37 41 40
Ben Tate (HOU) 38 47 38
Daniel Thomas (MIA) 39 42 48
Denard Robinson (JAC) 40 44 46
Ahmad Bradshaw (IND) 41 48 43
Darren McFadden (OAK) 42 18
Montee Ball (DEN) 43 26
Pierre Thomas (NOS) 44 29
Vick Ballard (IND) 45 30
Shane Vereen (NEP) 46 35
Ryan Williams (ARI) 47 36
Michael Bush (CHI) 48 37
Donald Brown (IND) 49 39
LeGarrette Blount (NEP) 50 40
Daryl Richardson (STL) 51 44
Michael Turner (FA*) 52 45
Anthony Dixon (SFO) 53 46
Lance Dunbar (DAL) 54 49
Zac Stacy (STL) 55 50
Knowshon Moreno (DEN) 56 49

Wide Receivers

Player Composite Rank Ginger King Roid Rage
Calvin Johnson (DET) 1 1 1
Dez Bryant (DAL) 2 2 3
A.J. Green (CIN) 3 4 4
Brandon Marshall (CHI) 4 7 2
Julio Jones (ATL) 5 3 7
Andre Johnson (HOU) 6 5 9
Demaryius Thomas (DEN) 7 10 5
Vincent Jackson (TBB) 8 9 6
Victor Cruz (NYG) 9 8 8
Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) 10 6 11
Roddy White (ATL) 11 11 12
Marques Colston (NOS) 12 16 10
Randall Cobb (GBP) 13 14 13
Wes Welker (DEN) 14 12 17
Reggie Wayne (IND) 15 15 18
Jordy Nelson (GBP) 16 18 15
Hakeem Nicks (NYG) 17 13 23
Danny Amendola (NEP) 18 22 16
DeSean Jackson (PHI) 19 17 24
Antonio Brown (PIT) 20 21 20
Pierre Garcon (WAS) 21 28 14
Eric Decker (DEN) 22 26 19
Steve Smith (CAR) 23 20 26

Stevie Johnson (BUF) 24 24 22
Dwayne Bowe (KCC) 25 23 25
Torrey Smith (BAL) 26 25 27
Mike Wallace (MIA) 27 19 35
James Jones (GBP) 28 30 32
T.Y. Hilton (IND) 29 34 28
Anquan Boldin (SFO) 30 32 31
Cecil Shorts (JAC) 31 47 21
Miles Austin (DAL) 32 29 41
Mike Williams (TBB) 33 31 38
Greg Jennings (MIN) 34 27 45
Kenny Britt (TEN) 35 33 40
Lance Moore (NOS) 36 37 37
Sidney Rice (SEA) 37 38 39
Justin Blackmon (JAC) 38 42 36
Golden Tate (SEA) 39 49 34
Kendall Wright (TEN) 40 44 42
Rueben Randle (NYG) 41 45 43
DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) 42 43 49
Denarius Moore (OAK) 43 46 50
Mohamed Sanu (CIN) 44 33
Tavon Austin (STL) 45 35
Nate Burleson (DET) 46 36
Brian Hartline (MIA) 47 39
Devery Henderson (WAS) 48 40
Malcom Floyd (SDC) 49 41
Jeremy Kerley (NYJ) 50 46
Andrew Hawkins (CIN) 51 47
Vincent Brown (SDC) 52 48
Santana Moss (WAS) 53 48

BRSM

2013 Fantasy Football Pecking Order: TEs

For those of you that had Dustin Keller on your cheatsheets (here’s looking at you Ginger King), consider sending DJ Swearinger a thank you card…..

 

Player Composite Rank Ginger King Roid Rage
Jimmy Graham (NOS) 1 1 1
Rob Gronkowski (NEP) 2 3 2
Tony Gonzalez (ATL) 3 2 5
Vernon Davis (SFO) 4 4 4
Jason Witten (DAL) 5 5 3
Kyle Rudolph (MIN) 6 7 6
Brandon Pettigrew (DET) 7 6 11
Brandon Myers (NYG) 8 8 9
Jermaine Gresham (CIN) 9 10 10
Greg Olsen (CAR) 10 13 8
Martellus Bennett (CHI) 11 14 7
Antonio Gates (SDC) 12 12 12
Owen Daniels (HOU) 13 9 16
Jermichael Finley (GBP) 14 11 15
Heath Miller (PIT) 15 19 13
Marcedes Lewis (JAC) 16 15 18
Jared Cook (STL) 17 17 17
Jordan Cameron (CLE) 18 14
Fred Davis (WAS) 19 16
Dustin Keller (MIA) 20 18
Robert Housler (ARI) 21 19
Ed Dickson (BAL) 22 20
Dwayne Allen (IND) 23 20

 BRSM

2013 Fantasy Football Pecking Order: QBs

Football is king; the proof is in the ratings-pudding!  For the broadcast week-ending August 4, 2013 (BW45), not only was the Dallas Cowboys v. Miami Dolphins HOF Game the top rated sports broadcast, it was the highest rated program, period.  And the pre-game show/ceremony was the second-rated show for the week!  Hey Ryan Braun, LA Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates, A-Roid and all other MLB storylines: thanks for carrying us through the summer; the big boys have laced them up, we’ll see you guys in April!

You can bet your ass those ratings consist of a large number of fantasy owners checking to see what veterans have lost a step, scouting late round sleepers, and getting an overall vibe from each team as they gear up for fantasy drafts!  The Machine is running on all cylinders this time of the year.  Check out our QB rankings below and check back as we roll out the other skill positions.

Player Composite Rank Ginger King Roid Rage
Aaron Rodgers (GBP) 1 1 1
Drew Brees (NOS) 2 2 2
Tom Brady (NEP) 3 3 6
Colin Kaepernick (SFO) 4 5 5
Peyton Manning (DEN) 5 4 7
Matt Ryan (ATL) 6 7 4
Cam Newton (CAR) 7 9 3

 Cam Newton intro

 

Eli Manning (NYG) 8 8 10
Matthew Stafford (DET) 9 6 12
Tony Romo (DAL) 10 10 9
Robert Griffin III (WAS) 11 12 8
Andrew Luck (IND) 12 11 13
Russell Wilson (SEA) 13 15 11
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 14 13 15
Jay Cutler (CHI) 15 16 14
Joe Flacco (BAL) 16 14 18
Sam Bradford (STL) 17 18 16
Matt Schaub (HOU) 18 20 19
Ryan Tannehill (MIA) 19 17
Andy Dalton (CIN) 20 17
Philip Rivers (SDC) 21 19
Alex Smith (KCC) 22 20

BRSM

Week 16 – Sleepers

It’s Championship Week (for most self-respecting fantasy leagues)! Fortunately, even the best teams in the NFL have something to play for this week, the same can’t be said for next week (see: Atlanta Falcons), so you should be getting max effort (hopefully).

I know this repeatative, but we can’t stress it enough: Don’t get too cute! Roll with the squad that got you this far.  Dez Bryant last week is a perfect example of this.  There were questions surrounding his bum finger, even reports of the Cowboys shutting him down for the season.  But when word came down that he was suiting up last week that was your sign to plug him in.  He has been an absolute beast the second half of the season and didn’t disappoint last week with a nice 4/59/1 line.  The point is, we’d rather roll with Dez and his big game potential than a shaky option like M. Floyd (2/39 last week fyi).

But if you’re in a jam, have no fear, The Machine is here!  Now pay attention, last week we pimped D. Pitta to the tune of 7/125/2! This week we like…..

1. Washington Def (17%Y!) – They easily have Top 10 potential playing a Philadelphia team that can’t run, can’t pass and more importantly have thrown in the towel.  Washington’s secondary is abysmal, but it won’t matter.  We like their chances to score a TD in this one.

2. Sam Bradford, QB STL (26%Y!) – He is certainly a hard guy to trust.  The Machine wonders if the Rams regret not drafting RG3…..because they should!  But given the match-up, Bradford could deliver a respectable stat line for you this week.  If you’re in a jam, roll with the former No. 1 overall pick (over the likes of Cutler, Flacco, Rivers, etc.)

3. Brandon Gibson, WR STL (18%Y!) – Well, somebody has to catch all those Sam Bradford catches, right?!  Sure, it makes us a little queasy recommending to Rams this week, but he’s developed nice chemistry with Bradford the last couple of weeks (12/176/2) and TB is a mess right now.  5/75 with a score perhaps isn’t out of the question.

4. Ronnie Brown, RB SD (9%Y!) – All apologies if you have to start Ronnie freaking Brown this week!  But with Ryan Matthews out you could do worse.  A little more appealing in a PPR format……don’t expect more than 50 total yards, and 3-4 catches. 

Others who could come through: Mike Tolbert, RB (7%Y!), Ben Watson, TE (4%Y!), Mike Goodson (4%Y!), Rod Streater (4%Y!).

Just Win, Baby!

Week 15 – Sleepers

If you’re reading this it probably means you’re deep into a playoff run, congratulations!  The best piece of advice The Machine can give you when in comes to setting your playoff roster is this: Don’t Get Too Cute!  Roll with the studs and productive players that have gotten you to this point!  For your marginal players/ borderline guys, check out the match-ups and recent history.

If you’re in a bind (RG3, Dez owners….watch for the inactive reports in both cases) then here are a few plug-and-plays that could help you reach the promised land…..

1. David Wilson, RB NYG (67%Y!) – Sure, a 67% owned player is hardly a “sleeper”, but in fairness Wilsons ownership has spiked 39% this week based on his monster showing against the Saints.  Further, Ahmad Bradshaw has been ruled out this week, clearing the path for an increased workload for Wilson.  Wilson has elite quickness and speed, which more than makes up for his penchant for fumbling.  The Giants simply can’t keep this guy off the field anymore; he can take it to the house on any given play.  Backflips…err…gangnam style dances should be a plenty this weekend!  If you are in one of those 33% leagues that he is still available, or if you are questioning whether or not to start him, hesitate no longer! 

2. Brandon Weeden, QB CLE (13%Y!) – If you’re an RG3 owner (has taken zero 1st team reps and could be seriously limited with a sprained MCL) then maybe you want to downgrade (just a bit) to this fellow rookie.  He is certainly a hard guy to trust (hence his 13% ownership) considering the ideal Cleveland game plan is to run the ball 80 times a game, however the matchup this week is tasty.  Washington’s secondary is atrocious!  They are almost a lock to give up 250+ yards passing.  Plus, Josh Gordon has developed into the player the Browns were hoping Greg Little would become, a legitimate No. 1 WR.  We put Weeden in that Phil Rivers – Joe Flacco – Carson Palmer range; so while he isn’t going to win you a fantasy championship, he won’t kill your chances this week.  We recommend Weeden with a shot of Jack followed up by a frost brewed Coors Light…..(or 12)!  Enjoy!

3.  Nate Washington, WR Tenn (51%Y!) – Washington has had a forgettable season this year, registering only 39 catches for 648 yards and 4 scores.  In many ways, Washington epitomizes that Titans offense this year: awful!  Drafted as a WR3, fantasy owners have been largely disappointed and have rightfully either benched Nate or dropped him altogether.  If you’ve hung on, and are in deep shit at WR and/or FLEX this week, your patience might just be rewarded.  The thought process behind this one is simple.  A. Cromartie (insert Christmas shopping joke here) has been balling this season; his efforts are largely overshadowed by the train wreck that is the New York Jets.  Cromartie should be matched up on the surging Kenny Britt for this MNF tilt, leaving Washington to prey on the rest of the NYJ secondary.  He has shown nice rapport with Locker in the past, so hopefully these to get on the same page this week.  This move wreaks of desperation so sure, but it might not be as crazy of an idea as it sounds.

4. Dennis Pitta, TE BAL (30%Y!) – I’m not afraid to admit this is merely a “gut pick”.  But I’d be surprised if Pitta doesn’t at least match his production (5/46/1) of last week.  Take that as you may.

Others to consider: Dallas Clark, TE TB (25%Y!), Miami DEF (41%Y!), Danny Woodhead RB NE (34%Y!)

Week 14 – Sleepers

Ah, we’ve finally made it: the fantasy football playoffs are upon us!  Gone are the weeks of playing the scab team, the injury-ridden hot mess teams, and the teams that never really had a chance.  If you’ve made it this far chances are your team is pretty solid, and you probably don’t have much need to roll with a 14% owned waiver wire WR.  However, chances are that your opponent has a pretty good squad too, so you’ve got to ensure you give yourself an edge at all positions.  In that spirit, this weeks sleepers are composed of kickers, defenses and guys that you could plug into a flex spot if need be:

1. Cincinnati DEF (50% Y!) – Opponent: Dallas – The Bengals defense has really come on of late, registering 4 sacks in each of the last 4 games.  While Paul Brown Stadium isn’t exactly the most rocking of stadiums, the Bengals should have a strong showing as they battle for a playoff spot and take on a “marquee” opponent.  The Cowboys offensive line is a joke; Doug Free can’t get out of his own way and holds on literally every play (leads the league in offensive penalties).  This glaring deficiency as only highlighted Tony Romo’s careless with the football and suspect decision-making.  Bottom line, Romo is always a safe bet for a turnover or two.  The Bengals have zero defensive TD’s and only 1 special teams TD return this year, so they could be due.

2. Buffalo DEF – (27%Y!) Opponent: St. Louis Rams – The Bills defense should matchup well to the St. Louis offense in this contest.  Like the Bengals above, the Bills defense has come on lately, led by Mario Williams who has 5 sacks in his last 3 games and now has more sacks on the season (9.5) than Clay Matthews, Julius Peppers and JPP.  If the Bills can contain the Rams running game then the secondary could make some big plays.  The Bills also have weapons at KR/PR.

3. Greg Zuerlein, K (31%Y!) – Since when to kickers get nicknames?  Well I guess when you are popping the net at 50+ yards out you deserve to be called “Greg-the-Leg” or, better yet, Leg-a-tron!  While he has been wildly inconsistent in terms of fantasy scoring, there is no denying Zuerlein’s abilities to drop 50 yard bombs in the course of a game.  This is more a play-to-win (isn’t that the point) play, because while he could come up small, he has the ability to lead all kickers in weekly scoring.

4. Donny Avery, WR (29%Y!) – Sure, he is playing third fiddle to Reggie Wayne and TY Hilton, but Avery had 14 targets.  With that kind of action he won’t kill you at the flex; and offers some big play potential.  Andrew Luck is slinging the rock as well as anyone right now, and we don’t foresee the Titans being the ones to slow him down.

5. Martellus Bennett, TE (56%Y!) –  Has seem to rekindled some of his early season mojo with Brother Eli, netting 8 catches for 126 yards and a TD in his last two games.  The Saints have struggled all season against TE’s.  But in fairness the Saints have struggled all season against QB’s, RB’s and WR’s too.  This game could/should go the way of a shootout, so Marty could register a decent number of looks.  A stat line similar to last weeks 5/80/1 doesn’t seem out of reach at all.

Week 13 – Sleepers

In a business where you are only as good as your last pick, The Machine is on fire!  T.Y. Hilton and Colin Kaepernick exploded last week; if you needed them in a pinch last week they more than delivered.  And in C-Kaps case he could be a huge asset during the fantasy playoff push with tasty matchups on the schedule (St. Louis, Miami, New England, Seattle).

The Machine likes these players chances to come through for you this week….

1. Rashad Jennings, RB (58%Y!)  – It looks like a typical December Sunday morning in Western New York as arctic winds and ominous rain clouds move in over the despondent and hopeless fan base. While the Bills have tighten their defence in the last month or so, they are still a mess.  Jennings, who showed absolutely nothing while filling in for MJD (subsequently losing his job to Jalen Parmele) gets a second shot at redemption. He should be able to muster 85 total yards and a score in a game that should feature the run.  A solid flex and low-end option.

2. Russell Wilson, QB (22%Y!) – A rookie QB, playing on the road,  two time zones from home against a top 3 defense.  It doesn’t add up right? Wrong!  The Bears are going to focus their attention on BeastMode, leaving some opportunities on the back-end for the passing game.  The thing you have to like about the undersized Wilson is that he is a gamer.  He has some mobility so he could move the chains a couple of times with his legs.  Plus, if this game gets out of hand there will be a chance for GTP.  Certainly not someone you can rely on, but he could be a sneaky play this week.  Proceed with caution.

3. Brandon LaFell, WR (29%Y!) – The Machine was a big time believer in the Carolina passing attack heading into this season (hey, we don’t get them right all the time).  Cam Newton and offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski simply haven’t made the necessary adjustments for this offense to take the next step.  That said, there has been a shift of philosophy in Carolina, with the firing of GM Marty Hurney (that’s what you get for drafting Jimmy Clausen!) and demotion of DeAngelo Williams.  The changes and decisions made behind the scenes have resulted in a more wide open offensive attack; with LaFell being a beneficiary, with a combined line of 8/167/2 in his last two games.  LaFell has a great shot of scoring his third TD in as many weeks, as the Panthers take on the Belcher-less Chiefs (too soon?!).

4. Mario Manningham, WR (22%Y!) – Two words: Colin Kapernick.  This offense has a completely new identity and philosophy with the gifted young QB under center.  While it’s hard to figure the niners from week-to-week (see Vernon Davis’s zero catches last week), Manningham has shown decent rapport with C-Kap.  He is a high WR4, low WR3 option this week.

Others to consider: Chad Henne, QB (12%Y!), Micheal Floyd, WR (5%Y!), Marty Bennett, TE (51%Y!), Dallas Clark, TE (22%Y!)

Week 12 – Sleepers

Alright, we’ll get right to it.  Here are you Week 12 Sleepers.

  1. T.Y. Hilton, WR (42%, Y!).  T.Y. has a great match up against a very giving Bills secondary.  T.Y. has quietly put together a solid rookie season thus far (30/455/4), has established good rapport with fellow rookie Andrew Luck, and should get plenty of looks in the slot today.
  2. Brandon Gibson, WR (15%, Y!).  With Danny Amendola out (again), Gibson should see plenty of targets.  St. Louis should come out of the gate throwing against Arizona.  Gibson’s coming off of a 2 TD performance last week, and is still available in 85% of leagues.  Plug him in as a solid WR3 or Flex.
  3. Colin Kaepernick, QB (33%, Y!).  Jim Harbough’s clearly not a “dance with the girl you came with” kind of guy, as he just dumped Alex Smith in favor of the younger, hotter Kaepernick.  Can’t blame you there, coach.  Colin should explode vs. the porous Saints secondary.  Also, look for him to get some bonus points as a dual threat QB via the run (yes, we’re calling a rushing TD).  Hey, dumping Smith may backfire for the Niners, but who gives a shit.  All you care about is getting into your fantasy playoffs.
  4. Charlie Batch, QB (1%, Y!).  Look, if you’re starting Charlie Batch, your team likely has a lot of problems.  There’s a reason he’s available in 99% of leagues.  But, The Machine’s all about finding that diamond in the rough, and Charlie could be of some use today.  Sure, we thought he retired ten years ago, but that just means he’s well rested.  Playing against the Browns, he should be able to dink and dunk his way to 200 yards, plus a touch or two.  If you win with Batch as your QB, think of all the shit you can talk.