2014 Defense & Kicker Rankings

And with the last two picks of your draft….(if Ray Guy had it his way we’d have to draft punter’s too)

2014 Rankings: Defense & Special Teams
Composite Team Rage Ginger
D1 Seattle Seahawks 1 1
D2 St. Louis Rams 2 3
D3 San Francisco 49ers 4 2
D4 Denver Broncos 5 4
D5 Cincinnati Bengals 7 5
D6 Kansas City Chiefs 6 6
D7 Arizona Cardinals 3 10
D8 New England Patriots 8 8
D9 Houston Texans 13 7
D10 Carolina Panthers 11 9
D11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 12
D12 New Orleans Saints 9 15
D13 Buffalo Bills 15 11
D14 Baltimore Ravens 12 17
D15 Pittsburgh Steelers 18 14
D16 Chicago Bears 20 13
D17 Cleveland Browns 14 19
D18 Green Bay Packers 17 16
D19 New York Jets 16 22
D20 Philadelphia Eagles 19 20
D21 Indianapolis Colts 23 18
D22 Miami Dolphins 21 23
D23 New York Giants 24 21
D24 Detroit Lions 22 25
D25 Washington Redskins 27 24
D26 Jacksonville Jaguars 25 27
D27 Tennessee Titans 26 26

 

2014 Rankings: Kickers
Composite Player Rage Ginger
K1 Matt Prater 1 1
K2 Stephen Gostkowski 2 3
K3 Steven Hauschka 5 2
K4 Dan Bailey 4 5
K5 Robbie Gould 9 4
K6 Phil Dawson 7 6
K7 Justin Tucker 3 11
K8 Matt Bryant 10 8
K9 Blair Walsh 6 12
K10 Shayne Graham 11 10
K11 Mason Crosby 15 7
K12 Sebastian Janikowski 16 9
K13 Nick Novak 8 18
K14 Adam Vinatieri 12 14
K15 Alex Henery 14 13
K16 Greg Zuerlein 13 17
K17 Ryan Succop 17 15
K18 Graham Gano 19 16
K19 Kai Forbath 20 20
K20 Caleb Sturgis 18 23
K21 Mike Nugent 23 19
K22 Dan Carpenter 22 21
K23 Shaun Suisham 21 24
K24 David Akers 24 22
K25 Nate Freese 25 25

2014 TE Rankings

Just Win Baby!

Just Win Baby!

The two most popular taglines regarding the tight-end position this year are: “top-heavy” and “weak”.  The first notion I’ll totally buy.  I won’t be surprised if a good number of championship squads feature either Jimmy Graham (ADP8, TE1) or Rob Gronkowski (ADP27 – and trending up, TE2) or BOTH!  Factoring league settings, roster construction and draft slot, a potentially dominate strategy is to grab both of these guys with your first two picks.  Not only do you give yourself a weekly top tight-end performance, you get elite production from your flex position too.

After the “Big Two”, there are only two other tight-ends with top 50 ADP’s: Julius Thomas (ADP27) and Jordan Cameron (ADP50).  After these guys come of the board the tight-end position gets a bit murky.  This is where average fantasy football players (and even mainstream ‘experts’) buy the lazily constructed “weak depth” storyline.  However, there are a good number of young players, whom admittedly have their flaws, that could pay nice dividends at their going cost.  Jordan Reed (ADP76), Greg Olsen (ADP86), Kyle Rudolph (ADP94) and Charles Clay (ADP117) should all finishes in the top-3 for targets in their respective teams.  In Olsen’s case, he is far-and-away Cam Newton’s most reliable pass-catching option.

There are also some potential difference makers to be had late (after the 10th round):  Travis Kelce (ADP174) – flashed some big time wheels on a long catch and run TD in the team’s first pre-season game; Coby Fleener (ADP183) – has been running with the first-team offense all camp (also just happens to be Andrew Luck’s Stanford homeboy); Joesph Fauria (ADP213) – all he does is catch touchdowns.

 

2014 Rankings: Tight Ends
Composite Player Rage Ginger
TE1 Jimmy Graham 1 1
TE2 Rob Gronkowski 2 4
TE3 Julius Thomas 4 2
TE4 Jordan Cameron 3 3
TE5 Vernon Davis 5 5
TE6 Jason Witten 7 6
TE7 Greg Olsen 6 8
TE8 Kyle Rudolph 9 7
TE9 Zach Ertz 8 10
TE10 Dennis Pitta 10 11
TE11 Martellus Bennett 13 9
TE12 Jordan Reed 11 12
TE13 Ladarius Green 18 13
TE14 Dwayne Allen 15 16
TE15 Charles Clay 12 20
TE16 Tyler Eifert 20 15
TE17 Coby Fleener 22 14
TE18 Garrett Graham 14 23
TE19 Eric Ebron 16 21
TE20 Heath Miller 19 18
TE21 Antonio Gates 17 22
TE22 Jared Cook 24 17
TE23 Delanie Walker 23 19
TE24 Owen Daniels 26 24
TE25 Ryan Griffin 21 31
TE26 Richard Rodgers 25 28
TE27 Levine Toilolo 27 26
TE28 Tim Wright 30 25
TE29 Brandon Pettigrew 31 27
TE30 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 28 30
TE31 Andrew Quarless 29 29
League-Winner

League-Winner

2014 WR Rankings

Just Win Baby!

Just Win Baby!

In case you missed it, check out our QB and RB rankings.  Next up, the divas of the NFL: Wide Receivers.  We touched on the devaluation of the running back position as offenses evolve in fast paced, up-tempo, spread attacks.  Running-backs losses are wide-receivers gains.  Reviewing Average Draft Position data from My Fantasy League, five WRs have first-round ADPs this year: MegaTron (4.73), AJ Green (9.08), DeMaryius Thomas (8.65), Dez Bryant (9.68) and Julio Jones (12.51).  All five of these guys are physically imposing athletes (side note:  they are all at least 6’2”, 207-lbs.  When in doubt, draft big, heavy WRs) whom are as important (if not more) as the running-game to their respective teams game-plan and success.

We are entering the golden age of big, physically dominating wide-receivers.  Enjoy it.  Embrace it.  If you want to draft one early, I’m on board with it.  If you want to draft two or three or four early, I won’t argue with you.  In a recent MFL10 I went WR-WR-WR-WR-RB-RB-RB with my first seven picks and I really like how this squad turned out.

Drum roll please:

 

2014 Rankings: Wide Receivers
Composite Player Rage Ginger
WR1 Calvin Johnson 2 1
WR2 Demaryius Thomas 1 3
WR3 A.J. Green 4 2
WR4 Dez Bryant 3 5
WR5 Brandon Marshall 6 4
WR6 Jordy Nelson 5 7
WR7 Julio Jones 7 6
WR8 Antonio Brown 9 8
WR9 Alshon Jeffery 8 10
WR10 Randall Cobb 10 9
WR11 Keenan Allen 12 11
WR12 Vincent Jackson 11 15
WR13 Andre Johnson 14 12
WR14 Michael Crabtree 13 18
WR15 Pierre Garcon 15 16
WR16 Victor Cruz 18 14
WR17 Larry Fitzgerald 17 17
WR18 Wes Welker 23 13
WR19 Torrey Smith 19 22
WR20 Roddy White 20 21
WR21 Ty Hilton 22 20
WR22 Michael Floyd 16 27
WR23 Eric Decker 21 23
WR24 Percy Harvin 26 19
WR25 Cordarrelle Patterson 25 24
WR26 Jeremy Maclin 24 26
WR27 DeSean Jackson 27 25
WR28 Mike Wallace 30 29
WR29 Kendall Wright 29 31
WR30 Terrance Williams 28 35
WR31 Rueben Randle 31 32
WR32 Julian Edelman 35 30
WR33 Marques Colston 32 37
WR34 Dwayne Bowe 33 36
WR35 Emmanuel Sanders 39 33
WR36 Reggie Wayne 45 28
WR37 Golden Tate 41 34
WR38 Riley Cooper 37 38
WR39 Cecil Shorts 38 39
WR40 DeAndre Hopkins 34 48
WR41 Brandin Cooks 36 49
WR42 Sammy Watkins 43 42
WR43 Mike Evans 47 40
WR44 Danny Amendola 48 41
WR45 Hakeem Nicks 46 43
WR46 Jordan Matthews 40 51
WR47 Anquan Boldin 49 44
WR48 Greg Jennings 42 52
WR49 Aaron Dobson 44 50
WR50 Brian Hartline 50 46
WR51 Tavon Austin 52 47
WR52 Marvin Jones 56 45
WR53 Doug Baldwin 51 53
WR54 Kelvin Benjamin 53 56
WR55 James Jones 57 55
WR56 Kenny Stills 55 60
WR57 Jarrett Boykin 54 63
WR58 Marqise Lee 61 57
WR59 Markus Wheaton 65 54
WR60 Odell Beckham Jr. 60 61
WR61 Steve Johnson 58 65
WR62 Mike Williams 59 64
WR63 Robert Woods 64 59
WR64 Justin Hunter 63 62
WR65 Steve Smith 77 58
WR66 Rod Streater 66 73
WR67 Kenbrell Thompkins 71 68
WR68 Josh Gordon 62 81
WR69 Malcom Floyd 68 75
WR70 Andre Roberts 72 72
WR71 Harry Douglas 79 66
WR72 Miles Austin 78 67
WR73 Marlon Brown 67 79
WR74 Andrew Hawkins 70 78
WR75 Brandon LaFell 76 74
WR76 Cody Latimer 69 83
WR77 Denarius Moore 84 69
WR78 Nate Washington 85 70
WR79 Dexter McCluster 90 71
WR80 Jermaine Kearse 75 86
WR81 Da’Rick Rogers 73 89
WR82 Marquess Wilson 74 88
WR83 Chris Givens 81 82
WR84 Lance Moore 88 76
WR85 Kenny Britt 87 77
WR86 Jerricho Cotchery 80 84
WR87 Nate Burleson 86 80
WR88 Sidney Rice 83 87
WR89 Stephen Hill 82 90
WR90 Jerrel Jernigan 89 85

Notes:

  • All of our rankings are based upon PPR scoring, because if you’re not playing PPR than you’re not doing it right.
  • Obviously, if Josh Gordon is slapped with a 16-game ban for not being able to put down the bong for 4 minutes, than he won’t warrant making this list.  His current ranking (WR68) has an 8ish-game ban priced into it.
  • Hey, look who it is:
Johnny & Dez, what could possibly go wrong?!

Johnny & Dez, what could possibly go wrong?!

2014 RB Rankings

NFL Fantasy

After covering the NFL Golden Boys here, it’s time to move to the crux of your fantasy squad: Running Backs and Wide Receivers.

We’ll start with running backs because they need any kind of moral victory they can get.  As the NFL has morphed into a passing league, running backs have lost their luster.  As evidence, look no further than the last two drafts, where Runnings Backs are an Afterthought.  Exactly zero running backs were selected in the last two first rounds; that hadn’t happened since, like, forever.  By the time the Titans selected Bishop Sankey at pick #54, there had already been 9 WRs and 4 TEs taken.

Your name is Bishop AND you like girls? Tony Dungy All-Star!

Your name is Bishop AND you like girls? Tony Dungy All-Star!

The devaluation of running backs has made a seamless transition from reality to our fake football squads.  Sure, they still dominate the first 3 or 4 picks of most fantasy drafts, however, recently there have been manifests written to the First Round QB and ZeroRB strategy.  As there names suggest, these strategy’s buck the historic trend and advocate taking QBs, WRs (and even TE’s…hullo Jimmy Graham) in the first round in lieu of RBs.  For more ZeroRB (and even ZeroWR) strategy head over to Rotoviz, they’ve got it covered from just about every angle.

No matter how you build your fake football team, one thing hasn’t changed: properly evaluating, identifying and drafting the right running backs will lead to prolonged success.  So let’s get on with the rankings already:

Composite Player Rage Ginger
RB1 LeSean McCoy 1 1
RB2 Jamaal Charles 2 2
RB3 Adrian Peterson 4 3
RB4 Matt Forte 3 4
RB5 Eddie Lacy 5 5
RB6 Marshawn Lynch 9 6
RB7 Montee Ball 8 7
RB8 DeMarco Murray 7 10
RB9 Le’Veon Bell 6 14
RB10 Giovani Bernard 11 9
RB11 Arian Foster 15 8
RB12 Zac Stacy 10 13
RB13 Alfred Morris 13 11
RB14 Doug Martin 12 15
RB15 C.J. Spiller 16 12
RB16 Andre Ellington 14 18
RB17 Ryan Mathews 17 17
RB18 Reggie Bush 20 16
RB19 Toby Gerhart 19 22
RB20 Stevan Ridley 22 21
RB21 Rashad Jennings 25 19
RB22 Frank Gore 24 20
RB23 Trent Richardson 23 23
RB24 Bishop Sankey 18 29
RB25 Joique Bell 21 27
RB26 Steven Jackson 28 24
RB27 Shane Vereen 26 28
RB28 Ben Tate 29 31
RB29 Lamar Miller 30 30
RB30 Pierre Thomas 27 35
RB31 Danny Woodhead 37 26
RB32 Chris Johnson 31 34
RB33 Ray Rice 41 25
RB34 Maurice Jones-Drew 33 33
RB35 Darren Sproles 35 36
RB36 Fred Jackson 40 32
RB37 Terrance West 34 38
RB38 DeAngelo Williams 36 37
RB39 Darren McFadden 38 42
RB40 Jeremy Hill 32 49
RB41 Christopher Ivory 42 43
RB42 Christine Michael 48 39
RB43 Carlos Hyde 43 44
RB44 Bernard Pierce 47 41
RB45 Tre Mason 44 46
RB46 Jonathan Stewart 39 54
RB47 Donald Brown 49 45
RB48 Knowshon Moreno 56 40
RB49 David Wilson 45 51
RB50 Devonta Freeman 50 47
RB51 BenJarvus Green-Ellis 46 52
RB52 Roy Helu 55 48
RB53 Andre Brown 52 56
RB54 Shonn Greene 59 50
RB55 Khiry Robinson 51 58
RB56 James Starks 54 55
RB57 Mark Ingram 57 53
RB58 Andre Williams 53 57
RB59 LeGarrette Blount 58 60
RB60 James White 60 59

 

2014 QB Rankings

NFL Fantasy

Ready to dominate?

Falling asleep through another Mid-Summer Classic is a brutal reminder that it has been too long without football.  But alas my friends, Opening Kickoff is in exactly 7 weeks!!  More importantly for you, that means your fantasy draft is right around the corner!  Like always, we’ve got you covered.

We’ll start with the rulers of the NFL roost: The Quarterbacks (if for no other reason than to post an egregious Johnny Football partying picture – so many to choose from).

Composite Rank

Rage

Ginger

QB1 Drew Brees 1 1
QB2 Peyton Manning 2 2
QB3 Aaron Rodgers 3 3
QB4 Matthew Stafford 4 4
QB5 Andrew Luck 5 9
QB6 Cam Newton 8 7
QB7 Tom Brady 10 6
QB8 Nick Foles 6 11
QB9 Jay Cutler 14 5
QB10 Colin Kaepernick 7 12
QB11 Matt Ryan 11 8
QB12 Robert Griffin III 9 10
QB13 Russell Wilson 13 13
QB14 Tony Romo 12 16
QB15 Philip Rivers 17 14
QB16 Ben Roethlisberger 16 15
QB17 Andy Dalton 15 17
QB18 Joe Flacco 19 19
QB19 Josh McCown 20 21
QB20 Alex Smith 22 20
QB21 Johnny Manziel 18 25
QB22 Eli Manning 25 18
QB23 Carson Palmer 21 22
QB24 Sam Bradford 23 24
QB25 Ryan Tannehill 26 23
QB26 Geno Smith 24 28
QB27 E.J. Manuel 28 26
QB28 Teddy Bridgewater 27 27
QB29 Michael Vick 29 29

A few thoughts:

  • If you can score one of the Top 3 QB’s in the fourth round, then jump all over that.  If they are gone at that point (likely), then adopt a Late Round QB strategy.  Dalton (QB17), Smith (QB20) and Palmer (QB23) are all capable of producing a top twelve performance any given week.  You could roster two or three of these types and play the weekly match-up game (don’t worry, we’ll help you with that too).
  • Ginger likes his QBs armed with veteran savvy (Cutler-5, Brady-6, Newton-7) while I tend to give the edge to young upside (Luck-5, Foles-6, Kaepernick-7).  I think Cam could be a nice value play this year; I think he is being discounted too much for his perceived loss of weapons (a 35 year old Steve Smith and a huh-hums Brandon LaFell & Ted Ginn).
  • We don’t have much faith in last years QB crop, Geno Smith (QB26) & EJ Manual (QB27), but if the light goes on for one of these guys they could make for a nice late round flier.  Keep an eye on both during the preseason.  For what it’s worth, we do like Geno’s chances of winning the “QB battle” with Mike Vick.
  • Oh right……………..

    More like Johnny Vegas

    More like Johnny Vegas

Week 14 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pickups

Alright, so you’ve made it to the playoffs.  Congrats.  Now, it gets real.  Win you stay in.  Lose, and you get to watch your friends play on and listen to your spouse complain about what a waste of money you’ve spent on “fantasy games.”  But you don’t want to be that guy, that’s why you’re here, and that’s why we’re here for you.  So here are our top waiver wire pickups.

Montee Ball, RB Denver (percent available in Yahoo! leagues, 61%)

Just hold on to the ball.

Just hold on to the ball.

Ball is finally showing the promise that led many people (including The Machine) to draft him as the first rookie RB (over the likes of Eddie Lacy and Gio Bernard).  However, an early case of fumbleitis put Ball on the bench.  It looks like he’s worked his way back to splitting time with Knowshon, and, with Moreno a little banged up, Montee’s been getting more touches.  Last week, he had his first 100 yard game, rushing for 117 on 13 carries against KC.  This week, Denver’s home against Tennessee, and Montee should see between 15-20 touches.

Michael Crabtree, WR San Francisco (54%)

Guess who's back?

Guess who’s back?

We told you to get Crabtree last week, when he was available in more than half of leagues.  He only saw 4 targets last week, but had a 60 yard reception, giving the Niners the deep threat offensive weapon it so desperately needs.  With another week under his belt, Crabtree’s targets should increase.

Donald Brown, RB Indy (50%)

Indy has finally realized that Trent Richardson is a bust, and has turned to Brown as the featured back.  He more than doubled the amount of carries compared to Trent last week (14 to 5), and is being used almost exclusively in the redzone.  That’s where Brown’s value really is.

Trent who?

Trent who?

He’s got a tough matchup this week against Cincy, and while he may not post huge yards, his use in the redzone carries always make him likely to score.  Brown’s a low end RB2 or Flex.

Josh McCown, QB Chicago (40%)

Just throw it to Alshon.

Just throw it to Alshon.

McCown just might be the savior for your fantasy team.  Over his last two games, McCown’s averages more than 350 yards/game, with 4 tds and 1 ints.  He’s filled in quite admirably for the oft-injured Jay Cutler.  In his 6 starts this year, McCown has 9 tds and only 1 int.  He’s got a Monday Night matchup against Dallas, and should continue his hot streak.

Ladarius Green, TE San Diego (25%)

Chances are good for another TD this week.

Chances are good for another TD this week.

Who is Ladarius Green?  He’s a matchup nightmare.  A 6’6” athletic freak that runs a sub 4.5 40.  Although the TE position in San Diego has historically been filled by Antonio Gates, Ladarius’ athleticism has forced him into the lineup.  He’s scored a touchdown two weeks in a row, and is facing a Giants D that gives up plenty of yards in the air.

Week 13 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pick Ups

Alright, you’ve finally had enough turkey, stuffing, and awkward conversations with your family.  Now it’s time to focus on what really matters:  getting into the playoffs.  For most of us, this is the last week of the (fantasy) regular season, and if you’re still in the hunt, read on to find out what players can get you into the playoffs.

Fear the Ginger Beard!

Fear the Ginger Beard!

Carson Palmer, QB Arizona (% owned in Yahoo leagues, 46%)

Someone tell Carson it’s not 2005.  In his last three starts, Carson’s turned back the clock, averaging 325 yards a game, and he’s thrown 6 tds with only 1 int.  Suddenly, the Cardinals are on fire, winning 4 in a row, and it’s due in large part to the play at quarterback.  This week, Arizona plays Philly, whose defense has given up 4 consecutive 300 yard passing games.  That bodes well for Carson, who should be able to reach 300 yards and a touchdown.

If you’re an Aaron Rodgers owner, Carson makes a great play this week.

Guess who's back?

Guess who’s back?

Michael Crabtree, WR San Francisco (45%)

Crabtree will see his first action of the season this week.  While most coaches would ease in a player making their debut in Week 13, not Jim Harbaugh, because Harbaugh’s a crazy person.  Crabtree will be a much needed addition to the Niners offense.  We like him as a WR3.

Bilal Powell, RB NY Jets (42%)

Ready to run wild this week.

Ready to run wild this week.

Matchup and opportunity.  The Jets face Miami this week, and the Dolphins have a porous run defense.  Plus, the Jets are 4-1 at home this year, and average 146 yards per game at Giants Stadium.  And with Chris Ivory injured, Powell should see the bulk of the action.

Great matchup, and plenty of opportunity.  We like Powell’s chances this week.

 

Benny Cunningham, RB St. Louis (23%)

The pride of Middle Tennessee State University!

The pride of Middle Tennessee State University!

It’s only taken 12 weeks, but St. Louis has finally settled on a RB, at least for now.  Undrafted rookie RB Benny Cunningham has taken over (from fellow rookie RB Zac Stacy) as the main back.  Benny has put up back to back double digit performances, and rushed for an impressive 109 yards and a touchdown against the Bears last week.  With Stacy suffering a concussion in that game, and Darryl Richardson and Isaiah Pead complete afterthoughts, Benny’s in line to get plenty of touches this week.  He’s a low RB2/Flex.

Tim Wright, TE Tampa Bay (19%)

Catching on like a staff infection.

Catching on like a staff infection.

Wright is the only healthy tight end on the roster (damn MRSA), and he stepped up big last week, going 8/75/0.  He’s established a pretty good rapport with Glennon, and is now a factor in the Bucs passing game.  He’s also a Rutgers guy, so the chances of Mighty Mouse Schiano stabbing him in the back and releasing him are slim (although it can’t be ruled out).

Week 9 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pick Ups

As all us fantasy nerds know, picking up guys on the waiver wire is a crap shoot.  You’re a triage doctor (yes, we equate managing a fantasy football team with performing emergency medical procedures) trying to stop the bleeding so your patient can live another day.  Or (perhaps a more appropriate analogy) you need a slump buster, a quick hit to get your team back in the game.  Either way, it’s a temporary, stop-gap measure.  The name of the game is to find someone who can give you double-digit points, and it’s always hit or miss.  However, loyal readers of The Machine are rewarded with more hits than misses.

Last week, we hit on two of our waiver wire picks ups.  What Terrelle Pryor didn’t do in the air (88/0/2) he certainly made up for it on the ground, rushing for 106 yards and a touchdown, including this record-breaking 93 yard run: 

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Brandon Boldin also posted double-digit numbers, rushing for a touchdown in the Pats come from behind win agaist Miami.  Sure, we struck out (big time) with Chris Ivory and Jerome Kerley (we knew recommending Jets players was a bad idea) but we hope you found a spot on your roster for Andre Brown (if not, get him now).

Anyway, on to his weeks’ waiver wire pick-ups.

Dexter could be your savior.  If you're a Blackmon owner, get him now.

Dexter could be your savior. If you’re a Blackmon owner, get him now.

Dexter McCluster, WR Kansas City (% owned in Yahoo Fantasy League, 18%)

Is your team in desperate need of a WR, either because of a bye week or because Justin Blackmon can’t put down the pipe?  Well Dexter’s your answer.  Frankly, The Machine is shocked that Dexter is only owned in 18% of leagues.  That is guaranteed to double by next week.  Dexter is quickly becoming Alex “Captain Checkdown” Smith’s favorite target.  After starting the season slow, Dexter has turned it on lately, posting consecutive double-digit performances, including a solid 20+ point game last week, going 7/67/1 and leading the team with 10 targets. 

With Dwayne Bowe a complete failure, and Alex Smith unable to throw the ball more than 10 yards, Dexter is the number one receiving option in Kansas City.  We like his chances this week against a Buffalo D that is vulnerable to the underneath throws.

Jake, when healthy, has put up surprisingly solid numbers.

Jake, when healthy, has put up surprisingly solid numbers.

Jake Locker, QB Tennessee (36%)

The Machine was shocked to see that Jake is still available in over 60% of leagues.  Clearly, he hasn’t reached everyday starter status, and injuries have only allowed him to only play 5 games so far, but he’s definitely worth a spot on your bench, and, if you need a qb this week, Jake the Snake has a great matchup against St. Louis.  Jake has proven to be turnover resistant, throwing only 1 int all year, compared with 9 total tds (8 passing, 1 rushing).  All in 5 games.  In his last start 2 weeks ago, Jake had a breakout game and went 326/2/1 against a tough 49ers D.  We like his chances against the Rams this week.  He’s also got the ability to pick up points on the ground, and is worth a start if you need a qb this week.

With Jake under center, Nate's in line for a big game.

With Jake under center, Nate’s in line for a big game.

Nate Washington, WR Tennessee (40%)

No one is happier to see Jake back on the field than Nate Washington.  In 5 games with Jake behind center, Nasty Nate’s averaged double-digit fantasy numbers, 4.4/78.  In the 2 games without Jake, he’s averaged single digits, 2/22.5.  Not surprisingly, his 2 tds this year have come from Jake.  Needless to say, Nate should be able to reach double-digit numbers this week. 

Always a hit or miss, but we like Moore's chances against the Jets.

Always a hit or miss, but we like Moore’s chances against the Jets.

Lance Moore, WR New Orleans (40%)

Caution:  starting any Saints receiver not named Graham is a risk.  They are all boom or bust, including Moore, who’s been beset by the injury bug and has only played in 4 games so far.  After a 4 week absence, Moore was back on the field and posted a respectable 3/34/1.  While the yardage total was low, Moore had more targets than Graham (4 to 3) and Brees likes to use him in the redzone.  Also, Moore was tied for 1st in receptions.  The only problem there is that he was tied with 5 other players.  That’s the problem with starting any receiver not named Graham.  And while we also like Kenny Stills (although he’s now owned in 70% (verify) of leagues so probably not an option for you at this point) we like Moore’s shiftiness as a slot receiver against the Jets, who historically are not good matching up against slot receivers.  This, in our humble/expert opinion, gives Moore the edge over Stills this week. 

Because of Moore’s (and every receiver not named Graham’s) boom or bust tendencies, there are other WRs out there we like (Dexter or Nate).  But if they’re gone, or you just like rolling the dice, Lance is your guy.

Coby should see his targets increase.

Coby should see an increase in targets.

Coby Fleener, TE, Indy (46%)

If you’re a Julius Thomas or Vernon Davis owner looking for a replacement this week, or perhaps stuck with a TE that has been putting up inconsistent numbers (Kyle Rudolph) Coby Fleener provides an attractive option for you.  With Reggie Wayne out for the year, Andrew Luck will need someone else to throw the ball to.  And while that means DHB should get more touches, he is wildly inconsistent (and our sources tell us nursing a hamstring injury – verify).  This puts Fleener, Andrew’s college roommate and safety valve, at the top of our list to see an increased workload in Indy’s offense. 

Can Terrelle deliver another solid performance.  We think so.

Can Terrelle deliver another solid performance? We think so.

Terrelle Pryor, QB, Oakland (54%)

Hmmm, last week Terrelle was only owned in 35% of leagues, and now he’s up to over half.  We wonder what could have let to that dramatic uptick in ownership?  Well, expect to see that number rise.  Terrelle has a great matchup this week, at home, against a porous Eagles D.  Look for Terrelle to approach 100 yards on the ground again.

Week 8 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pick Ups

Welcome to Week 8, fantasy friends.  We’re at the mid-way point in the season, and now’s the time where things get serious.  A critical step to fantasy domination involves successfully navigating the waiver wire.  A lot of big names are on bye this week (Foster, Ray Rice, Brandon Marshall, CJ2K, T. Rich) and a lot of big injuries have sidelined players (Roddy White, Jay Cutler, Reggie Wayne, Doug Martin).  If you’re struggling to replace someone this week, you’ve come to the right place.  Here are our top Week 8 Waiver Wire pick ups.

Ivory should get the bulk of the carries from here on out.

Ivory should get the bulk of the carries from here on out.

Chris Ivory, RB Jets (% owned in Yahoo! leagues, 55%)

Ivory is still available in 45% of Yahoo! leagues.  If one of those is yours, you best go and pick him up right now.  For most of the season, Ivory has been stuck in RB by committee hell, splitting time with Bilal Powell and Mike Goodson.  However, Goodson’s out on IR and done for the season, and Ivory seems to have won over the starting job from Powell.  Last week, Ivory ran the ball 34 (yes, 34!) times, for 104 yards, clearly outpacing Powell, who carried the ball 3 (yes, 3) times.

That distribution of work bodes well for Ivory going forward. 

Roy's got a good chance to hit paydirt again this week.

Roy’s got a good chance to hit paydirt again this week.

Roy Helu, Jr., RB Washington (54%)

Roy has quietly put together 3 straight double-digit fantasy weeks, and he’s now starting to cut into Alfred Morris’ touches.  While Alfred is still the feature RB, he’s become more of an early down back, and Roy has filled in on 3rd downs, short yardage situations, and in the hurry up offense.  Roy only had 12 carries for 46 yards last week, but…wait for it…3 tds.  This means Roy is getting the all important goaline carries. 

It'll be like Terrelle's back in the Big 10 for a day.

It’ll be like Terrelle’s back in the Big 10 for a day.

Terrelle Pryor, QB, Oakland (35%)

If you’re in need of a QB this week, Terrelle may be the guy you’re looking for.  Playing at home against the (suddenly inept) Steelers D, Pryor has a chance to put up solid numbers, both in the air and on the ground.  Over his last 3 starts, Pryor has averaged 239 yards in the air and 41 yards on the ground, while also throwing 4 tds and 3 ints. 

We know it's weird, but the Jets actually offer some fantasy value.

We know it’s weird, but the Jets actually offer some fantasy value.

Jerome Kerley, WR NY Jets (26%)

Chances are, you missed out on picking up Jarrett Boykin and/or Harry Douglas, who are both now owned in more than 70% of leagues.  If you were lucky enough to get one of them, great.  If not, and you’re still in need of a WR, Kerley’s a nice fill in.  Last week, he went 8/97/1, and, more importantly, led the team in targets with 10.  Even if he doesn’t replicate those numbers this week, he should be getting a good amount of passes thrown his way.  Pencil him in as a WR3/flex.

If you're desperate for a RB this week, Brandon's in line to see an increased workload this week.

If you’re desperate for a RB this week, Brandon’s in line to see an increased workload this week.

Brandon Boldin, RB, New England (12%)

Although the Patriots employ the worst RB by committee in the league, Brandon has some value this week, especially in PPR leagues.  Shane Vareen is injured, which has move Brandon up the depth chart, and also moved him into Shane’s role of the passing-down back.  He also has a favorable matchup against the rushing-friendly Dolphins defense. 

BONUS PICK UPS!!!

Because The Machine loves you, here are two bonus waiver wire pick ups.  These guys will be hot next week, but if you got a roster spot available, pick them up now.

DHB will get (another) chance to live up to his Top 10 draft status.

DHB will get (another) chance to live up to his Top 10 draft status.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR Colts (45%)

DHB is still available in over half the leagues.  That will change dramatically next week, as the Colts come off the bye.  With Reggie Wayne done for the year, DHB will come in and replace him as the featured WR.  And with Trent Richardson still sucking, the Colts will open up the offense and turn to the passing game more.

Andre will be the #1 back for the G-Men, grab him now and thank us later.

Andre will be the #1 back for the G-Men, grab him now and thank us later.

Andre Brown, RB, NY Giants (19%)

Wait, you mean the same Andre Brown that has a broken leg and hasn’t played all season?  Yeah, that one.  Andre is scheduled to return to the G-Men in Week 10 (Giants are on a bye next week) but, more importantly, he’s going to return as the featured back.  With injuries to Wilson and Jacobs, the Giants currently have 7th round rookie Michael Cox and (forgotten) Peyton Hillis in the backfield.  Andre should come in and immediately pay dividends.  Get him while you still can.

BRSM

Fantasy Pick Ups – Week 2

We’re one week in, but that’s never too early to scour the waiver wire and make some last-minute adjustments.  Here’s out Top waiver wire pick-ups for Week 2.

Harry Douglas, WR – Atlanta (6% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Harry has a great chance to see the endzone today

Harry has a great chance to see the endzone today.

With Roddy White still “undetermined” with a high ankle sprain and Julio Jones banged up, Harry comes in as the best receiving option for the Falcons (besides Gonzo who’s a must start).  Harry had a decent game last week (4/83/0) even with Roddy and Julio in the lineup.  Atlanta will still look to air it out, and Harry’s in line to get a lot of looks.  He’s a WR3 or Flex option.

It'll be like Terrelle's back in the Big 10 for a day.

It’ll be like Terrelle’s back in the Big 10 for a day.

Terrelle Pryor, QB – Oakland (25%)

Yes, we’re telling you to pick up an Oakland Raider, and, if you want to shake things up and look like a fantasy stud, we’re telling you to start him.

Pryor makes the Raiders mildly entertaining to watch.  He had good stats against Indy last week, (217/1/2) but add to that 112 rushing yards, and that’s where his value really shows.  Pryor is in line to have a monster game today.

The Raiders are at home and playing Jacksonville.  The Jags are a decent pop-warner team.  Seriously, they’re awful, as in already playing for the #1 draft pick awful (their streak of 6 Top 10 First Round picks is not in jeopardy).  The Raiders should have no problem moving the ball against the Jags, and Pryor should be able to rack up good number both in the air and on the ground.

I’d start Pryor over the likes of Romo, RGIII, and yes, Russell Wilson. 

Joique Bell, RB – Detroit (75%)Just a matter of time before he's the starter.

Joique’s value has skyrocketed this week, he’s gone from owned by nobody to now 75% of Yahoo! leagues.  If he happens to still be available in yours, pick him up immediately.

Bell had a great game last week, only 25 yards rushing but he added 2 tds and also caught 5 balls for 67 yards.  Plus, add into the mix that it’s only a matter of time before Reggie Bush gets injured, and picking up Joique now (on the cheap) will help your club down the road.  Even with Bush in the mix today, Bell has a good matchup against a weak Cardinals D.

BRSM