Mock Draft (Ginger King 3.0)

Need more proof of the power of the Draft?  All week, the biggest stories were Kobe’s last game, and Golden State’s quest for 73 wins…until Thursday, when the LA Rams (need to get used to that again) mortgaged the future to move from 15 to 1 in a blockbuster trade with the Titans.  Suddenly, nothing else matters.

Make no mistake:  this trade affects everything.  It ensures that qbs go 1 and 2 in this draft (although Roid Rage and I differ on the order – check out his latest mock).  Biggest winner from this trade:  Paxton Lynch.  With qbs going 1 and 2, Lynch now becomes highly valuable, as the drop off in qb talent after him is significant.  Will he crack the Top 10?  Biggest loser:  Laremy Tunsil.  Plugged in as the number 1 overall for weeks and weeks, Laremy will most certainly fall from the top perch. The question is how far?

And with that, let’s get right to the action.

Round 1 Team Pick Position
1 LA Rams Jared Goff (Cal) QB
2 Cleveland Browns Carson Wentz (North Dakota St.) QB
3 San Diego Chargers Laremy Tunsil (Ole Miss) OL
4 Dallas Cowboys Jalen Ramsey (FSU) CB
5 Jacksonville Jaguars DeForest Buckner (Oregon) DE
[cue Tupac]:  California Love!!!

[cue Tupac]: California Love!!!

6 Baltimore Ravens Joey Bosa (OSU) DE
7 San Francisco 49ers Myles Jack (UCLA) LB
8 Philadelphia Eagles Ronnie Stanley (Notre Dame) OL
9 Tampa Bay Bucs Leonard Floyd (Georgia) LB
10 New York Giants Vernon Hargreaves (Florida) CB
11 Chicago Bears Ezekiel Elliot (OSU) RB
12 New Orleans Saints Paxton Lynch (Memphis) QB
13 Miami Dolphins William Jackson III (Houston) CB
14 Oakland Raiders Sheldon Rankins (Louisville) DT
15 Tennessee Titans Jack Conklin (MSU) OL
16 Detroit Lions Corey Coleman (Baylor) WR
17 Atlanta Falcons Laquan Treadwell (Ole Miss) WR
18 Indianapolis Colts Taylor Decker (OSU) OL
19 Buffalo Bills Emmanuel Ogbah (Ok St.) DE
On the rise.

On the rise.

20 New York Jets Jarran Reed (Alabama) DT
21 Washington Redskins Reggie Ragland (Alabama) LB
22 Houston Texans A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama) DT
23 Minnesota Vikings Chris Jones (Miss St.) DE
24 Cincinnati Bengals Will Fuller (Notre Dame) WR
25 Pittsburgh Steelers Eli Apple (OSU) CB
26 Seattle Seahawks Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky) DE
27 Green Bay Packers Kenny Clark (UCLA) DT
28 Kansas City Chiefs Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech) DT
29 Arizona Cardinals Darren Lee (OSU) LB
30 Carolina Panthers Josh Doctson (TCU) WR
31 Denver Broncos Kevin Dodd (Clemson) DE
So much depth at DT.  You can't go wrong.

So much depth at DT. You can’t go wrong.

 

Divisional Weekend – Round 2

NFL DivisionalSeattle (11-6) @ Carolina (15-1), Sunday 1:05 PM

Line: Sea +2.5 O/U 44.0

With all due respect to Russell Wilson, he’ll be the second best quarterback on the field today. If The Machine’s application is approved in time, SuperCam will definitely get our vote for MVP this year. Cam has been putting up ridiculous numbers in the passing (and running) game all season; including Week 6 at Seattle, where Newton threw a 26-yard TD dart to Greg Olsen to cap a come from behind win against the reigning NFC Champs. While Newton was picked twice in that game, he added a rushing TD along with the Olsen score, and, like all season, made big plays in big spots. He is seeing the entire field, spreading the ball to his ho-hum receiving corps, and trusting his freakish athletic ability. He’s been a force at home (to go along with 257 rushing yards + 6 rushing TDs):

homesplitUnfortunately for Cam and the Panthers, they are facing one of the hottest…and easily the luckiest…teams in the league. After being gifted a ticket to the Divisional Round, Seattle is playing with house money, so they’ve got no reason not to play free and loose. Plus, they get BeastMode back, who has a penchant for making game-changing plays in the playoffs.

Defensively, Seattle is much more average on the road than at home. Cam Chancellor has looked like a liability in coverage, as evident on the final drive last week, where he drew a 19-yard PI penalty only to get torched by Kyle Rudolph on the very next play for 24-yards. That *should* have cost the Seahawks their season. Greg Olsen should see double-digit targets and put up big numbers (he gashed the ‘Hawks this year to the tune of 7/131/1). The Panthers boast a formidable front-seven and a true lockdown corner in Josh Norman. Their athletic line backing corps should be able to contain Russell Wilson and keep him from creating outside the pocket and on broken plays, a lethal facet of his game.

Vegas basically has this one as a toss-up if it were on a neutral field. After facing a tough defense in Minnesota, and traveling across country this week to face the best team in the conference, I think Seattle’s luck runs out in Carolina.

newton gifPrediction: Carolina 20, Seattle 17

*************************************************************************************************

Bengals-ScalpPittsburgh (11-6) @ Denver (12-4), Sunday 4:40 PM

Line: Pitt +7.5 O/U 41.0

If the first game is the “good” than this one promises to be the “bad and the ugly”. The Steelers come hobbling into Mile High to face dead-arm Peyton Manning. Both teams are playing for the right to get whipped by Brady and Company.

Let’s start with the home team. The Broncos formula for winning is simple: play great defense (1st in total defense, allowing only 283 yards/game), run the ball (with the uninspiring duo of CJ Anderson and Ronnie Hillman), and don’t let the quarterback lose the game for you. Peyton Manning, the first ballot Hall-of-Famer, has been physically reduced to a game-manager that got (rightfully) bench for Brock-freaking-Osweiler this season.

If you’re to believe the cockgobblers Nance and Simms, Peyton Manning’s presence sparked the running game in their Week 17 victory over the Chargers. Admittedly, we might have been a few cases of Silver Bullets deep at the time, but we’re not blind. Manning was 5/9 with 65 yards and he was launching ducks all over the field. The spark in the run game probably had more to do with San Diego’s atrocious run defense and less with Manning’s presence. But that’s just our analysis.

I liked the Steelers to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this year. That was before Antonio Brown was decapitated and Big Ben’s arm fell off.  Adam “Pacman” Jones claimed Antonio Brown (who was clearly knocked out before he hit the ground) was faking his injury (as if the refs needed more justification to throw a flag?!) and predicted Brown would be cleared to play this weekend. Yeeeeah. Pac also thinks his Enron stock will rebound and Jupiter Ascending will take home the Oscar for best picture. We long for the days when Pacman did what Pacman does best: make it ran dolla dolla bills (and bullets) in da club. Already reduced to a running back committee of Fitzgerald Toussaint (sounds like a French painter) and Jordan Todman, Brown’s play-making ability is a huge lose. Pittsburgh will rely on young but capable wide outs Martavis Bryant and Markus Wheaton, while Heath Miller figures to be peppered with short targets.

While Brown’s injury is devastating, Roethlisberger’s busted shoulder is of greater concern. Reports out of Pittsburgh claim that Ben is driving the football with good velocity, but isn’t that exactly what you would expect reports out of Pittsburgh to say? He certainly wasn’t able to throw the ball down the field during the final drive in Cincinnati; a fact that was overshadowed by the Bengals meltdown (with an assist from Joey Porter). This isn’t exactly uncharted territory for Ben, as he annually seems to be a walking infirmary.

So who do you trust more: and banged up Big Ben or going-on-40 Peyton Manning? Manning was no good in cold-weather playoff games in his prime when he had an arm (Eli clearly got all the clutch genes). Despite how decimated the Steelers are, I have to believe they can make enough plays to keep it close. The Steelers could easily lose by a touchdown, so I love getting the ½ point hook. I’m guessing Pacman Jones likes the Broncos to run away with this game in a shootout; so give me the Steelers and the points.

Prediction: Denver 17, Steelers 12

steel01

 

 

 

 

 

WEEK 10 PICKS / LOCKS / SURVIVOR

Never forget.

Never forget.

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
73-54-5 67-60-5 57-70-5 66-61-5 66-61-5
BUF BUF NYJ BUF NYJ
GB  GB GB GB GB
DAL  DAL DAL TB DAL
CAR  CAR CAR TEN CAR
CHI  CHI CHI CHI CHI
NO  WAS NO WAS WAS
MIA  MIA MIA PHI MIA
PIT  PIT PIT PIT CLE
JAC  JAC BAL JAC BAL
MIN  MIN OAK MIN OAK
DEN  DEN KC KC DEN
NE  NE NE NE NE
ARZ  ARZ ARZ SEA ARZ
CIN  CIN HOU CIN CIN
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
6-3-0 6-3-0 6-3-0 2-7-0 3-6-0
JAC  PIT MIA GB BAL
Survivor Pool Pick
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny

footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Week 9 Scorecard

Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Week 1 GB GB SEA GB ARZ
Week 2 ARZ NO *DEAD* NO NO
Week 3 SEA *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*
Week 4 SD *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*
Week 5 NE *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*
Week 6 MIN *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*
Week 7 STL *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*
Week 8 CAR *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*
Week 9 ATL *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD* *DEAD*

 

 

WEEK 8 PICKS / LOCKS / SURVIVOR

GOAT!

GOAT!

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
52-36-3 50-38-3 36-52-3 46-42-3 43-45-3
NE NE NE NE MIA
DET  DET KC KC KC
MIN  MIN CHI CHI MIN
TB  ATL ATL ATL TB
NYG NYG NYG NO NYG
SF  STL STL STL STL
ARZ  ARZ ARZ CLE ARZ
CIN  PIT PIT PIT CIN
BAL  SD SD SD SD
TEN  TEN HOU HOU HOU
NYJ  NYJ OAK OAK OAK
DAL  SEA DAL SEA DAL
GB  GB GB GB GB
CAR  CAR CAR CAR INDY
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
6-1-0 6-1-0 5-2-0 2-5-0 2-5-0
GB  GB ARZ GB CIN
Survivor Pool Pick
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
CAR **DEAD** **DEAD** **DEAD** **DEAD**
footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Week 7 Scorecard

Week 7 – Waiver Wire Pickups

Are you ready?!?

We’re at the halfway point for most fantasy leagues.  We were a mixed bag last week.  C-Kaep had the breakout game we expected, throwing for 340 yards, 2 tds, and 0 ints.  Reuben also turned in a respectable performance, catching 5 of 6 targets for 44 yards.  With some big names coming off the injury list soon (Big Ben, Dez, Romo) the waiver wire is still an important place to round out your squad.  Let’s take a look at our top picks for the week.

Blake Bortles, QB Jags (67% owned in Yahoo! leagues)

Yeah, I'm kind of a big deal now.

Yeah, I’m kind of a big deal now.

When we started writing this post last night, Blake was owned in only 43% of leagues (thus meeting our 50% ownership rule).  Overnight, much like the Google image searches for his girlfriend, interest in Blake skyrocketed.  And for good reason.

Blake is the 6th highest fantasy scoring QB in the league, ahead of guys like Cam Newton, Peyton Manning, and Russell Wilson.  He ranks 5th in TDs, 6th in rushing yards, and 7th in passing yards.  He is a top 5 QB this week, playing across the pond against the Bills.  The Bills used to have a good defense, way back in Week 1, but recently they have (much like Rex) been exposed as frauds, giving up big games to Andy Dalton and Eli Manning.  Look for Blake to continue that success.

Blake is a legitimate starting QB for the rest of the season.  FWIT, Blake started his hot streak in Week 3, when he was only owned in 11% of leagues.  What could have jumped started his career, you ask?  Probably this.

Stefon Diggs, WR Minnesota (58%)

Stefon DiggsDammit.  If only we were more motivated to finish this while watching the Royal/Blue Jays game last night.  Stefon was owned in only 2% of leagues last night.  He took a meteoric rise overnight and is now up to 58%.

You may ask yourself, who is Stefon Diggs?  Well, if you’re draft nerds like us, you’d know he’s a rookie 5th round pick out of Maryland.  We thought he could’ve gone as early as the third round, so the Vikings really got a steal.  And now he’s starting to prove us right.  Over the last two games, he’s become Teddy Bridgewater’s favorite target, average 9.5 targets per game.  We expect a shoot-out on both sides against the Lions this week, and Stefon is in a good position to continue his stellar performance.  We like him as a WR3/Flex.

Theo Riddick, RB Detroit (29%)

PPR stud.

PPR stud.

For the reasons we like Stefon, we also like Theo.  The Lions/Vikings game is going to be pass early and often.  We expect 80 passes total.  That benefits Theo, who surprisingly leads all RBs in receptions.  He’s a low end RB2 but makes for a great Flex play, especially in PPR leagues.

Nick Foles, QB St. Louis (10%)

If you're desperate, Nick can help you out (for one week only).

If you’re desperate, Nick can help you out (for one week only).

With Andy Dalton, Peyton Manning, and Aaron Rodgers on byes this week, and assuming Blake is not around, you may be in a pinch for a quarterback.  With names like Jameis Winston, Kirk Cousins, Teddy Bridgewater, and Nick Foles likely available, how do you know who to pick up?  Of those QBs, our money is on Foles this week.  But wait, isn’t Nick coming off a wretched 141 yards, 4 interception performance?  Well, yes, but that was on the road against Green Bay.  Foles has been solid at home this year, averaging nearly 250 yards.  We think he’ll hit that number at home against Cleveland tomorrow.

Week 7 TNF Picks

Sea chickens!

Sea chickens!

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
52-36-3 50-38-3 36-52-3 46-40-3 43-45-3
SF SEA SEA SEA SF

Week 5 TNF Staff Picks

Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
HOU HOU INDY INDY HOU
Butterface Fanbase

Butterface Fanbase

WEEK 4 PICKS / LOCK / SURVIVOR

money-throwing

The PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
30-17-1 30-17-1 20-27-1 24-23-1 23-24-1
BAL PIT PIT BAL BAL
NYJ  NYJ NYJ NYJ NYJ
INDY  JAC INDY INDY INDY
HOU  ATL ATL HOU ATL
TB  CAR CAR CAR CAR
NYG  NYG BUF NYG NYG
OAK  OAK OAK OAK OAK
PHI  WAS PHI WAS PHI
CIN  CIN KC CIN CIN
CLE  SD CLE CLE SD
GB  GB GB SF GB
MIN  DEN DEN DEN MIN
ARZ  ARZ ARZ ARZ ARZ
DAL  DAL DAL NO DAL
SEA  SEA DET SEA SEA
Lock-it-up-of-the-Week
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
2-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 1-2-0 0-3-0
NYJ  CAR  PHI OAK ARZ
Survivor Pool Pick
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
SD **DEAD** **DEAD** **DEAD** **DEAD**
footballlocks.com

footballlocks.com

Bills v. Giants – Party with The Machine

Party with The Machine!

Party with The Machine!

GAME OF THE YEAR!

What do you do when you have a website that’s run by one Giants fan and one Bills fan?  You throw a party!  Let the epic trash talking begin!  First, the details:

When:  Sunday, October 4, 2015

Where:  Wintonaire (if you don’t know where that is, then we don’t like you)

Time:  Noon to ???

Come class it up for an afternoon, chug Coors Light with The Machine, and eat an impressive amount of chicken wings!  How much better can it get?

Now, let’s have a quick preview of the game.  We don’t like to overstate things, but this game is going to be the Must See Game of the Year!  As Roid Rage has (obnoxiously) informed me several times this week, the Giants will actually play a game in New York when they come to Buffalo.  If I had a nickel for every time I heard that stupid comment.  And, not to be a dick about it, but the Buffalo Bills play in Orchard Park.

Geography aside, this game is a must win for both teams.  The Bills are sitting nice at 2-1, with wins over the Colts and an absolute thrashing of the Dolphins last week.  However, Rex still can’t shake his New England inferiority complex, and Buffalo is still looking for its statement win.  It could come Sunday, as Rex tries to exercise his other demon…the team he infamously referred to as the little brother while he was with the Jets.

Giants fans will remember that Rex’s trash talking turned into a 99 yard Victor Cruz touchdown and (another) Super Bowl.  However, 2012 seems like a long time ago.  The Giants are all over the place this year.  They are good, but not that good where they can blow 4th quarter leads, and they did exactly that in losses against Dallas and Atlanta.  If only they could play the Redskins each week.

Coaching wise, these teams couldn’t be more different.  Currently, Rex is getting his truck detailed and putting the finishing touches on his Bills tramp stamp.  Meanwhile, Tom Coughlin just finished a glass of warm milk and is already asleep.

We could go on and on breaking down the teams, but we’ll do that for you in person tomorrow.  See you there, and bring you A game chugging skills.

Beer Chug

Week 2 – Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy FootballWeek 1’s in the books, and already, things are getting crazy.  Key injuries (Dez) and busts (CJ Anderson) may already be affecting your team.   Time to throw in the towel?  Ginger, please!  Fantasy championships are won by savvy waiver wire pickups.  And, depending on how hung over we are, we’ll hook you up with weekly waiver wire grabs.  Now, on to the show.

Tyrod Taylor, QB, Buffalo (% owned in Yahoo! league, 13%)

If he beats the Pats today, they will build a statute for him and he'll become Mayor of Buffalo

If he beats the Pats today, they will build a statute for him and he’ll become Mayor of Buffalo

This weird thing happens every year in Buffalo.  Stop me if you’ve heard this before. Bills start out hot (“this is our Year!” mutters a drunk Buffalonian from beneath a pile of wings).  Last year’s failures are forgotten.  Bills have a big statement win (in September).  Chris Berman trots out his “Nobody circles the wagons” shtick.  The whole City gets filled with excitement…and then [note: Bills fans stop reading] the Bills go 2-6 down the stretch and New England wins the AFC East.  Seriously, this happens every year.

BUT, according to Roid Rage, this year it’s different.  This year really is THE YEAR.  He has the excitement and innocence of a puppy…I just don’t have the heart to break his spirit (and I’m certainly not going to stand in the way of his Rex Ryan back tat).

Having said that, we like what we’ve seen from Tyrod.  He was solid last week against the Colts, throwing for nearly 200 yards with a touchdown and 0 ints.  He also added 41 rushing yards.  You know Rex will be fired up to play the Pats at home.  That means plenty of gimmick plays for Tyrod (yes, the read option is a gimmick).  There are points to be had against the Pats secondary…who gave up over 350 yards to Big Ben last week.  We like Tyrod to lead the team in rushing, and lead the Bills to the Super Bowl (edited by Roid Rage).  If anything, he’s worth a spot on your bench ahead of guys like Joe Flacco and Andy Dalton.

Lance Dunbar, RB, Dallas (17%)

Forget Terrance, Lance will be the main benefactor with Dez out.

Forget Terrance, Lance will be the main benefactor with Dez out.

Yes, yes, yes, we know, Terrance Williams was the biggest pick up of the week, with Dez out for 4-6 weeks.  But don’t overlook Lance.  In fact, you should pick him up right now, because that 17% is going to change quickly.  Care to guess who led the Cowboys in receptions and yards last week, even with Dez in the game?  Lance, who was targeted 8 times, caught all 8 balls for 70.  A no brainer pickup, especially in a PPR league.

David Johnson, RB, Arizona (32%)

You're up, rookie!

You’re up, rookie!

The pride of Northern Iowa, rookie running back David Johnson is in a prime position to see plenty of action.  With oft-injured Andre Ellington injured again, Johnson will slide right in to split carries with Chris Johnson, who is days away from being on the wrong side of 30.  David only caught one ball last week, but he made the most of it, taking it to the house for a 55 yard touchdown.  He’ll get more chances to shine in the upcoming weeks.  Low risk, high reward pickup, especially in PPR leagues.

Larry Donnell, TE, NYG (39%)

Safe. Boring. Money.

Safe. Boring. Money.

Larry’s problem (for now) is that he’s splitting time with Daniel Fells.  He will win that battle, and become Eli’s main safety valve.  Larry burst onto the scene last year with 63 receptions, good for a tie for 9th place among TE.  We like him to finish in the Top 10 again in this year, not bad for only being owned in 39% of leagues.

Go Bills!

Go Bills!