2015 NFL Mock Draft (Roid Rage’s 1.0)

Round 1 Team Pick Position
1 Buccaneers J. Winston (FSU) QB
2 Titans M. Mariota (Oregon) QB
3 Jaguars V. Beasley (Clemson) EDGE
4 Raiders L. Williams (USC) DL
5 Redskins D. Fowler (Florida) EDGE
6 Jets K. White (UWV) WR
7 Bears A. Cooper (Alabama) WR
8 Falcons S. Ray (Missouri) EDGE

I’m not buying the Titans hitching their Franchise Wagon to Zack Mettenberger.  I also don’t care that Mariota isn’t a Ken-Whisenhunt-type QB; who says this pick is even Whiz’s to make?  The Titans either try to extort some team (I’m looking at you NY/Philly) for a ton of picks, or they simply roll with the best signal caller available.

The NFL is all about QB play on offense and getting after the QB on defense.  Three “Edge” defenders get called in the first eight picks.  Beasley’s athleticism is the tie-breaker with Fowler.

Vic Beast-ley

Vic Beast-ley

Round 1 Team Pick Position
9 Giants B. Scherff (Iowa) OL
10 Rams T. Waynes (MSU) CB
11 Vikings M. Peters (Washington) CB
12 Browns D. Shelton (Washington) DT
13 Saints L. Collins (LSU) OL
14 Dolphins R. Gregory (Nebraska) EDGE
15 49ers D. Parker (Louisville) WR
16 Texans T. Gurley (Georgia) RB

Eli Manning has gotten rag-dolled the last two years playing behind make-shift lines.  Surely going into his last contract, the Giants best chances of winning is keeping Eli upright in the pocket (and peppering ODB with 150+ targets)!

As the Saints overhaul their offensive philosophy, a potential franchise tackle falls into their laps at pick 13.  Speaking of value, DeVante Parker absolutely has the skill set to be the best wide receiver in this draft class; the 49ers have a glaring hole at WR to boot.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
17 Chargers M. Brown (Texas) DT
18 Chiefs D. Green-Beckham (OU) WR
19 Browns A. Armstead (Oregon) DE
20 Eagles A. Peat (Stanford) OL
21 Bengals A. Dupree (Kentucky) EDGE
22 Steelers L. Collins (Alabama) S
23 Lions B. Jones (UConn) CB
24 Cardinals E. Flowers (Miami) OT

Dorial Green-Beckham is the wildcard of this draft.  We all know about this ability’s both on and off the field.  I’m sure there are a number of teams that will completely take him off their draft boards.  The Chiefs take a shot on his upside and completely remake their (league worst) WR depth chart from last year.

Please don't end up in Cleveland, please don't end up in Cleveland, please...

Please don’t end up in Cleveland, please don’t end up in Cleveland, please…

Round 1 Team Pick Position
25 Panthers TJ. Clemmings (Pitt) OT
26 Ravens E. Kendricks (UCLA) LB
27 Cowboys K. Johnson (WF) CB
28 Broncos M. Gordon (Wisconsin) RB
29 Colts C. Erving (FSU) C
30 Packers J. Fisher (Oregon) OT
31 Saints S. Thompson (Washington) LB
32 Patriots E. Harold (Virginia) LB

Waiting on RBs has been en vogue in recent years.  I’m bucking that trend and Melvin Gordon makes it two running backs selected in the first round (Gurley to Houston at 16).  The Broncos are shifting to a more balanced offensive attack for two reasons: their high-flying aerial assault doesn’t work against elite defenses (see Super Bowl beatdown) and because Peyton is rapidly losing velocity on his fastball.

Virginia v Virginia Tech

Week 16 Picks ATS

WEEK 16
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM JACKSONVILLE 3 Tennessee
Saturday 4:30 PM Philadelphia 7.5 WASHINGTON
Saturday 8:25 PM SAN FRANCISCO 1.5 San Diego
Sunday 1 PM MIAMI 6.5 Minnesota
Sunday 1 PM Green Bay 10.5 TAMPA BAY
Sunday 1 PM Detroit 7 CHICAGO
Sunday 1 PM NEW ORLEANS 6 Atlanta
Sunday 1 PM New England 10 NYJ
Sunday 1 PM PITTSBURGH 3 Kansas City
Sunday 1 PM CAROLINA 4 Cleveland
Sunday 1 PM Baltimore 5.5 HOUSTON
Sunday 4:05 PM ST. LOUIS 5 nyg
Sunday 4:25 PM Buffalo 6 OAKLAND
Sunday 4:25 PM DALLAS 3 Indianapolis
Sunday 8:30 PM Seattle 8 ARIZONA
Monday 8:30 PM Denver 3.5 CINCINNATI
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 4-11-1 9-6-1 8-7-1 5-10-1 9-6-1
YTD 97-109-3 112-95-3 104-102-3 98-108-3 108-98-3
Tennessee JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE
Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia WASHINGTON Philadelphia
San Diego San Diego SAN FRANCISCO San Diego San Diego
MIAMI MIAMI MIAMI MIAMI MIAMI
Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay
Detroit Detroit CHICAGO Detroit Detroit
Atlanta Atlanta NEW ORLEANS Atlanta Atlanta
New England New England New England NYJ New England
Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH
CAROLINA Cleveland CAROLINA CAROLINA Cleveland
Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore
ST. LOUIS nyg nyg nyg nyg
OAKLAND Buffalo Buffalo OAKLAND Buffalo
Indianapolis DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS DALLAS
Seattle ARIZONA ARIZONA Seattle Seattle
CINCINNATI Denver Denver Denver Denver
LOCK Bengals  Giants Panthers Lions Ravens
Lock Wins 8 7 7 4 4

Week 16 Picks ATS….Saturday Football!

WEEK 16
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM JACKSONVILLE 3 Tennessee
Saturday 4:30 PM Philadelphia 7.5 WASHINGTON
Saturday 8:25 PM SAN FRANCISCO 1.5 San Diego
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 4-11-1 9-6-1 8-7-1 5-10-1 9-6-1
YTD 97-109-3 112-95-3 104-102-3 98-108-3 108-98-3
Tennessee JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE
Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia WASHINGTON Philadelphia
San Diego San Diego SAN FRANCISCO San Diego San Diego
I like San Diego

I like San Diego

Week 14 Picks ATS…TNF Edition

WEEK 14
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM Dallas 3.5 CHICAGO
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 5-11 7-9 8-8 7-9 10-6
YTD 85-91-1 94-83-1 86-90-1 85-91-1 90-86-1
Dallas  Dallas Dallas CHICAGO Dallas
How 'bout dem Cowboys!

How ’bout dem Cowboys!

Week 13 Picks ATS…Thanksgiving Edition

WEEK 13
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 12:30 PM DETROIT 7 Chicago
Thurs 4:30 PM DALLAS 3 Philadelphia
Thurs 8:30 PM SAN FRANCISCO 1 Seattle
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 10-5 6-9 6-9 6-9 6-9
YTD 80-80-1 87-74-1 78-82-1 78-82-1 80-80-1
Chicago Chicago DETROIT DETROIT DETROIT
DALLAS Philadelphia Philadelphia DALLAS DALLAS
SAN FRANCISCO Seattle SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO Seattle
Happy Turkey Day!

Happy Turkey Day!

Week 12 Picks ATS

WEEK 12
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM Kansas City 7 OAKLAND
Sunday 1 PM ATLANTA 3 Cleveland
Sunday 1 PM PHILADELPHIA 11 Tennessee
Sunday 1 PM NEW ENGLAND 7 Detroit
Sunday 1 PM Green Bay 8.5 MINNESOTA
Sunday 1 PM INDIANAPOLIS 14 Jacksonville
Sunday 1 PM HOUSTON 1.5 Cincinnati
Sunday 1 PM CHICAGO 5.5 Tampa Bay
Sunday 4:05 PM SEATTLE 7 Arizona
Sunday 4:05 PM SAN DIEGO 5 St. Louis
Sunday 4:25 PM DENVER 7 Miami
Sunday 4:25 PM SAN FRANCISCO 9 Washington
Sunday 8:30 PM Dallas 3.5 NYG
Monday 7:00 PM BUFFALO 2.5 nyj
Monday 8:30 PM NEW ORLEANS 3.5 Baltimore
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 5-9 7-7 7-7 8-6 9-5
YTD 70-75-1 81-65-1 72-73-1 72-73-1 74-71-1
OAKLAND OAKLAND Kansas City OAKLAND Kansas City
Cleveland  ATLANTA Cleveland Cleveland ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA  Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee PHILADELPHIA
NEW ENGLAND NEW ENGLAND NEW ENGLAND NEW ENGLAND NEW ENGLAND
MINNESOTA  Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay
Jacksonville  INDIANAPOLIS Jacksonville INDIANAPOLIS Jacksonville
HOUSTON  Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati
Tampa Bay  CHICAGO CHICAGO Tampa Bay CHICAGO
SEATTLE  Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona
St. Louis  SAN DIEGO SAN DIEGO SAN DIEGO St. Louis
DENVER  DENVER DENVER Miami DENVER
Washington  SAN FRANCISCO Washington SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO
Dallas  Dallas Dallas Dallas Dallas
BUFFALO  BUFFALO BUFFALO nyj BUFFALO
Baltimore  NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS
LOCK Patriots  Patriots Browns Packers Packers
Lock Wins 5 5 5 3 2
Fantasy sports are hot!

Fantasy sports are hot!

 

Week 11 Picks ATS…TNF Edition

WEEK 11
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM MIAMI 5.5 Buffalo
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week *9-4 *8-5 *5-8 *6-7 *6-7
YTD 65-66-1 74-59-1 65-56-1 64-67-1 65-66-1
Buffalo MIAMI MIAMI Buffalo MIAMI
Nice catch, Tannehill.

Nice catch, Tannehill.

Week 10 Picks ATS!….TNF Edition

WEEK 10
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM CINCINNATI 6 Cleveland
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 5-8 9-4 5-8 7-6 4-9
YTD 56-62-1 66-54-1 60-58-1 58-60-1 59-59-1
CINCINNATI CINCINNATI CINCINNATI CINCINNATI CINCINNATI
Clean sweep by our panel....what could possibly go wrong?!

Clean sweep by our panel….what could possibly go wrong?!

Week 9 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pickups

Alright, you know the drill.  Lots of guys are on bye this week.  Properly navigating the waiver wire separates the truly great from the average.  Religiously reading The Machine will put you at the top of the game (and increase your sex life).  Receiver is of key importance, as several of the top guys (Jordy, Julio, Megatron, Brandon Marshall, Golden Tate) are off.  Loyal Machine readers have prepared for this by picking up Odell Beckham, Jr. weeks ago, when he was only owned in 6% of leagues.  Now, he’s owned in 61%, so you’ll have to look elsewhere.  Luckily, you can still look here for our top waiver wire picks of the week.

I'm back! (for now).

I’m back! (for now).

Robert Griffin, III, QB Washington (47%)

RGIII is back in action this week, as should be a must add in your lineup.  He may not be the long term solution for the Redskins, but he could be the short term solution for your team.  Lost in all of the QB shuffle in Washington is that the Skins love to throw the ball.  Jay Gruden and his brother’s offensive scheme are 5th in the league in passing yards per game, and that’s with Kirk Cousins and Colt McCoy.  With RGIII behind center, the Skins should continue their aerial assault.  Both teams are 3-5 and going nowhere.  The only reason to watch is for fantasy purposes.  If you’re looking for a replacement for Aaron Rogers or Mathew Stafford this week, RGIII provides a nice bridge.

Malcolm Floyd, WR San Diego (41%)

Love the powder blue!

Love the powder blue!

There are a lot of receivers on bye this week (Jordy, Julio, Brandon, Megatron, Golden Tate) so finding a serviceable replacement is a must.  Floyd is that and more.  Malcolm has worked his way into a leading role in San Diego’s offense, he’s averaged 7 targets in each of the past three weeks.  He should get that against Miami, which puts him in line to reach double digit points for the 6th time this season.

Lorenzo Taliaferro, RB Baltimore (35%)

Thanks Ray!

Thanks Ray!

The three headed rushing attack in Baltimore has turned in to a two-man game, with Justin Forsett and Lorenzo leading the charge.  Taliaferro’s biggest asset is that he’s a goaline vulture.  He scored two touchdowns last weekend, and lead the Ravens in receiving yards.  Baltimore plays Pittsburgh this week, and this game should be smash-mouth football.  That works in Taliaferro’s favor, as he’s their short yardage and goaline specialist, and we also catch a few passes.  Plus, with Forsett banged up, that only results in more touches for Lorenzo.  He’s a low end RB2/Flex play this week.

Dwayne Bowe, WR Chiefs (48%)

Once a no brainer WR1, Bowe has fallen to the ranks of consistent bench player.  But, if you’re desperate for a receiver, he’s worth a look.  He’s scored double digits each of the past two weeks, and caught all 6 targets last week.  The Chiefs are also playing the Jets, who are awful.  Bowe is a WR4/5 and worth a look if you’re really in need of a receiver.

Donte Moncrief, WR Colts (14%)

Donte had his coming out game last week, going 7/113/1 against Pittsburgh.  His problem is getting on the field, as the Colts have a ton of offensive weapons (TY, Reggie, Dwayne Allen, Ahmad Bradshaw).  Good news is that it looks like Moncrief has passed Hakeem Nicks on the depth chart, which should give him some more playing time.  The Colts play the Giants this week, and, because of the attention the aforementioned Colts will receive, Moncrief could get lost in the shuffle, making him an easy target for Luck.

Bonus Pickup: 

Jonas Gray, RB Patriots (18%)

Stock's rising.  Buy low.

Stock’s rising. Buy low.

The jury’s still out on Gray, but he burst on the scene last week for New England, rushing for 86 yards and having a td called back for a false start.  He out-touched Shane Vereen 17-5.  We don’t like his (or Vereen’s) matchup this week against Denver, but Jonas deserves a spot on your bench now.  Who the hell knows what Belichcik will do with him…but the upside is there.

Fantasy Football Guns

Week 9 Picks ATS…TNF Edition

WEEK 9
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM new orleans 3 CAROLINA
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
CAROLINA CAROLINA new orleans CAROLINA CAROLINA
Owned

Owned