Week 6 – Fantasy Waiver Wire Pickups

To be clear, the intent of this end-of-the-week waiver wire report is to help you if you’re in a bye week/injury jam.  If you’re in any sort of competitive league the likes Brandon Oliver, Andre Williams and Ronnie Hillman are long gone (and if they aren’t than stop reading and go scoop them up!).  Here are some guys that are worth rolling the dice on for your flex spot:

Storm Johnson, RB, Jacksonville (14%Y!) –

Button down the hatches, the Storm is coming!  Okay, just needed to get the cheesy name reference out-of-the-way.  Unbelievably, the big, white, slow oafy running back experiment has failed in Jacksonville.  It might be time to shitcan that “cutting edge” analytics department Shad, just saying.  While Toby Gerhart sits this week to chisel the concrete off his feet, rookie Storm Johnson is poised to handle a bulk of the carries against a Tennessee Titans defense that just got gashed to the tune 176 yards by Cleveland.  Johnson is no Ben Tate, but 70ish all-purpose yards, a few catches and a TD are within reach.

storm01

 

Mohammed Sanu, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (56%Y!) –

This recommendation is quite simple, see if you can find the pattern: AJ Green (Out), Marvin Jones (Out), Tyler Eifert (Out).  Sanu becomes the de facto #1 receiver for the Red-Rifle.  I fully expect Hue Jackson to kick it old school and run the snot out of Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill (50%Y! – I’d recommend him but I’m a little biased as I’m firing him up in a few leagues this week), but Sanu should see enough targets to be useful.

I’d start him over the likes of Brian Quick, Terrance Williams, Eddie Royal and Markus Wheaton.

Owen Daniels, TE, Baltimore Ravens (55%Y!) –

Since Pitta went down earlier this year, Daniels (a Gary Kubiak import) has developed a nice rapport with Joe Flacco.  I think Daniels finishes this week as a Top 12 TE.  For those dealing with a dreaded bye week (Graham, Kelce), stream Daniels with confidence.

A Top-12 TE or Your Accountant?

A Top-12 TE or Your Accountant?

Everyone loves a good Stash –

I’m not suggesting you start any of the guys I’m about to list, but if you’ve got a  roster spot to burn here are some deep sleeping lottery ticket players (ie, the next ‘Brandon Oliver) to consider stashing:

Ladarius Green, TE, San Diego Chargers (30%)

Cody Latimer, WR, Denver Broncos (2%)

Antone Smith, RB, Atlanta Falcons (25%)

Benny Cunningham, RB, St. Louis Rams (3%)

Andre Holmes, WR, Oakland Raiders (3%)

Johnny Manziel, QB, Cleveland Browns (15%)

This guy!

This guy!

Week 6 Picks ATS…TNF Edition

WEEK 6
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM Indianapolis 2.5 HOUSTON
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 8-6-1 7-7-1 8-6-1 10-4-1 8-6-1
YTD 39-36-1 40-35-1 41-34-1 39-36-1 37-38-1
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis HOUSTON Indianapolis
Only if you cover!

Only if you cover!

Week 4 Picks ATS

WEEK 4
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM WASHINGTON 3.5 nyg
Sunday 1 PM Green Bay 1.5 CHICAGO
Sunday 1 PM HOUSTON 3 Buffalo
Sunday 1 PM INDIANAPOLIS 7.5 Tennessee
Sunday 1 PM BALTIMORE 3 Carolina
Sunday 1 PM Detroit 1.5 NYJ
Sunday 1 PM PITTSBURGH 7.5 Tampa Bay
Sunday 1 PM Miami 4 OAKLAND
Sunday 4:05 PM SAN DIEGO 13 Jacksonville
Sunday 4:25 PM Atlanta 2.5 MINNESOTA
Sunday 4:25 PM SAN FRANCISCO 5.5 Philadelphia
Sunday 8:30 PM New Orleans 3 DALLAS
Monday 8:30 PM New England 3.5 KANSAS CITY
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 7-9 12-4 9-7 9-7 10-6
YTD 26-22 28-20 23-25 22-26 23-25
WASHINGTON nyg nyg nyg WASHINGTON
CHICAGO CHICAGO CHICAGO Green Bay Green Bay
HOUSTON HOUSTON HOUSTON Buffalo HOUSTON
INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS
Carolina Carolina BALTIMORE BALTIMORE Carolina
Detroit Detroit Detroit Detroit NYJ
Tampa Bay PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH
OAKLAND OAKLAND Miami OAKLAND OAKLAND
Jacksonville Jacksonville SAN DIEGO SAN DIEGO SAN DIEGO
Atlanta Atlanta MINNESOTA Atlanta Atlanta
Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO
New Orleans New Orleans New Orleans New Orleans DALLAS
New England New England KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY
LOCK NO  INDY BALT  PITT INDY
Lock Wins 1 1 2 1 0
Gratuitous shot of cheerleaders.

Gratuitous shot of cheerleaders.

GINGER KING vs ROIDRAGE

The Big Red Sports Machine founders squared off last week and the results were shockingly similar (and as satisfying I might add) to National Kick-A-Ginger Day!

See for yourself:

ROIDRAGE                                       GINGERKING

Beatdown City!

Here’s a crazy idea: Start Blake Bortles!

The great thing about fantasy football is that in the short time span of just three weeks your best laid plans can get totally fucked!  Like having to start a rookie quarterback, making his first ever start, on the road against a perennial playoff contender fucked.  Pardon my french.

With stud Russell Wilson on bye, and not wasting a second roster spot on a back up quarterback, I’m rolling with Mr. Bortles this week.  It sounds crazy, but this what the No. 3 overall pick has going for him:

  • In relief of the dreadfully inefficient (and that’s the nice way of putting it) Chad Henne, Bortles went 14/24, 223 yards, 2 TD, 2 Int.  Impressive numbers for a half of football; granted it was against soft coverage schemes from Indy’s defense (they aren’t exactly world-beaters).  But what I like the most is the 2 rushes for 30 yards.  The rushing totals help eliminate the mistakes and give him a reasonable secure scoring floor.
  • Bortles showed well in training camp, the preseason, and practices this year.  By all accounts he’s outpracticed Henne (doens’t that go without saying) however the Jaguars were so gun-shy to start a rookie QB (we call that the Blaine Gabbert effect) that they all but committed to “red-shirting” Bortles this year.  Remember what I said three weeks of football could do to your fantasy team?  Yeah, now just multiply that but $100 million, add in media scrutiny, a fan base to contend with, an owner that can shitcan you whenever he wants and you get a sense of the pressure that forced the Jags hand to play Bortles this week.  No pressure kid.
Not Blaine Gabbert...trust me!

Not Blaine Gabbert…trust me!

  • In deeper leagues, Bortles (17% owned) offers more upside than the likes of Joe Flacco (38%), Josh McCown (16% – who appears to have lost his job to Glennon), Ryan Fitzpatrick (15%), Geno Smith (13%) and fellow rookies Teddy Bridgewater (12%) and Derek Carr (7%).

My one reservation in starting Bortles is San Diego’s, ball-control, clock-chewing offense which ranks second in the league (while the Jags rank….dead last.  What’s new!).  Regardless, Bortles will have opportunities, and I think (fingers crossed) he comes through.  If Bortles football game is anything like his mack-daddy game, then hell, we’ve got nothing to worry about………….

Good Knight!

Good Knight!

 This might be so crazy that it actually works! Only one way to find out…

WEEK 3 Picks ATS

WEEK 3
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM ATLANTA 6.5 Tampa Bay
Sunday 1 PM BUFFALO 2.5 San Diego
Sunday 1 PM Dallas 1.5 ST. LOUIS
Sunday 1 PM PHILADELPHIA 6.5 Washington
Sunday 1 PM Houston 2.5 NYG
Sunday 1 PM NEW ORLEANS 9.5 Minnesota
Sunday 1 PM CINCINNATI 6.5 Tennessee
Sunday 1 PM Baltimore 1 CLEVELAND
Sunday 1 PM DETROIT 1 Green Bay
Sunday 1:00 PM Indianapolis 7 JACKSONVILLE
Sunday 4:05 PM NEW ENGLAND 14 Oakland
Sunday 4:05 PM San Francisco 2.5 ARIZONA
Sunday 4:25 PM SEATTLE 5 Denver
Sunday 4:25 PM MIAMI 4 Kansas City
Sunday 8:30 PM CAROLINA 3 Pittsburgh
Monday 8:30 PM NYJ 2.5 Chicago
THE PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
Last Week 12-4 6-10 8-8 6-10 4-12
YTD 19-13 16-16 14-18 13-19 13-19
Tampa Bay ATLANTA ATLANTA Tampa Bay ATLANTA
BUFFALO San Diego San Diego BUFFALO BUFFALO
ST. LOUIS Dallas Dallas ST. LOUIS Dallas
Washington Washington PHILADELPHIA Washington PHILADELPHIA
NYG NYG NYG NYG NYG
NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS Minnesota NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS
CINCINNATI CINCINNATI CINCINNATI CINCINNATI CINCINNATI
Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore CLEVELAND Baltimore
Green Bay Green Bay DETROIT DETROIT DETROIT
Indianapolis Indianapolis JACKSONVILLE Indianapolis Indianapolis
NEW ENGLAND NEW ENGLAND Oakland Oakland NEW ENGLAND
San Francisco ARIZONA San Francisco San Francisco ARIZONA
Denver Denver Denver SEATTLE Denver
MIAMI Kansas City MIAMI Kansas City MIAMI
CAROLINA CAROLINA CAROLINA CAROLINA CAROLINA
Chicago Chicago Chicago NYJ Chicago
LOCK Carolina NYG  Baltimore Carolina Denver
Lock Wins 1 0 1 1 0
These franchises have never been the same...

The day it all changed…

Week 2 Picks ATS

WEEK 2
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM BALTIMORE 2.5 Pittsburgh
Sunday 1 PM WASHINGTON 6 Jacksonville
Sunday 1 PM TENNESSEE 3.5 Dallas
Sunday 1 PM Arizona 2.5 NYG
Sunday 1 PM New England 3 MINNESOTA
Sunday 1 PM New Orleans 6.5 CLEVELAND
Sunday 1 PM CINCINNATI 5 Atlanta
Sunday 1 PM CAROLINA 2.5 Detroit
Sunday 1 PM BUFFALO Even Miami
Sunday 4:05 PM TAMPA BAY 6 St. Louis
Sunday 4:05 PM Seattle 6 SAN DIEGO
Sunday 4:25 PM Houston 3 OAKLAND
Sunday 4:25 PM GREEN BAY 9 nyj
Sunday 4:25 PM DENVER 11.5 Kansas City
Sunday 8:30 PM SAN FRANCISCO 7 Chicago
Monday 8:30 PM INDIANAPOLIS 3 Philadelphia
THE PICKS
RR
GK Dr. M Big D Vegas Vinny
Last Week 7-9 10-6 6-10 7-9 9-7
YTD 7-9 10-6 6-10 7-9 9-7
BALTIMORE Pittsburgh BALTIMORE BALTIMORE Pittsburgh
Jacksonville  WASHINGTON  WASHINGTON Jacksonville WASHINGTON
Dallas  Dallas  TENNESSEE Dallas Dallas
Arizona  NYG  Arizona NYG NYG
New England  New England  New England New England MINNESOTA
CLEVELAND  New Orleans  New Orleans CLEVELAND New Orleans
CINCINNATI  Atlanta  Atlanta Atlanta CINCINNATI
Detroit  Detroit  Detroit Detroit Detroit
BUFFALO  BUFFALO  BUFFALO Miami Miami
TAMPA BAY  TAMPA BAY  TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY
SAN DIEGO  SAN DIEGO  Seattle Seattle Seattle
Houston  OAKLAND  Houston OAKLAND Houston
Jets  Jets  Jets Jets GREEN BAY
Kansas City  DENVER  Kansas City DENVER DENVER
SAN FRANCISCO  SAN FRANCISCO  SAN FRANCISCO Chicago SAN FRANCISCO
Philadelphia  INDIANAPOLIS  INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS
LOCK Philly  Atlanta  New England Chicago  Detroit
Lock Wins 0 0 0 0 0
How 'bout dem Cowboys!

How ’bout dem Cowboys!

Week 1 Picks Against Humanity (The Spread)

Buckle up for another exciting year of professional handicapping action brought to you by the finest collection of degenerates we could find!  Ginger King is the reigning champ, putting on a furious late-season rally to overtake Dr. Mike.  This year we’ve added another “Joe” (Big Daddy) to the rotation to help tilt the balance of power against Rage and Ginger (aka, the BRSM Pro’s).  Will it help?….we doubt it, but only one way to find out:

WEEK 1
THE GAMES (Home team in CAPS)
Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
Thurs 8:30 PM SEATTLE 5.5 Green Bay
Sunday 1 PM New England 4.5 MIAMI
Sunday 1 PM PITTSBURGH 6.5 Cleveland
Sunday 1 PM New Orleans 3 ATLANTA
Sunday 1 PM KANSAS CITY 4 Tennessee
Sunday 1 PM BALTIMORE 1.5 Cincinnati
Sunday 1 PM NYJ 5.5 Oakland
Sunday 1 PM ST. LOUIS 4 Minnesota
Sunday 1 PM PHILADELPHIA 10 Jacksonville
Sunday 1 PM CHICAGO 7 Buffalo
Sunday 1 PM HOUSTON 2.5 Washington
Sunday 4:25 PM TAMPA BAY 1.5 Carolina
Sunday 4:25 PM San Francisco 4.5 DALLAS
Sunday 8:30 PM DENVER 7.5 Indianapolis
Monday 7:10 PM DETROIT 5 Giants
Monday 10:20 PM ARIZONA 3 San Diego
THE (EXPERT) PICKS
Roid Rage Ginger King Dr. Mike Big Daddy Vegas Vinny
W L T W L T W L T W L T W L T
Last Year 131 117 8 135 113 8 132 116 8 0 0 0 121 127 8
Season to-date 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Bay Green Bay Green Bay SEATTLE Green Bay
New England MIAMI New England New England New England
Cleveland PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH
ATLANTA ATLANTA New Orleans ATLANTA ATLANTA
KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY Tennessee KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY
BALTIMORE Cincinnati BALTIMORE Cincinnati Cincinnati
NYJ Oakland NYJ NYJ NYJ
Minnesota Minnesota Minnesota ST. LOUIS Minnesota
Jacksonville PHILADELPHIA Jacksonville PHILADELPHIA PHILADELPHIA
Buffalo CHICAGO CHICAGO Buffalo Buffalo
Washington HOUSTON Washington Washington Washington
TAMPA BAY Carolina Carolina TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY
San Francisco San Francisco San Francisco DALLAS San Francisco
DENVER DENVER Indianapolis DENVER Indianapolis
DETROIT Giants Giants DETROIT DETROIT
San Diego San Diego San Diego San Diego San Diego
LOCK: NYJ KC New England DENVER  NYJ
We've got you COVERED!

We’ve got you COVERED!

2014 Defense & Kicker Rankings

And with the last two picks of your draft….(if Ray Guy had it his way we’d have to draft punter’s too)

2014 Rankings: Defense & Special Teams
Composite Team Rage Ginger
D1 Seattle Seahawks 1 1
D2 St. Louis Rams 2 3
D3 San Francisco 49ers 4 2
D4 Denver Broncos 5 4
D5 Cincinnati Bengals 7 5
D6 Kansas City Chiefs 6 6
D7 Arizona Cardinals 3 10
D8 New England Patriots 8 8
D9 Houston Texans 13 7
D10 Carolina Panthers 11 9
D11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 12
D12 New Orleans Saints 9 15
D13 Buffalo Bills 15 11
D14 Baltimore Ravens 12 17
D15 Pittsburgh Steelers 18 14
D16 Chicago Bears 20 13
D17 Cleveland Browns 14 19
D18 Green Bay Packers 17 16
D19 New York Jets 16 22
D20 Philadelphia Eagles 19 20
D21 Indianapolis Colts 23 18
D22 Miami Dolphins 21 23
D23 New York Giants 24 21
D24 Detroit Lions 22 25
D25 Washington Redskins 27 24
D26 Jacksonville Jaguars 25 27
D27 Tennessee Titans 26 26

 

2014 Rankings: Kickers
Composite Player Rage Ginger
K1 Matt Prater 1 1
K2 Stephen Gostkowski 2 3
K3 Steven Hauschka 5 2
K4 Dan Bailey 4 5
K5 Robbie Gould 9 4
K6 Phil Dawson 7 6
K7 Justin Tucker 3 11
K8 Matt Bryant 10 8
K9 Blair Walsh 6 12
K10 Shayne Graham 11 10
K11 Mason Crosby 15 7
K12 Sebastian Janikowski 16 9
K13 Nick Novak 8 18
K14 Adam Vinatieri 12 14
K15 Alex Henery 14 13
K16 Greg Zuerlein 13 17
K17 Ryan Succop 17 15
K18 Graham Gano 19 16
K19 Kai Forbath 20 20
K20 Caleb Sturgis 18 23
K21 Mike Nugent 23 19
K22 Dan Carpenter 22 21
K23 Shaun Suisham 21 24
K24 David Akers 24 22
K25 Nate Freese 25 25

2014 TE Rankings

Just Win Baby!

Just Win Baby!

The two most popular taglines regarding the tight-end position this year are: “top-heavy” and “weak”.  The first notion I’ll totally buy.  I won’t be surprised if a good number of championship squads feature either Jimmy Graham (ADP8, TE1) or Rob Gronkowski (ADP27 – and trending up, TE2) or BOTH!  Factoring league settings, roster construction and draft slot, a potentially dominate strategy is to grab both of these guys with your first two picks.  Not only do you give yourself a weekly top tight-end performance, you get elite production from your flex position too.

After the “Big Two”, there are only two other tight-ends with top 50 ADP’s: Julius Thomas (ADP27) and Jordan Cameron (ADP50).  After these guys come of the board the tight-end position gets a bit murky.  This is where average fantasy football players (and even mainstream ‘experts’) buy the lazily constructed “weak depth” storyline.  However, there are a good number of young players, whom admittedly have their flaws, that could pay nice dividends at their going cost.  Jordan Reed (ADP76), Greg Olsen (ADP86), Kyle Rudolph (ADP94) and Charles Clay (ADP117) should all finishes in the top-3 for targets in their respective teams.  In Olsen’s case, he is far-and-away Cam Newton’s most reliable pass-catching option.

There are also some potential difference makers to be had late (after the 10th round):  Travis Kelce (ADP174) – flashed some big time wheels on a long catch and run TD in the team’s first pre-season game; Coby Fleener (ADP183) – has been running with the first-team offense all camp (also just happens to be Andrew Luck’s Stanford homeboy); Joesph Fauria (ADP213) – all he does is catch touchdowns.

 

2014 Rankings: Tight Ends
Composite Player Rage Ginger
TE1 Jimmy Graham 1 1
TE2 Rob Gronkowski 2 4
TE3 Julius Thomas 4 2
TE4 Jordan Cameron 3 3
TE5 Vernon Davis 5 5
TE6 Jason Witten 7 6
TE7 Greg Olsen 6 8
TE8 Kyle Rudolph 9 7
TE9 Zach Ertz 8 10
TE10 Dennis Pitta 10 11
TE11 Martellus Bennett 13 9
TE12 Jordan Reed 11 12
TE13 Ladarius Green 18 13
TE14 Dwayne Allen 15 16
TE15 Charles Clay 12 20
TE16 Tyler Eifert 20 15
TE17 Coby Fleener 22 14
TE18 Garrett Graham 14 23
TE19 Eric Ebron 16 21
TE20 Heath Miller 19 18
TE21 Antonio Gates 17 22
TE22 Jared Cook 24 17
TE23 Delanie Walker 23 19
TE24 Owen Daniels 26 24
TE25 Ryan Griffin 21 31
TE26 Richard Rodgers 25 28
TE27 Levine Toilolo 27 26
TE28 Tim Wright 30 25
TE29 Brandon Pettigrew 31 27
TE30 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 28 30
TE31 Andrew Quarless 29 29
League-Winner

League-Winner